Nice deep dive but the rankings are somewhat trivial without other numbers to compare them to. For instance, his teams average a finish of 18th but if 18th and 1st are only separated by 3 pts. a game, then it doesn’t matter. If they are separated by 10 pts. a game, then the difference is significant. We talk about this all the time when discussing the hodgepodge of players in the 4th and 5th round range in seasonal leagues and how there is little statistical difference between them even though they may be 12 spots apart in the rankings.
Additionally, you don’t take into account what bad players, bad defenses, bad O-lines or injuries did to skew the stats. He has not played with Aaron Rodgers or Marshall Faulk together for 10 years to provide much of a level of consistency. I am not an Arians apologist but this just seems like an argument lacking some qualifying data to put the whole picture together.
It would be amazing to know who is at the top and bottom of these rankings and why to give an idea of how actionable the data is. I understand there is only so much room in one article but this is by far the best team he’s coached with a massively underrated O-line and defense. I think this may be an exception to the rule as it were.
Maybe as a head coach. His Super Bowl rings are from Pittsburgh though.
Yeah, I understand the overall idea of this article and you make some good points for a regular Bruce Arians team. But you are missing the one key item… TOM EFFIN BRADY. I do not believe for one second, nor should anyone, that Brady is just gonna run Arians system without major changes. Skill position player: Brady, Gronk, Evans, Godwin. That’s a video game all star team. Sure, they all can’t be top 12 at their positions but they won’t be WR3s, TE2s unless injured with Brady at the helm. Arians is a good coach and he will adapt. Let’s just sit back and enjoy the ride. This will be a fun offense to watch.
I’ve been debating selling Evans for awhile now. Arians does give me some pause. However, I feel he will tailor much of his offense around Tom. And as far as TB offenses go, it has been TE and RB friendly in past seasons. Perhaps Bruce meets in the middle more than he ever has due to their win now mode. Thanks for the article, very interesting.
Can you add a note about the Arians quarterbacks? I seem to remember him trotting out some real duds out of necessity. Bad quarterbacks drags down skill positions.
