DLF’s Dynasty Predictions: Best Dynasty Sell
Another off-season is drawing to a close, and real-deal football is almost here. To say a lot has changed since the Chiefs won Super Bowl LIV back in February would be like saying Patrick Mahomes signed a good contract. The dude just signed an extension worth half a billion dollars. But all the ups and downs of 2020 won’t stop us from rolling out DLF’s 2020 Fantasy Predictions.
As we do every year, we have several different articles for you in the following categories:
- Fantasy Comeback Player of the Year
- Best Dynasty Sell
- Best Dynasty Buy
- Fantasy Sleeper
- Bust of the Year
- Sleeper Rookie of the Year (outside our top 24)
- Fantasy Rookie of the Year
- Fantasy MVP
For day two, let’s take a look at our picks for Best Dynasty Sell:
Antonio Gibson, RB WAS
I really, really like Gibson, but once Derrius Guice was released, the hype train exploded out of the station. Could Gibson be an incredible NFL talent? Sure. Could he be a change-of-pace option who never sees meaningful volume? Sure. If you can cash in on Gibson’s hype, now might be the time to pull the trigger as you reflect on his 77-touch college career. – John Di Bari
Devin Singletary, RB BUF
Singletary was solid as a rookie posting 147.9 PPR points. Unfortunately, this might be the best it gets. He is small. He is slow. He is an average receiver. The team drafted a day-two running back the year after his solid rookie campaign. This smells like Tre Mason and Jeremy Langford all over again and to boot, his quarterback will steal at least half-a-dozen rushing touchdowns. – Scott Connor
Michael Thomas, WR NO
It pains me to say it, but I think this is the last huge season for the great Michael Thomas. He’ll be 28 and Drew Brees should be hanging them up. Once that happens, Thomas will be worth a fraction of what he’s worth today. This is your last chance to sell high, so it’d be wise to take advantage. – Mike Havens
Dalvin Cook, RB MIN
Love the player. I’m just not sure how many more injuries his body can take. Get out while you can regardless of the contract situation. – Jeremy Schwob
Leonard Fournette, RB FA
Editor’s Note: Shane made this pick before Fournette was released!
I recently wrote an article about why I’m not a fan of Fournette. I’ll just add some efficiency metrics to that take. He ranked in 43rd at the running back position in juke rate, 19th in evaded tackles (despite ranking seventh in rushing attempts), and 41st in fantasy points per opportunity per Fantasydata.com. I’m out on Fournette. – Shane Manila
Julio Jones, WR, ATL
Julio has been a really good fantasy asset for a long time. It’s tough to think about dealing him with his resume of consistency but that’s exactly what I’m doing. I’d rather part a year early from an aging asset still at the top of their game to maximize return and I think you can still do that with Julio. By this time next year, that window may already be closed. – James Koutoulas
Michael Gallup, WR DAL
I’m off Gallup. I’m not someone who believes the Cowboys will produce three fantasy-relevant wide receivers and to me, he is the odd man out. – Bobby Koch
Derrick Henry, RB TEN
Any remaining shares of Henry have either been moved or are in the process of trying to do so. Yes, the man is a behemoth who just won a rushing title. Yes, his ability to bulldoze his way into paydirt is nearly unparalleled in the NFL right now. I get all that. But the man takes a beating, just got a big payday, and is getting older. His cost is at an all-time high and I’m not sure I can buy into 300-plus touches for several more seasons. – John Hesterman
Adam Thielen, WR MIN
Thielen missed six games while putting up his lowest statistical output (30-418-6) since 2016 last season. He recently celebrated his 30th birthday (gasp!) and seems like his best days are behind him. Unless my team is built to win the championship this season, I want the Viking veteran off my squad before his value craters. – Josh Brickner
Davante Adams, WR GB
Realizing when it’s the right time to trade away a cornerstone dynasty asset is one of the most difficult parts of the game. The writing appears to be on the wall in Green Bay with the drafting of Jordan Love followed by Aaron Rodgers feeling disrespected and hinting at playing elsewhere sooner than later. I would look to trade Adams now while Rodgers is still throwing him the ball because I want nothing to do with him once Love takes over and his value drops like a rock. It’s the old cliche, “it’s better to sell a year too early than a year too late”. – Eric Olinger
Raheem Mostert, RB SF
We may have already seen the best from Mostert who is a fun splash player but unlikely to belong for a feature role. With exceptional speed, Mostert had a furious finish to 2019 but even in that second half surge he saw more than 15 touches in a game just three times. He is rarely used in the passing game, so his ceiling is capped as a fantasy player. The sheer reality is that sub-200 pound undrafted running backs who don’t catch passes are not going to have any long term value. Add in the fact he’s already 28 years old and it would be good to get any future asset in exchange. – Alfred Fernandez
Chris Godwin, WR TB
Godwin is a fantastic NFL player but this comes down to value for me. He’s WR6 in DLF ADP, which I think could be his peak value. His current ranking is in part related to a very good 2019 season, but that season was pumped up by a quarterback that was attempting a league-leading 39 attempts per game. I think the switch to Tom Brady will not be incredibly drastic, but could spell a lack of production. It’s always smart to sell when the return will be largest. – Adam Tzikas
Josh Allen, QB BUF
I can not figure out how people do not see the similarities among Blake Bortles, Mitchell Trubisky, and Allen. He is a massive sell for me as his passing game numbers have been erratic, at best. His rate stats, his accuracy stats and his advanced metrics all point to a player not equipped to be an NFL quarterback. Luckily he has been riding a wave of #qbwinz syndrome and has been dynamite in the scramble game. I am selling before that Buffalo team takes a step back and he is asked to go out and win games on his own. When that happens, the narrative will shift quickly and the end will be near. – Drew Osinchuk
Michael Gallup, WR DAL
Gallup is a solid wide receiver but will quickly become the third option in Dallas, possibly even fourth if Blake Jarwin breaks out. What we have seen is his ceiling and I don’t see him ever returning the value you expect at his price point. – Dwight Peebles
Melvin Gordon, RB DEN
Phillip Lindsay will still be a factor. Age and injury history make him a sell for me. Also, there are too many wide receivers in Denver. – Jeff Smith
DK Metcalf, WR SEA
It is shocking to me that Metcalf has found himself as the WR15 in August startup ADP, especially ahead of players like Courtland Sutton, Calvin Ridley, DJ Chark, and Terry McLaurin. I think Metcalf will have a great NFL career, but the price is too high right now, and I would much rather move him for a team WR1 like Chark or McLaurin or a higher volume team WR1b like Ridley or Sutton. – Addison Hayes
Teddy Bridgewater, QB CAR
While everyone seems to be pointing towards this season being the pinnacle of a redemption arc for Bridgewater, I, for one, don’t subscribe to that narrative. Instead, I think Bridgewater will be fighting against the ghost of Cam Newton in Carolina. The second he posts anything but a lights-out performance, detractors will use it as ammunition to show that the Panthers made a bad decision in parting ways with Newton. A player can only face the kind of scrutiny for so long before their game, and value, suffers. – The FFGhost
Amari Cooper, WR DAL
Cooper is a fine receiver in a great offense, but he lacks consistency. This lack of consistency is what leads me to believe he is not long for the WR1 role in Dallas. Insert CeeDee Lamb, the stereotypical Alpha, and it gets tough to see Cooper increasing his current value. – Adam Wilde
Dalvin Cook, RB MIN
Something about Cook just makes me nervous long-term. I know many argue against the idea that some players are injury prone, but my gut tells me to consider that possibility with Cook. You’ll surely have to bake in an injury discount in your selling price, but I’d rather get out now than later. – Ryan Finley
There you have it. Who do you like for this year’s Best Dynasty Sell? Comment below!
- Sunday Six Pack: Week Seven - October 25, 2020
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- DLF’s Dynasty Predictions: Fantasy Rookie of the Year - September 7, 2020