Dynasty League Football


Not All Rookie Duds Are Created Equal

Are players who flopped in year one worth targeting? Do they regain value? We take a closer look.

Henry Ruggs

Are players who flopped in year one worth targeting? Do they regain value? We take a closer look.


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Not All Rookie Duds Are Created Equal
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Robert Cockburn
1 year ago

Appreciate the article and I subscribe to Drew’s BPP philosophy which incorporates this kind of thinking. But on reading the article I wonder if there was a typo in the example.

“For example, if a player had an ADP Value of 100 following their rookie year, and an ADP Value of 150 following their second season, we’d consider that an ROI of 150%. If they instead saw their ADP Value dip to 50, that’s an ROI of 50%.”

Maybe it’s me. But I’d have thought 100 in y1 dropping to 150 in y2 was the decline and loss of ROI. If y2 ADP increased to 50 wouldn’t that be the win?

Gregory Massa
Reply to  Cooper Adams
1 year ago

Follow up Q, because I was initially confused as well.. Is there an article describing the differences between ADP and ADP Value? To be honest, this was the first I’d ever read about ADP value.

1 year ago

Based on your criteria would Jeudy fall in to this face planter category?

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