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Twitter Observations: Chase Claypool WYD? Is Russell Wilson in Danger of Leaving Seattle?

We round up some of this week’s talking points.

Chase Claypool

The season is winding down and you’re on either the playoff side of the fence or the side looking at next year. Below are some tweets that might affect the former but have a much bigger impact on the latter.

The Hunger James

There’s no doubt that James Robinson has exceeded even his most optimistic supporter’s expectations. Since entering the league in 2020 and unexpectedly being named the starter, Robinson ran for 1,000 yards his rookie season and, should he stay healthy, may run for 1,000 yards again this season. He also sees plenty of attention in the passing game, totaling 49 receptions last year on 60 targets and already seeing 40 targets this season. If you didn’t know that Robinson wasn’t drafted or didn’t know who he signed with, you’d look at a running back with those numbers and think the 23-year old was a budding dynasty stud. But is he?

Dynasty Impact: Luck has played a huge role in the emergence of Robinson as a fantasy and dynasty asset. It was not just being signed by a team with so little on the depth chart, but also that same team drafting his replacement in the first round and that replacement, Travis Etienne, tearing his ACL before the season even started.

If you held on to Robinson either this year or last, you’re already playing with house money. But I would be looking to get out, even this year if the trade deadline hasn’t passed in your league. Just look at the players you should get straight up for him according to the DLF Trade Analyzer:

All of these players have more stable outlooks heading into next season and beyond than Robinson. Remember that Etienne will return and Robinson has one year and very little money left on his contract. It’s likely the Jaguars keep them both – which they should as both are slated to be excellent and cheap – but, if so, it will doom their fantasy value at least for next year. I would look to move Robinson while you still can.

We Found Russ in a Hopeless Place

Here we go again. NFL Twitter was aflutter last off-season at the thought of Russell Wilson being traded. Granted, it would have been a big move and one that changed the trajectory of the Seahawks and dynasty teams alike. But it didn’t happen and Wilson has spent the 2021 season as a Seahawk.

But something funny is going on in Seattle. Not only are the Seahawks nowhere near the playoff race but Wilson is showing signs of decline. His current yards-per-game average of 227 would be his lowest since 2018 and he currently has just 14 passing touchdowns and is on his lowest pace for a season total in five years. In NFL terms, it would be a good thing for Seattle to move on from Wilson and get as much draft capital as they can get. They currently don’t have a first-round pick in 2022 thanks to the Jamal Adams pick and have holes all over the roster.

Dynasty Impact: While this season may have been Wilson’s worst in quite a long time, the gradual decline of his dynasty value has been happening for some time.

He’s now on the edge of being a QB2 when it comes to fantasy scoring. That’s not a problem for superflex leagues but his days of being a starter in 1QB leagues may soon be coming to an end. Even if he were to go to one of the three teams mentioned above, his age and skill are not what they used to be while there are younger, better options at the position that could soon overtake him. I would look to move him in the off-season and hope to cash in on any optimism another team may have for him.

Fantasy Lenny

The tweet itself is funny and proof of Leonard Fournette’s elite tweeting level but his play on the field is getting close to elite level too. It’s not an exaggeration to say he’s in the midst of his best season as a pro. He’s on pace to score the most rushing touchdowns he’s ever had (even accounting for the extra game this season), his 4.4 yards-per-carry average is currently a career-best and his reception numbers – even if the season stopped right now – would be the second-best totals of his career despite playing just 12 games. There are several dynasty teams (mine included) that are in the playoffs this season partially due to Fournette.

Dynasty Impact: It would have been understandable for you to join the majority of the dynasty community in dumping your shares of Fournette before the season. Everyone else seemed to be.

And while Fournette’s dynasty value will surely tick up this off-season – no matter where he plays – I wouldn’t jump back on the Fournette train. He’ll be 27 next season and, while his resurgence has been a good story and good for everyone involved, it doesn’t mean he’ll be able to keep it up. Let someone else pay for an aging running back who benefitted from the offense around him.

A (Clay)Pool’s Paradise

Unfortunately, viewers will not remember the game Chase Claypool had – he had his best one in a month – but rather his action at the end of the game. Claypool has taken full responsibility and it’s unlikely it actually cost the Steelers the game but whether it did or not, it was ill-advised.

Hopefully, it won’t shade Claypool’s entire season as he’s actually improved his yards-per-reception and yards-per-game numbers from his rookie season when he broke out. Granted, he’s nowhere near his nine touchdown total from 2020 but everything else is trending up.

Dynasty Impact: There’s a lot of changes coming to Pittsburgh this off-season including the pending departure of Ben Roethlisberger. There will be others leaving too which puts the situation around Claypool and the rest of the offense in doubt. Claypool has been fantastic the first two seasons of his career but with his current value of a first-round rookie pick (according to our DLF Trade Analyzer), I would look to cash in on him before it’s too late and he ends up back in Pittsburgh with a darker future than before.

Twitter Observations: Chase Claypool WYD? Is Russell Wilson in Danger of Leaving Seattle?
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Thomas Jones
1 year ago

Great read! I’d only correct that Etienne’s injury is a Lisfranc. I honestly think he’d have a better shot at going back to 100% from an ACL tear, but hopefully the foot surgery doesn’t zap too much of his explosiveness.

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