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Monkey Knife Fight: Week 18 Musings

Who are some top daily plays in the final week of the regular season?

Cordarrelle Patterson

The DLF Team is thrilled to announce an extension of our terrific partnership with the fastest growing daily fantasy sports site on the planet, Monkey Knife Fight (MKF). To further that relationship with our partner and premium members, we are now providing a weekly column to help familiarize you with the format and offer some tips on who to target each week throughout the NFL season.

This is the perfect format for you if you are in “rebuild” mode, “tanking”, or just looking for something that requires a little less work than managing a dynasty team year-round. Instead of competing against professional players, while calculating salaries against expected points, MKF is made for the average fan. Monkey Knife Fight offers the ability to play a wide variety of fantasy contests, including their popular More or Less games, allowing you to simply pick if a player is going to score more or less than the given line. You can read all about the details of the games and scoring here, but here is a quick rundown of how MKF works:

More/Less – You will be drafting your team by choosing More or Less for a group of player statistics presented. You will be squaring off with your own predictions. Choose the coinciding number of tiers correctly to win the prize shown prior to entry.

Rapid Fire – You will be selecting your team by choosing the highest-scoring player in multiple head-to-head matchups in statistical categories. They will need to beat the unchosen players in their head-to-head matchups.  If a player gets additional points added to their score in a matchup, they will be shown in green (ex: +18.5). Choose the coinciding posted number of matchups correctly to win the prize shown prior to entry.

Also, you can choose to play the full slate and select players from different games, or you can choose a single game to focus on and choose just the two quarterbacks, running backs, or receivers from that game only. Now, on to week 18!

Week 18 More or Less Plays

For the purpose of this article, we will cover the most popular format and give you players we like or dislike over at MKF. Each week we will highlight a few player props at each position that really stand out. You can deploy these picks in the full slate contests or the single-game options. The choice is yours.

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen – NYJ @ BUF (250.5 Passing Yards)

The New York Jets defense is one of the worst in the league against the run and the pass. They allow 259.7 yards per game (29th worst) through the air and 163.3 yards per game (also 29th worst) on the ground. It is hard to envision Allen playing the entire game and if he does, it is hard to imagine the Buffalo Bills letting him drop back much and take the chance of getting injured on a sack. Allen will likely play the first quarter or half while Buffalo builds a big lead. They can still clinch the AFC East with a win and are still technically alive for the two seed, but the odds are against it (less).

Ben Roethlisberger – PIT @ BAL (200.5 Passing Yards)

In case you have not heard, this will probably be Roethlisberger’s last game as a Pittsburgh Steeler and maybe even in the NFL. A visit to the division rival Baltimore Ravens is on tap and they allow the most passing yards per game in the league at 281.7. Big Ben threw the ball 46 times on Monday Night Football versus the Cleveland Browns. Granted, he only managed 123 yards on those 46 attempts, but that is an anomaly. For the season, the veteran averages 233.1 yards passing per game and Baltimore is one of the best teams in the NFL against the run. Look for another 40-plus attempts in the last hoorah for the Super Bowl-winning quarterback and look for him to break 200.5 yards passing with ease (more).

Davis Mills – TEN @ HOU (199.5 Passing Yards)

Mills has been a pleasant surprise for the Houston Texans when healthy. He threw for just 163 yards in week 17 on the road versus the San Francisco 49ers but is much better at home, averaging 237.3 yards per game in the friendly confines of NRG Stadium The rookie has also posted over 300 yards against defenses such as the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Rams. The Titans’ defense ranks 23rd in the league in yards allowed at 242.5. The Texans are playing the role of spoiler in week 18 and you can bet they want to stop Tennessee from clinching the number one seed. Mills will chuck it around early and often here and attack their weakness (more).

Running Backs

Alvin Kamara – NO @ ATL (61.5 Rushing Yards)

The Atlanta Falcons rank 26th in the NFL in terms of yards allowed per game at 127.9. This seems like a smash spot for Kamara to rack up some yardage against the division rival. Not so fast. Kamara has only been over 61.5 yards rushing in just one of the last five games and this is with Mark Ingram missing time. Taysom Hill is back at quarterback meaning that Kamara will be doing most of his damage on short check-down routes. Hill has had 11 or more carries in his past four games, further limiting the rushing upside for AK (less).

Cordarrelle Patterson – NO @ ATL (39.5 Rushing Yards)

Sticking with the same game, let us take a look at Patterson. This number seems very small. However, a closer look at the numbers tells us that Patterson has only eclipsed 39.5 yards zero times in his past three games. Despite a huge first two-thirds of the season, C-Patt has cooled off to the tune of just 27 rushing attempts over the past three contests. It is going to be difficult to hit 40 yards on just nine carries, especially against a Saints defense that is one of the best in the league versus the run. Matt Ryan is likely to get rookie Kyle Pitts involved heavily again and attack through the air (less).

D’Onta Foreman – TEN @ HOU (68.5 Rushing Yards)

We mentioned earlier that the Tennessee Titans are still fighting for the one seed. It just so happens that their opponent in week 18 ranks dead last against the run. Derrick Henry is back at practice but is unlikely to play this Sunday. Foreman has been the lead back for the Titans and has gone over 100 yards in three of five games. The passing game for Tennessee has struggled so look for them to try and grind out a win on the ground. We already mentioned how bad the Titans’ secondary is so ball control is the way to go here (more).

Wide Receiver/Tight End

Darnell Mooney – CHI @ MIN (50.5 Receiving Yards)

The Minnesota Vikings rank dead last in the NFL against the wide receiver position. Mooney is averaging 58.1 receiving yards per game in 2021. Justin Fields has been ruled out due to Covid and Andy Dalton has been named the starter. This is good news for Mooney. In the seven games played with Dalton as the starter, the second-year wideout is averaging 66.7 yards per game compared to just 51.3 yards per game in the nine without the veteran signal-caller at the helm (more).

Jaylen Waddle – NE @ MIA (63.5 Receiving Yards)

We highlighted Waddle here last week and he let us down in a good matchup. The Miami offense as a whole was just putrid in week 17, putting up just three points on the road against the Tennessee Titans. The New England Patriots come to town and rank fifth against the position. However, they traditionally struggle in Miami and do not have much to play for in this one in terms of seeding. Buffalo clinches the division with a win over the lowly Jets. This brings us to Waddle who has put up more than 64 yards in five of the last seven contests he has played in. The targets are never an issue as he is sitting at 133 with one game left to play. Miami is still playing for pride and the future so look for them to compete throughout and the star rookie receiver should be a focal point of the gameplan here (more).

George Kittle – SF @ LAR (5.5 Receptions)

Kittle has been an afterthought in the 49er’s offense over the past two games. The stud tight end has been targeted just five times and caught three of them for 60 yards. Trey Lance may be at quarterback again limiting the upside in this one. Kittle did have five receptions the last time these two teams met in week ten. The lack of involvement of late is concerning. The Rams have clinched the division but can keep their in-state rivals out of the playoffs with a loss and a Saints win. Look for the Rams to play hard without and take Kittle out of this one (less).

Wrapping It Up

We hope that you have taken the opportunity to try out our partner’s platform and these tips help earn you extra cash towards your dynasty league dues. Come back weekly for the top plays and fades of the week from DLF. We look forward to seeing you here.

Monkey Knife Fight: Week 18 Musings
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