The Devy Stock Market continues into week two of the 2022 college football season, breaking down the highs and lows of the week in college football and how it impacts the value of players in devy dynasty leagues. This week, we break down a redshirt freshman quarterback making flashes, a pair of big QBs to watch, a pair of busts to give up on, and a senior rising up the boards.
Oh Brother, Where Art Thou – Taulia Tagovailoa, QB Maryland
The expectations were high for Taulia Tagovailoa entering his collegiate career as his brother Tua Tagovailoa was in the middle of one of the best college football careers in recent memory. Tagovailoa started his collegiate career behind his brother but quickly moved on to Maryland. He had mixed results in his first two seasons at Maryland.
He threw seven touchdowns and seven interceptions in four games in his first season. In 2021, Tagovailoa showed progress, increasing his average yards per attempt from 6.9 to 8.2 and the touchdown-interception ratio widened to 26 touchdowns to 11 interceptions. Even with the improved season, he was not regarded as a legitimate NFL prospect going into 2022.
In 2022, Tagovailoa is beginning to make the case that he is an NFL prospect. In two games this season, he has completed 78.5% of his passes with a 10.3 AY/A including a five-total-touchdown performance last week on the road against Charlotte. Obviously, for Tagovailoa to springboard into the NFL draft conversation, we will need to see similar results against Big 10 competition rather than Buffalo and Charlotte. As is my blanket advice for nearly all ascending seniors, if you have Tagovailoa on a roster, now is the time to shop him for a younger or NFL asset.
Freshman Phenom – Nicholas Singleton, RB Penn State
The range of outcomes for top high school prospects is likely the widest we see in all of fantasy. When devy players draft a true freshman, they are hoping for any sign that their player will see snaps, carries, targets, etc. But once that initial barrier has been crossed, for many young players it can be wheels up to being a top devy fantasy football asset.
Singleton had a quiet first game with 10 carries for 31 rushing yards, but the 10 carries for the true freshman showed they wanted him involved. In game two, he had great success with that involvement with 10 carries for 179 rushing yards and two touchdowns, including a 70-yard touchdown scamper in the opening quarter.
Singleton now has the volume and the production to vault himself toward the top of devy rankings. At this moment, he is not a buy nor a sell as he is appropriately valued and the only way to capitalize on his value is by targeting a slightly less talented player in a class closer to being in the NFL.
Potential QB Breakouts Halted by Injury – Tyler Buchner, QB Notre Dame and Quinn Ewers, QB Texas
Buchner and Ewers came into the season as two of the promising young quarterbacks in college football. Buchner showed some promise as a freshman with 8.5 yards per attempt and 336 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns on only 46 carries. Ewers is one of the most highly touted prospects in recent memory, forgoing his senior season of high school to enroll at Ohio State and be a potential college football prodigy.
While Buchner showed promise as a freshman, he has struggled so far in 2022. In losses to Ohio State and Marshall, Buchner has failed to eclipse a 60% completion percentage, has a porous 5.8 AY/A and has not reached the end zone through the air yet this season. The poor start has now been paired with an injury for Buchner as he is out the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. Buchner’s stock is as low as it can be, and at this stage with his performance combined with his injuries, if devy players aren’t a free roster spot in your devy league, I think Buchner is a drop to use that roster spot elsewhere.
The outlook for Ewers is not quite as doom and gloom. He was playing well to start his redshirt freshman campaign, completing 69% of his passes for 359 passing yards with a 9.8 AY/A. In the midst of a potential upset against Alabama, he went out with a sprained SC joint as Texas would eventually lose. Ewers is set to be out until at least October, which delays the potential breakout. From a devy perspective, this is where I will be using big performances from less valuable assets to potentially acquire Ewers while he is out and subsequently not breaking out.
He is Heim – Raheim Sanders, RB Arkansas
Sanders had an impressive freshman season in the SEC in 2021, rushing for 578 yards on 5.1 yards per carry and five rushing touchdowns, as well as getting involved in the passing game with 109 receiving yards and one touchdown.
Arkansas has opened up 2022 against a pair of power five schools and Sanders has been impressive against both. He opened the season with 20 carries for 117 rushing yards along with three catches for 12 receiving yards. 23 touches for the sophomore in week one shows that Arkansas knows who the best skill position player on the team is, and it is Sanders.
In week two, Arkansas continued to lean on his skills, as he had 24 carries for 156 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns, along with three catches for 30 receiving yards. Sanders is quickly becoming one of the top running backs in devy fantasy football and if anyone is not accordingly moving him up the board with these performances, there could be a buying opportunity from managers who want to see more before placing him alongside players like TreVeyon Henderson and Braelon Allen.
Richardson Rollercoaster Continues – Anthony Richardson, QB Florida
Last week, Richardson’s stock was soaring after a win against Utah along with 106 rushing yards and three touchdowns. While his stock was admittedly up, there was an admission of volatility with his stock as an NFL prospect.
While he had all the answers against Utah, Richardson was completely puzzled against Kentucky in week two. He completed only 40% of his 35 pass attempts with two interceptions, and he couldn’t get anything going on the ground with six rushes for four yards. The difficult part about rostering Richardson is that devy fantasy football isn’t actually a stock market. If it were, it’d be very easy to capitalize on his swings in value by selling immediately after the impressive performances and buying after the duds. But even with an unimpressive performance like the one against Kentucky, managers will still be holding on with hopes that the NFL is impressed enough with his size and physical tools to ignore some of the red flags.