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2022 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Prospect: Rachaad White, RB Arizona State

We break down the game of Rachaad White.

The DLF NFL rookie profile series continues with an analysis of 2022 NFL Draft Prospect Rachaad White. DLF will continue to provide in-depth rookie profiles and informative rookie analysis through the NFL Draft. Stay tuned, and stay ahead of your league.

Dynasty managers go to bed every night dreaming about a value running back with size, speed, and pass-catching ability. The quest for the next David Johnson has led to many fantasy heartbreaks with the likes of Kalen Ballage and Jaylen Samuels sitting on waiver wires everywhere. This year’s contender is Rachaad White of Arizona State.

THE STATS

White took an unconventional path to the NFL playing for several years in junior college at Nebraska-Kearney and Mt. San Antonio College before enrolling at Arizona State in 2020. In a pandemic shortened season, Rachaad gained close to 143 scrimmage yards per game while averaging a touchdown and a half per game. White put his name on the map in his final season averaging over 20 touches, four receptions, 132 yards, and 1.5 touchdowns per game – an impressive performance for a player not on many NFL Draft radars heading into 2021.

In particular, White stands out as a receiver. His best collegiate season compared to other RBs with a top-12 NFL PPR season to enter NFL since 2003:

  • White’s 29.4% seasonal receiving dominator is the sixth-best share (92nd percentile) and only Christian McCaffrey, Chris Johnson, Antonio Gibson, and Peyton Hillis have posted better shares.
  • His 5.03 yards per route run are the second-best per Pro Football Focus. Only McCaffrey has had a better YPPR in a season.
    Arizona State quarterbacks had a perfect NFL quarterback rating when targeting White in his final season per PFF. This would tie James Conner for the best quarterback rating when targeted.
  • His 43 receptions are the ninth-most overall in a season
  • His 456 receiving yards are 14th-most
  • His 18.9 yards/reception are the 6th-best
  • His 452 yards after the catch are the 5th-most per PFF
  • His 23.3 YAC/reception are the 2nd-best per PFF

Even when adjusted for age, his receiving production dominates when compared to successful NFL running backs.

White’s rushing numbers aren’t nearly as impressive, but hopefully adequate enough to get him on the field at the NFL level. His best collegiate season compared to other RBs with a top-12 NFL PPR season to enter NFL since 2003:

  • 16.5 rush attempts per game (22nd percentile)
  • 37.5% of team rush attempts (20th percentile)
  • 105 rush yards per game (29th percentile)
  • 15 rushing touchdowns (36th percentile)
  • 1.5 breakaway runs per game per PFF (26th percentile)
  • 26.7% missed tackles forced percentage per PFF (44th percentile)

THE FILM

To break down White’s film, I used DLFs NFL Draft Prospect Videos to watch cut-up games from his 2021 season.

STRENGTHS

  • Excellent awareness out of the backfield. Maintains good spacing to repeatedly present himself as a viable dump-off option when primary targets are covered downfield
  • Great body control and adjustments on routes out of the backfield for his size to secure targets and keep his momentum moving up-field
  • Superior off tackle and outside runner. His speed and size continually create large plays in space
  • Sets up blocks well with good pace through the line and on the outside
  • Vision makes him an excellent initial cut-back runner
  • Good in short-yardage and goal-line situations finding the crease to pick up first downs or score

WEAKNESSES

  • Gains what is schemed or blocked for him on interior runs. Doesn’t consistently break tackles or avoid defenders up the middle to create the big play
  • Average interior footwork
  • Very susceptible to defenders tackling him low before he has gained a head of steam on interior runs or on attempts to stretch the play outside
  • Despite being an excellent receiver out of the backfield, won’t consistently make the first defender miss on receptions
  • Vision suffers at the second level leaving yards on the field
  • Slows down before accelerating on cuts getting up-field

THE MEASURABLES

White checked a lot of boxes at the NFL Combine. A 4.48-sec 40-yard dash at 214 pounds gave him a 69th percentile weight-adjusted speed score. Meanwhile, his 38” vertical jump and 12’5” broad jump give him an 85th percentile burst score.

Courtesy of RAS

Per the most recent DLF Rookie ADP, White is the clear RB4 behind the top-3 of Breece Hall, Kenneth Walker, and Isaiah Spiller. In rookie drafts, he’s going at the 1-2 turn in single quarterback leagues and around the 2.03 in superflex leagues.

In startup drafts, White is going around the RB36 in a tier with Rashaad Penny, Devin Singletary, and Rhamondre Stevenson. Ahead of the NFL Draft, if you’re targeting him in startups, the tenth round is where he has been going consistently.

CONCLUSION

I hate to ruin the dream for dynasty managers but it’s extremely unlikely Rachaad White is the next David Johnson. Yes, White is a solid value in the second round of rookie drafts and has good size, speed, and is an excellent receiver out of the backfield. However, his production profile is lacking across the board from a rush standpoint when compared with Johnson.

White profiles as a legitimate flex option due to his size and receiving ability. He could be the 1B in a backfield and have attractive fantasy upside if there’s an injury to the lead back wherever he lands. He projects to have a few fringe top-24 seasons unless an NFL team invests more than what the NFL Draft community is expecting at this time a few weeks ahead of the Draft. He’s an excellent target for dynasty managers looking for value running back targets in wide receiver heavy builds.

I agree with the consensus and have White as my rookie RB4. I have serious concerns about his draft capital, though. I’ve been contemplating taking him over Jahan Dotson and George Pickens in rookie mocks, but can’t quite pull the trigger because of this draft capital concern. If White falls to Day Three, I’ll end up targeting him more in the middle of the second round in superflex rookie drafts. But if an NFL team falls in love with White’s combination of size, speed, and receiving ability and goes on Day Two, I’ll continue to target him at the 2.02 or 2.03 in my rookie drafts.

2022 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Prospect: Rachaad White, RB Arizona State
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Patrick Martin
7 months ago

Very interested to see what type of draft capital investment he gets next week. I think this guy has a shot to be something if he can land in a quality spot.

Gregory Massa
7 months ago

As far as comps go I was reminded a lot of Kenyan Drake while looking over his skillset/combine numbers… what are your thoughts?

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