Week 15 Positional Rankings

Michael Zingone

The fantasy football regular season is OVER! Through 14 grueling weeks of waiver wires, trades, and lineup decisions, we’ve made it to the pinnacle of the fantasy football season: the playoffs. If you’ve earned a bye week in your league playoffs, take a well-deserved week off from lineup decisions! While I do personally have a few teams with bye weeks, I am in far too many leagues to outright ignore lineup decisions this week. Whether it is for playoff advancement or for a coveted extra draft pick in the “toilet bowl”, this week’s lineups are the most important decisions you’ll likely have made thus far. We’re here to make sure you make the right calls.

If you’ve followed this series for each of the last two years, you’ll be familiar with the overall structure. We’ll list the top 32 QBs, 60 RBs, 60 WRs, and 30 TEs each and every week along with some detailed analysis on a few standout plays. This year, I’ve collaborated with DLF’s Peter Howard to give you some additional data and rankings. In each section, you’ll mine my (@FFzinger) rankings along with Peter’s, presented in order of our average ranking. Any QB or TE not ranked in each of our top 30 was given a ranking of 35, and the same is true with RBs/WRs given 65. You’ll also find a Tier associated with each player, which is defined mathematically based on the gaps from one player to the next to define a relative “Tier” within our rankings. Finally, you’ll find a write-up from both Peter and I highlighting a particularly good play for the upcoming week in our rankings.

To generate this list each and every week, Peter and I examine team trends, Vegas over/unders, implied points, pace of play, among various other factors to build a projection for each player and subsequently adjust rankings for upside and more detailed matchup specifics. Among the rankings, there will surely be some that surprise you or that you may disagree with. At the end of each position section, I’ll give you my thoughts on some players who perhaps are ranked higher/lower than you might expect and insights as to why they are a good/bad play this week. Ultimately, these rankings should help your start/sit dilemmas and ensure you have the requisite resources to make an informed decision.

Without further ado, let’s dive into this week’s positional rankings!

Quarterback

Pos Player Matchup @FFZinger @PaHowdy Average Tier
QB Kyler Murray @DET 1 2 1.5 1
QB Patrick Mahomes @LAC 3 3 3 2
QB Josh Allen CAR 2 5 3.5 2
QB Tom Brady NO 6 1 3.5 2
QB Justin Herbert KC 5 4 4.5 2
QB Dak Prescott @NYG 4 8 6 3
QB Matthew Stafford SEA 8 7 7.5 3
QB Aaron Rodgers @BAL 7 9 8 3
QB Jalen Hurts WAS 11 6 8.5 3
QB Taysom Hill @TB 10 12 11 4
QB Tua Tagovailoa NYJ 13 10 11.5 4
QB Kirk Cousins @CHI 9 15 12 4
QB Lamar Jackson GB 14 11 12.5 4
QB Joe Burrow @DEN 12 13 12.5 4
QB Jimmy Garoppolo ATL 16 14 15 5
QB Russell Wilson @LAR 15 19 17 6
QB Justin Fields MIN 17 17 17 6
QB Ryan Tannehill @PIT 20 16 18 6
QB Derek Carr @CLE 19 18 18.5 6
QB Ben Roethlisberger TEN 18 21 19.5 6
QB Carson Wentz NE 21 21 21 6
QB Taylor Heinicke @PHI 22 23 22.5 6
QB Teddy Bridgewater CIN 25 22 23.5 6
QB Mac Jones @IND 24 25 24.5 6
QB Cam Newton @BUF 23 27 25 6
QB Matt Ryan @SF 26 26 26 6
QB Trevor Lawrence HOU 27 28 27.5 6
QB Jared Goff ARI 29 30 29.5 7
QB Baker Mayfield LV 35 24 29.5 7
QB Davis Mills @JAC 28 32 30 7
QB Zach Wilson @MIA 30 31 30.5 7
QB Mike Glennon DAL 32 29 30.5 7

 

FFzinger Highlight Player: Kirk Cousins, QB MIN

I had a whole section written up about Taysom Hill, but I’ll leave that to Peter below. Instead, I’ll call out Cousins as an easy top ten option once again in fantasy football this week. The Vikings are a solid 3.5 point favorites against the Bears with an implied team total of 23.75 points. With Dalvin Cook back in the mix and Adam Thielen out of the lineup, Cousins doesn’t quite have the touchdown upside to crack this week’s top five. However, the Bears are one of the most generous teams against opposing quarterbacks – ranking fifth-worst on the season – and Cousins should continue his 2021 season success in the fantasy playoffs. While not necessarily going to win you your week, Cousins is one of the best bets of the week for at least 15 fantasy points.

Pahowdy Highlight Player: Taysom Hill, QB NO

I had to work hard to bring Hill’s projection to something reasonable this week. Being “high” on a player is not a bad thing but projecting Hill over top-five quarterbacks in the playoffs isn’t… ideal. Hill is a rushing yard and touchdown play, I’ll admit, but against Tampa Bay points can often be had as the Buccaneers inflate scoring. The defense has also allowed an above-average completion percentage and “bad throw” percentage per PFR – something that can aid a quarterback who struggles to throw and has a higher interception percentage than most. I have Hill as a top-12 play this week, and unless you’re blessed with a truly locked-in starter, I think he could provide upside this week.

Running Back

Pos Player Matchup @FFZinger @PaHowdy Average Tier
RB Dalvin Cook @CHI 1 2 1.5 1
RB Jonathan Taylor NE 2 3 2.5 1
RB Austin Ekeler KC 4 1 2.5 1
RB Nick Chubb LV 3 4 3.5 1
RB Leonard Fournette NO 7 6 6.5 2
RB Najee Harris TEN 8 5 6.5 2
RB James Conner @DET 6 11 8.5 3
RB Alvin Kamara @TB 5 14 9.5 3
RB Elijah Mitchell ATL 11 8 9.5 3
RB Cordarrelle Patterson @SF 12 7 9.5 3
RB Joe Mixon @DEN 9 12 10.5 3
RB Aaron Jones @BAL 13 10 11.5 3
RB Saquon Barkley DAL 14 9 11.5 3
RB David Montgomery MIN 10 17 13.5 4
RB Josh Jacobs @CLE 17 13 15 4
RB Sony Michel SEA 16 16 16 4
RB Antonio Gibson @PHI 15 20 17.5 4
RB Ezekiel Elliott @NYG 20 15 17.5 4
RB Javonte Williams CIN 18 21 19.5 5
RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire @LAC 21 19 20 5
RB Melvin Gordon CIN 19 22 20.5 5
RB James Robinson HOU 23 23 23 6
RB D’Onta Foreman @PIT 22 25 23.5 6
RB Devonta Freeman GB 24 24 24 6
RB Myles Gaskin NYJ 30 18 24 6
RB A.J. Dillon @BAL 26 28 27 7
RB Miles Sanders WAS 28 26 27 7
RB Rashaad Penny @LAR 25 32 28.5 7
RB Darrel Williams @LAC 31 31 31 8
RB Rhamondre Stevenson @IND 27 36 31.5 8
RB Chase Edmonds @DET 29 34 31.5 8
RB J.D. McKissic @PHI 33 30 31.5 8
RB Chuba Hubbard @BUF 32 33 32.5 8
RB Michael Carter @MIA 39 27 33 8
RB Devin Singletary CAR 35 37 36 9
RB Damien Harris @IND 38 35 36.5 9
RB Mike Davis @SF 37 38 37.5 9
RB Jeremy McNichols @PIT 42 39 40.5 10
RB Dontrell Hilliard @PIT 43 40 41.5 10
RB D’Ernest Johnson LV 40 48 44 11
RB Matt Breida CAR 44 44 44 11
RB Devontae Booker DAL 47 41 44 11
RB Ty Johnson @MIA 45 45 45 11
RB David Johnson @JAC 65 29 47 11
RB Brandon Bolden @IND 55 43 49 11
RB Jamaal Williams ARI 34 65 49.5 11
RB Nyheim Hines NE 48 51 49.5 11
RB Kenneth Gainwell WAS 53 46 49.5 11
RB Tony Pollard @NYG 36 65 50.5 11
RB Royce Freeman @JAC 41 65 53 12
RB Samaje Perine @DEN 57 50 53.5 12
RB Zack Moss CAR 65 42 53.5 12
RB Darrell Henderson SEA 44 65 54.5 12
RB Jordan Howard WAS 46 65 55.5 12
RB Latavius Murray GB 51 60 55.5 12
RB Carlos Hyde HOU 59 52 55.5 12
RB Godwin Igwebuike ARI 65 47 56 12
RB Ameer Abdullah @BUF 49 65 57 12
RB Craig Reynolds ARI 65 49 57 12
RB Mark Ingram II @TB 50 65 57.5 12

 

FFzinger Highlight Player: Sony Michel, RB LAR

With Darrell Henderson sidelined the last few weeks, Michel has commanded at least 20 touches in back-to-back games. The Rams are currently in a messy situation with COVID-19, and many of their star players are in jeopardy of missing this week’s game against the Seahawks. Michel is currently not on the COVID-19 reserve list, and his team may lean on him substantially given the current situation as well as the juicy matchup. The Seahawks are the second-best matchup for opposing running backs on the season, and another 20 touches will vault Michel into fantasy relevancy once again in week 15. I’d feel a lot more comfortable if Michel was my RB2, but he ranks towards the top half of the RB2s this week. Start him with confidence in a great matchup.

Pahowdy Highlight Player: Myles Gaskin, RB MIA

The New York Jets have allowed less passing expected against them (70%) than Miami typically utilizes (79%). However, adjusted for their opponents’ average, the defense has encouraged above-average passing and rushing, as well as 11 top-12 running back finishes in 2021. Gaskin is vaccinated, so there is a good chance he can return for this game. He has a dual-threat role on the team and is second on the team in EP% to only Jaylen Waddle. I have him ranked as a top-15 running back play this week.

Wide Receiver

Pos Player Matchup @FFZinger @PaHowdy Average Tier
WR Cooper Kupp SEA 1 1 1 1
WR Davante Adams @BAL 2 2 2 1
WR Justin Jefferson @CHI 3 3 3 1
WR Diontae Johnson TEN 4 6 5 1
WR Tyreek Hill @LAC 6 4 5 1
WR Deebo Samuel ATL 5 7 6 2
WR Chris Godwin NO 8 5 6.5 2
WR Stefon Diggs CAR 7 11 9 3
WR CeeDee Lamb @NYG 9 10 9.5 3
WR Keenan Allen KC 10 14 12 4
WR Ja’Marr Chase @DEN 12 12 12 4
WR Mike Evans NO 11 9 10 4
WR Hunter Renfrow @CLE 15 8 11.5 4
WR Tyler Lockett @LAR 13 19 16 5
WR Tee Higgins @DEN 14 17 15.5 5
WR Jaylen Waddle NYJ 18 13 15.5 5
WR Amari Cooper @NYG 16 20 18 6
WR D.K. Metcalf @LAR 27 18 22.5 7
WR Mike Williams KC 19 21 20 7
WR Brandin Cooks @JAC 17 26 21.5 7
WR Marquise Brown GB 20 23 21.5 7
WR D.J. Moore @BUF 21 16 18.5 7
WR Michael Pittman NE 22 24 23 8
WR Terry McLaurin @PHI 24 25 24.5 8
WR Brandon Aiyuk ATL 23 27 25 8
WR Darnell Mooney MIN 26 28 27 9
WR Van Jefferson SEA 28 22 25 9
WR Chase Claypool TEN 25 30 27.5 10
WR Russell Gage @SF 29 38 33.5 11
WR DeVante Parker NYJ 32 31 31.5 11
WR Michael Gallup @NYG 30 37 33.5 12
WR DeVonta Smith WAS 31 34 32.5 6
WR Christian Kirk @DET 36 33 34.5 7
WR A.J. Green @DET 33 48 40.5 8
WR Julio Jones @PIT 34 36 35 8
WR Jerry Jeudy CIN 35 35 35 8
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown ARI 37 43 40 9
WR Cole Beasley CAR 42 46 44 10
WR Marvin Jones HOU 38 32 35 10
WR Jamison Crowder @MIA 39 40 39.5 11
WR K.J. Osborn @CHI 40 39 39.5 11
WR Kendrick Bourne @IND 41 42 41.5 12
WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling @BAL 47 52 49.5 13
WR Tyler Boyd @DEN 43 49 46 13
WR Donovan Peoples-Jones LV 46 29 37.5 13
WR Jakobi Meyers @IND 45 45 45 14
WR Odell Beckham Jr. SEA 44 65 54.5 8
WR Sterling Shepard DAL 48 44 46 8
WR Gabriel Davis CAR 49 56 52.5 9
WR Courtland Sutton CIN 51 51 51 9
WR Josh Reynolds ARI 52 41 46.5 9
WR Rashod Bateman GB 50 65 57.5 10
WR Allen Robinson MIN 53 50 51.5 10
WR Tim Patrick CIN 56 53 54.5 11
WR Kenny Golladay DAL 54 65 59.5 12
WR Robby Anderson @BUF 55 47 51 12
WR Tre’Quan Smith @TB 58 65 61.5 13
WR Allen Lazard @BAL 65 57 61 13
WR Laviska Shenault Jr. HOU 57 60 58.5 13
WR Marquez Callaway @TB 59 54 56.5 13

 

FFzinger Highlight Player: Darnell Mooney, WR CHI

Look, I know it could be really hard to trust Mooney in the fantasy playoffs coming off of two consecutive games under 30 yards. The peripheral numbers continue to be there though. He has just one game all season with fewer than five targets, and his air yard share over the last two games (his mediocre performances) has still been a solid 25%. He and Justin Fields will connect at some point, and it’s teed up to happen in week 15. The Bears play the Vikings, who rank dead last in fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers, and are expected to score a decent 20.25 points on the day as 3.5 point underdogs. Given his recent play, it’s hard for me to rank Mooney as anything higher than a high-end WR3, but don’t forget about his weeks 11 and 12 performances where he topped 100 yards in both games. The upside to finish much higher than WR26 is in the cards this week.

Pahowdy Highlight Player: Rondale Moore, WR ARI

I may not believe in vacated targets, but I do believe that Moore had a (slightly) higher expected points percentage than Christian Kirk, and a team without DeAndre Hopkins presents a higher chance for opportunity than one with him. Hopkins may still be available for this game, but even then, Moore has averaged five targets a game ever the last five weeks and is currently underperforming in touchdowns (501 yards per touchdown as opposed to a 170 position average). Yes, he has the aDot of a running back but not even that’s a terrible thing against a defense that has allowed nine top-12 weeks to the position. It’s a desperation play, as I have him ranked as a top-40 wide receiver, but I think he has potential upside as a WR3 against the Lions.

Tight End

Pos Player Matchup @FFZinger @PaHowdy Average Tier
TE George Kittle ATL 1 1 1 1
TE Travis Kelce @LAC 3 2 2.5 2
TE Mark Andrews GB 2 4 3 2
TE Rob Gronkowski NO 5 3 4 3
TE Dawson Knox CAR 4 6 5 3
TE T.J. Hockenson ARI 6 7 6.5 4
TE Kyle Pitts @SF 10 5 7.5 4
TE Dallas Goedert WAS 8 9 8.5 4
TE Zach Ertz @DET 9 8 8.5 4
TE Dalton Schultz @NYG 7 12 9.5 4
TE Mike Gesicki NYJ 11 10 10.5 4
TE Pat Freiermuth TEN 12 11 11.5 4
TE Noah Fant CIN 13 13 13 5
TE Tyler Conklin @CHI 15 14 14.5 5
TE Tyler Higbee SEA 16 16 16 5
TE Hunter Henry @IND 17 15 16 5
TE Jared Cook KC 18 18 18 6
TE Ricky Seals-Jones @PHI 14 24 19 6
TE Cole Kmet MIN 20 19 19.5 6
TE C.J. Uzomah @DEN 19 22 20.5 6
TE Gerald Everett @LAR 21 20 20.5 6
TE Foster Moreau @CLE 24 17 20.5 6
TE Evan Engram DAL 22 23 22.5 7
TE Brevin Jordan @JAC 26 21 23.5 7
TE Albert Okwuegbunam CIN 23 25 24 7
TE James O’Shaughnessy HOU 25 28 26.5 7
TE David Njoku LV 35 26 30.5 8
TE Donald Parham Jr. KC 27 35 31 8
TE Jack Doyle NE 35 27 31 8
TE Nick Vannett @TB 28 35 31.5 8

 

FFzinger Highlight Player: Dalton Schultz, TE DAL

Ideally, we’re getting a piece of the high-scoring Dallas Cowboys offense with this play. Schultz has been hit-or-miss this season. In fact, he has yet to have a game between 20 and 40 yards on the season. He has nine games above 40 yards and has four games below 20 yards. With the Cowboys expected to be the fourth-highest scoring team this week with an implied team total of 27.75 points combined with the fact that the Giants have allowed sixth-most targets to the tight end position on the year (including eight to Schultz in week five), it’s both a good environment and good matchup for Schultz to thrive. Expect a solid TE1 performance with a good chance to find the end zone for one of 2021’s breakout tight ends.

Pahowdy Highlight Player: Ricky Seals-Jones, TE WAS

Desperate play at the tight end position? I got you. The Eagles have allowed 11 top-12 weeks to the tight end position and have elevated the passing volume of their opponents this year. Seals-Jones has missed some weeks this year but immediately returned to a 12% target share in week 14, and could easily catch a top-12 week with a touchdown against this defense.

That concludes this week’s rankings article! If you’re wondering about a player we didn’t dive into detail about, feel free to reach out to me or Peter Howard @PaHowdy on Twitter. Best of luck this week, and we’ll be back next week with more positional rankings.

Michael Zingone
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Week 15 Positional Rankings