The fantasy football community lost a great person recently when Mike Tagliere of FantasyPros passed away from COVID-19, despite being fully vaccinated against the disease. His shocking and sudden passing has left a huge void behind the scenes in the industry and he leaves behind a beautiful family, including Tabbie (Mike’s wife) and their children, Alyssa (18) and Jonathan (4). Many have rallied to support the Tagliere family and there’s a GoFundMe account set up to do just that. If any of you feel the calling to give, there are few people better to support than “Tags.” He will be missed!
I’m honored to write DLF’s traditional Sunday Six Pack series this year. However, it’s essential to go beyond predicting and discussing what will happen. Therefore, I will look at my storylines from the weekly Six Pack and summarize the results in these Monday Hangover articles. Occasionally, I will also add other important reactions from the week, whether injuries, breakouts, or busts. So let’s jump into it!
Elijah Moore’s Buy-Low Window
If there was even the slightest buy-low window on Moore, it just slammed shut this week. The Jets’ offense wasn’t great in their 24-17 loss to the Dolphins, but Moore was the highlight of the week. He caught eight of 11 targets for 141 yards and a touchdown, and he added a carry for 15 yards. The Jets and quarterback Joe Flacco used Moore as their clear top receiver, ahead of Corey Davis and Jamison Crowder, who had seven targets apiece.
Of course, Zach Wilson is the Jets’ future quarterback, and we haven’t seen Moore break out with Wilson in the lineup. However, it’s time for Moore to skyrocket up dynasty rankings. I already discussed his ADP value in the Six Pack, but even his DLF dynasty rank of WR33 seems far too low. I ranked him WR25 entering this week, and I believe he must join the top 24 after this monster game.
Let’s also use the DLF Trade Finder to look at some trades involving Moore.
Feel free to call me an ageist if you want to, but I’d definitely rather have Moore over DeAndre Hopkins in dynasty leagues right now. Moore is about eight years younger than Hopkins, and Hopkins hasn’t been anywhere near the same fantasy force this year as past seasons. So getting a third-rounder with Moore is just a bonus.
Unfortunately, there’s nothing I can say about Fields from this week. He exited the Bears’ 16-13 loss to the Ravens with a rib injury, forcing Andy Dalton to play the rest of the contest. Fields had a poor game before he left, completing four of 11 passes for 79 yards and taking four carries for 23 yards. This week, the Bears also didn’t have Allen Robinson due to a hamstring issue, and the entire offense looked like a mess.
Moving forward, I hope the Bears play it safe with Fields and don’t rush him back too soon. He likely will sit out their next game on Thanksgiving versus the Lions, but hopefully, he returns shortly after that. This game also had another interesting takeaway in that Darnell Mooney had an excellent game with five receptions for 121 yards and a touchdown, but it took him a whopping 16 targets to get there.
Mooney will likely need to step up after Robinson leaves in free agency as one of Fields’ top weapons in 2022. But more importantly, the Bears need to fire head coach Matt Nagy and general manager Ryan Pace before they can do any more damage to this roster. They’ve managed to alienate Robinson completely, and David Montgomery looked highly frustrated in this game as well. For Fields’ sake, I hope this team looks completely different in 2022.
The Quiet Death of Jarvis Landry
Like Fields, Landry also left this week early with an injury, this time a knee issue, in the Browns’ ugly 13-10 win over the Lions. Before he left, Landry chipped in four catches on eight targets for 26 yards, and he added a 16-yard rushing touchdown. This performance represents Landry’s best fantasy game since week one, although it still wasn’t a monster output.
The Browns didn’t have Donovan Peoples-Jones or Anthony Schwartz for this game, and while Landry was fine, he didn’t truly step up. As I mentioned in the Six Pack, I’m interested in moving on from Landry right now. Assuming he’s healthy, this touchdown will provide a potential selling window. Let’s use the trade finder once again to look at some possible Landry deals.
This deal is exactly what I’m looking for to move on from Landry. Collins isn’t relevant, but I’ll quickly take any 2022 second-rounder and get Landry off my dynasty team.
I almost didn’t believe this trade when I saw it, but I’d smash my finger on the accept button on this offer. Robinson will be on a new team in 2022, and he’s a far superior player to Landry anyway. Considering that Robinson is almost a year younger, there’s no argument for the Landry side here.
Is Marcus Johnson Relevant?
I’ll avoid wasting much of your time on Johnson. He had one target that he didn’t catch in the Titans’ stunning 22-13 loss to the Texans. Considering that Ryan Tannehill had 52 passing attempts, there’s no reason to roster or even think about Johnson ever again.
However, the Titans did have some sleeper receiving weapons this week. Out of nowhere, Dontrell Hilliard stepped into Jeremy McNichols’ receiving back role and led the team with eight receptions and ten targets. He also added seven rushes for 35 yards, siphoning touches from D’Onta Foreman and Adrian Peterson. I don’t think Hilliard will have much fantasy relevance. Still, his strong performance means that neither Foreman nor Peterson will ever see significant receiving work and therefore fantasy value, even with McNichols out.
Beyond Hilliard and top receiver AJ Brown, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Chester Rogers, Dez Fitzpatrick, and Anthony Firkser each had six or more targets. Rogers is purely a journeyman veteran, while Firkser only had any value because Geoff Swaim was out. But Fitzpatrick and Westbrook-Ikhine are more intriguing. Westbrook-Ikhine had a few good games earlier this season, and he led the team with seven receptions for 107 yards this week. So he’s at least worth watching moving forward.
As for Fitzpatrick, he was a fourth-round pick this year who somehow didn’t make the initial 53-man roster. But he stuck around on the practice squad, finally getting his chance to play once Julio Jones went on injured reserve. He only had three receptions for 35 yards and a touchdown, but his draft capital makes him more interesting than Westbrook-Ikhine. I’d consider adding Fitzpatrick to the end of my bench in the deepest dynasty leagues.
Can Adam Trautman Convert Volume into Fantasy Points?
This week, Trautman finally delivered on his volume in the Saints’ 40-29 loss to the Eagles. He tied for the team lead with eight targets, converting those into five receptions for 58 yards and a touchdown. His 18-yard touchdown was a beautiful play in the end zone, adjusting to a mediocre throw from Trevor Siemian.
One of my favorite DLF colleagues recently tweeted about Trautman, building on the potential breakout case I discussed in the Six Pack.
Adam Trautman has an 18.7% target share in the two games started by Trevor Siemian. Trautman set a career-high with 5 receptions last week and then tied that career-high with 5 more receptions this week.
— Shane says (@ShaneIsTheWorst) November 22, 2021
Let’s also remember that Trautman is only a second-year player and only 24 years old. The Saints have to get a quarterback upgrade next year, and even going back to Jameis Winston would be a massive improvement over Siemian. Trautman has third-round draft capital, so he may be a relevant receiving weapon in the Saints’ future plans. He’s a good target as a throw-in on trades and off waivers in shallower dynasty leagues.
Cam Newton’s Revenge Game
Unfortunately for the Panthers, this revenge game went in the opposite direction, as Taylor Heinicke got his own revenge in a 27-21 victory. However, Newton had a solid fantasy day, with 189 passing yards and two touchdowns and 46 rushing yards and a touchdown. I still doubt that Newton is the Panthers’ 2022 starting quarterback, but he might provide fantasy value over the back half of this season.
But as I discussed in the Six Pack, Newton’s return may kill the value of all the Panthers’ fantasy weapons. Christian McCaffrey had a solid game, although he only had ten carries for 59 yards. Luckily, he made up for that lack of rushing volume with seven catches for 60 yards and a touchdown through the air. Even with Newton at quarterback vulturing rushing touchdowns, McCaffrey will rank as the RB1 or RB2 in start/sit rankings every week, competing with Jonathan Taylor.
Beyond McCaffrey, though, there wasn’t much receiving production to go around. DJ Moore had a good game with five catches for 50 yards on seven targets, and Robby Anderson showed some life with five receptions for 30 yards. But Newton can’t seem to throw the ball deep, limiting both players’ ceilings.
Most concerningly, Terrace Marshall seems to be an afterthought, as he failed to catch his only target. It looks like Newton prefers Anderson over Marshall as his WR2, although I doubt you can start anyone other than Newton, McCaffrey, and Moore weekly in this offense. Also, remember that dynasty managers are fickle. Marshall won’t hold his WR41 and 88.25 overall ADP value in the off-season if he continues to produce nothing for the rest of this season.
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