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Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Drafts: Rookies Destined to be Overdrafted

Which players might be a little too expensive to draft early in rookie drafts?

Jameson Williams

Fantasy owners get overly excited at times about rookies. What was the hype on them? What was their NFL Draft capital? What is their landing spot? There are a lot of factors to consider going into rookie drafts and weighing one piece over others can lead to making poor decisions. The savvy owners take advantage of others' weaknesses overvaluing situation or those that stubbornly stick to predraft evaluations only. This has led to the following list being overdrafted in early drafts.

1. Jameson Williams, WR DET (Round 1, Pick 12)

The Lions made a cheap move up during the first round of the draft to go grab Williams. As general manager Brad Holmes said: “we wanted game-changers”. And with two picks in 2023 draft, they could make a move for their future quarterback as well. This makes Williams very attractive, but in early rookie drafts, he is getting pushed up into the top six. This is a price too high to pay.

Williams' role and usage remain to be seen, and at this point, there is a chance he is a Henry Ruggs-esque deep threat who really helps on the field but not for fantasy purposes. With Amon-Ra St. Brown and TJ Hockenson gathering targets, Williams could be in line for merely a few deep targets a game. With Jared Goff at the helm and a team rushing focus, there is some major downside for the Williams - without even mentioning his ACL injury.

Now, if he falls to the late first/early second, he is a fine value and worth taking, but second-day WRs like Christian Watson and George Pickens offer the same upside in better situations with more targets likely to come their way in the upcoming years.

2. John Metchie, WR HOU (Round 2, Pick 12)

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Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Drafts: Rookies Destined to be Overdrafted
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joseph kepple
23 days ago

Roll tide hater. lol

mike fredrickson
23 days ago

i’m thinking of drafting dameon pierce @ #13. he is ranked #20 in superflex rookie draft cheat sheet. would this be CRAZY?? i’m guessing james cook will go before #13,

Ashley Moser
Reply to  mike fredrickson
22 days ago

I feel like this is the draft to just get your guy no matter your draft position

23 days ago

Enjoyed this write up and is helpful

Littlewing745
23 days ago

I think this is literally the only analysis – fantasy or reality – that I’ve read that basically said Jameson Williams is nothing more than a burner. Bad take, man. Baaaaaaad take. I get he may not be a star, but you can’t just ignore he’s an excellent route runner and was arguably the best WR prospect in the class before he got hurt. Like…goodness.

Littlewing745
Reply to  Littlewing745
23 days ago

I’m sorry…should have read further. Then you dump on Metchie for not being better than five WRs each drafted in the top 15 picks of their respective years??? Dude…what? hahahaha

6gummybearsandsomescotch
Reply to  Littlewing745
23 days ago

I literally mentioned the same issues to a buddy if mine the other day. Thanks for posting. I thought I was missing something. I mean, Bateman, Pittman, Watson, Pickens et al. weren’t as highly rated as the Bama 5 so they must be “not good” too, LOL.

B T
Reply to  Littlewing745
23 days ago

I appreciate contrarian opinions and I respect it, but yeah I’m having a hard timing reading this. It’s early on and mocks are not settled, but to also say that James Cook costs almost the same as Kenneth Walker? Come on. Not in real drafts. That’s ridiculous. Cook is a massive tier (or two) drop off from Walker. I haven’t seen McBride going in the top half of the second round in rookie drafts either. This is the first time I’ve disagreed with nearly 100% of an article.

Charles Day
Reply to  Littlewing745
21 days ago

Jameson Williams is a very talented receiver. The problem is how guys with the speed to take the top off the secondary are often used. Ruggs is an excellent example. He had great hands and the ability to run routes at all levels. The problem was with how the Raiders used him, constantly calling for him to “go deep” to take coverage away from Waller and Renfrow, so that when he did get a target it was almost always on a deep ball. It made him into a feast or (mostly) famine receiver. If you think about St. Brown and Hockenson, I can see Williams being used to “take the top off” while most of the targets go to Amon-Ra and T. J.

evan.zacharias
22 days ago

I think the part about Jameson is not thought out well. How can you say that Pickens has the same upside and a better situation? He has to compete with Dionte, Claypool, Najee and Muth.
Watson has huge red flags being a FCS guy and a late declare. There is tons of evidence that says measurables aren’t required for elite WR play. It feels like Watson COULD be good, but his analytical profile has a lot of question marks.
Don’t like that you dump on Metchie like you do as well. How is it his fault he plays behind those elite guys? He’s good at everything. We don’t even have combine numbers for him. What do you even mean by “never played himself open?”. Agree Dotson is better but there is no way that Metchie is being consistently taken above Dotson.
I agree on you other points about Cook, Mcbride and Willis. The first 2 guys just didn’t seem very well thought out.

David Sheehan
19 days ago

Finally someone who points out Jamo profiles as a deep threat at the next level. It’s like everyone ignores all the past highly drafted speed WRs who didn’t hit for fantasy. Ignore the haters in these comments and let them draft the speed guy.

Last edited 19 days ago by David Sheehan
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