The NFL Draft is behind us, rookie drafts are taking place, and as dynasty owners, we are looking ahead to the upcoming season. In the Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Update series, we break down all the incoming fantasy-relevant rookies, looking at their profiles and where they fit.
Name: Tyler Badie
Position: Running Back
Pro Team: Baltimore Ravens
College Team: Missouri Tigers
Draft Status: Sixth round, 196th overall
- Height: 5’8’’
- Weight: 197 lbs
- Wingspan: 71 3/8’’
- Arm Length: 29 3/8’’
- Hand Size: 9 1/8’’
- 10-yard Split: 1.54s
- 40-yard Dash: 4.45s
- Broad Jump: 121’’
- Tough to tackle due to running with a low center of gravity
- Runs with good burst
- Has more than enough long speed
- Very decisive runner
- Can be split out in the slot
- Does a good job catching the ball out of the backfield
- Lacks the size to be a three-down feature back
- Doesn’t pack enough inertia at the point of contact to consistently break tackles.
- Runs with very stiff hips.
- Doesn’t move laterally well
- Doesn’t excel at chaining together moves to create space from defenders.
Badie will get the opportunity to play for one of the few teams in the league who are looking to establish the run. The rushing volume could work in his favor if he ever gets the chance to see a heavy workload. Also, since the Ravens want to have a strong run game, they are going to want to make sure they have enough running back depth to get through the regular season. This could lend for added opportunities for Badie to make the roster.
The fact that they drafted him in the sixth round is an indicator that they wanted to add some depth at running back. It’s easy to see that they wanted to add more talent on the cheap considering they already have JK Dobbins primed to take over sooner than later.
The Ravens were hit with injuries hard last season at the running back position. Both Dobbins and Gus Edwards are coming back from significant injuries. Considering the team’s top running backs experienced major injuries last season, there’s an elevated risk that natural running back attrition could impact the Ravens again in 2022. If this happens, then Badie could receive a larger workload than expected.
This team is currently log-jammed at running back. The Ravens are going to give Dobbins every opportunity to succeed. They want him to develop into being a bell-cow back. They also like Edwards and plan to heavily use him through the remainder of his contract. Not to mention the team brought in Mike Davis on a one-year deal.
There’s a lot of competition in Baltimore and it’s going to be hard for a sixth-round pick to climb the depth chart to become a significant piece to the offense. There are three veteran running backs in front of Badie on the depth chart. The team spent a second-round draft selection on Dobbins and the team resigned Edwards to a new contract last off-season. The Ravens have some sunk cost invested in their backfield and they aren’t going to allow Dobbins and Edwards every opportunity to prove themselves this season.
Dynasty gamers should have limited expectations for Badie. He’s going to be a player to root for during training camp this season. He has to play well in preseason for him to get noticed. Nothing is guaranteed for him considering it’s just as easy for the team to cut bait from him since they only spent a sixth-round pick to acquire him.
We should expect him to hang out on the back end of the roster during the season. He might even be on the team’s practice squad. If we’re lucky he might see limited in-game action. The odds are stacked against him making a major impact this season. Something would need to happen to the starting running backs for him to see a large share of the snaps and touches out of the backfield.
The long-term expectations are very similar to every late-round prospect. We should expect Badie to do his best to stick with the team for as long as possible. If he doesn’t start producing and carving out a significant role in the first few years of his career, then more than likely he’s going to develop into a journeyman running back. We could see him bounce around a few different rosters before he fades away.
On the contrary, if he exceeds expectations, we could see him become a reliable option in Baltimore’s run game. His upside would be developing into Dobbins’ backup. This could happen if he proves to be dependable during the first few years of his career and the team decides to move on from Edwards once his contract runs its course.
Either way, the odds of him developing into a top-tier fantasy option are very slim. At best, his upside might be Tony Pollard’s production, but his floor is bottomless and there’s a very good chance that he falls to the floor. Most sixth-round picks don’t provide much in terms of fantasy production.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON
A notable player we can compare Badie to is Duke Johnson. Both are very similar in size and athleticism. They can very competitive when it comes to catching the ball out of the backfield. The two running backs profile as complimentary pass-catching specialists in a committee but can hold their own when running between the tackles.
The main difference between the two players is that Johnson is slightly bigger and runs with more power. Johnson was a more proven athlete coming out of college. Don’t be mistaken, these two running backs can compete at the NFL level in very similar ways.
PROJECTED ROOKIE DRAFT RANGE
According to DLF’s May Rookie Draft ADP, Tyler Badie is being valued as an early fourth-round pick with an ADP of 36.10. Dynasty gamers could also see him get selected at the end of the third round. Nonetheless, he is being valued as a late-round dart throw in rookie drafts. He is being drafted as the RB14 behind Keaontay Ingram and Pierre Strong.
I think this is a fair price point for Badie. This is the part of the draft where dynasty gamers should be pulling strings on late-round running backs. As long as fantasy managers understand that these are cheap speculation plays that have a low chance of hitting, then he’s worth the cheap investment. You shouldn’t have your hopes too high on a late-round prospect, because the odds are stacked against them. However, the price tag is so cheap that everyone has a few of them on their rosters.