Twitter Observations: Jarvis Landry and Allen Robinson Being Overlooked?
Last week in this space, we covered running backs young and old who were discussed on Twitter. Those discussions inevitably lead to their dynasty value going up and down and prompt the trades you see going down in your league.
Now we move on to wide receivers who, some would argue, have bigger ramifications for your teams. Most fantasy players by now know that running backs have a much shorter shelf life compared to receivers, which means if you pick the right receiver, you can have the position locked up for a while. On the flip side, if you miss, you could pay for that mistake for years to come.
So, without further ado, let’s login and see which receivers made the Twittersphere this week.
A reminder: This space will be dedicated to an assortment of things we find on Twitter and what it means for our dynasty teams. Most fantasy tweets undoubtedly have a redraft slant to them but we’re here to talk about the dynasty implications.
Bear Market
Top-9 success rate vs. man coverage scores in 2019 #ReceptionPerception:
1) Allen Robinson 79.3%
2) Michael Thomas 78.6%
3) Davante Adams 78%
4) Calvin Ridley 77.6%
5) Tyler Lockett 77.5%
6) DeAndre Hopkins 77%
7) Tyreek Hill 76.7%
8) Keenan Allen 76.6%
9) Stefon Diggs 76.5%— Matt Harmon (@MattHarmon_BYB) June 10, 2020
For leading a group of such talented receivers, you’d think Allen Robinson would be more highly-regarded in dynasty circles. Yet, Robinson is ranked as just a mid-to-lower WR2 among our dynasty rankers and one of the lower dynasty players among the group mentioned in the tweet above. It’s most likely because of the lack of support he has going into 2020. He’ll be catching passes from either draft-bust Mitchell Trubisky or veteran retread Nick Foles, while the best Chicago could do in the way of adding other pass catchers to the offense was signing tight end Jimmy Graham. All of which is to say nothing has enhanced Robinson’s dynasty value this off-season.
Dynasty Impact: For a 26-year old receiver coming off their second top-ten fantasy scoring finish, you would think Robinson would be ranked higher than just a mid-level WR2, yet here we are. But remember that Robinson has been able to achieve these numbers despite predominantly playing with two of the biggest busts in draft history in Trubisky and Blake Bortles in Jacksonville. Seemingly quarterback-proof, Robinson represents a decent value right now if you’re looking for a WR1 player. After all, he’s been there before:
And with the Bears making 2020 a make-or-break year for Trubisky, it’s possible Robinson finally sees some relief at quarterback as soon as next year.
Hollywood Sign
Most TDs from the slot in 2019
Marquise Brown – 6 TD
Mecole Hardman – 6 TD
Tyler Lockett – 6 TDBurners 🔥 🔥 pic.twitter.com/uXO9YEmsNF
— PFF (@PFF) June 12, 2020
Marquise Brown, and the Ravens offense in general, put the league on notice from the very beginning of the 2019 season. Not only did Brown hang 147 yards and two touchdowns on the Dolphins in the season-opener but the Ravens put 59 points on the board. But unlike the Ravens offense, which kept on humming all season, Brown slowed down considerably and scored only five more times all season while never totaling more than 90 yards. Some of it was Brown still recovering from an injury, but it begs the question that if he could produce in week one, why couldn’t he the rest of the way?
Dynasty Impact: There’s little doubt that Brown did most of his damage from the slot last season, as indicated by the tweet above. But can he still produce on the outside? The Ravens seem to be collecting slot receivers in quick succession after drafting Miles Boykin last year and Devin Duvernay this year, who lined up in the slot at Texas 97% of the time. This would indicate they’re not necessarily planning on moving forward with the incumbent – Brown – and intend to utilize him elsewhere. Yet, he hasn’t shown an ability to do that yet and is only now 100% healthy. Brown is currently ranked as our WR31 and, using the DLF Trade Analyzer, could be swapped for the following:
Any of those receivers would be better for your dynasty team than Brown right now. They all have a track record of success while proving they are more than just one dimensional.
Off to the Races
Highest Graded Rookie WRs of the Decade
1. Odell Beckham – 91.2
2. Terry McLaurin – 86.5
3. Michael Thomas – 86.3
4. Mike Evans – 84.0 pic.twitter.com/LXObssZ5x6— PFF (@PFF) June 8, 2020
Not bad company to be in if you’re Terry McLaurin. Despite being the 12th receiver taken in the 2019 NFL Draft, he ended the season posting the second-best PFF grade for a rookie receiver since 2010. All while playing on a Washington offense that finished third-last in DVOA and was led by the uninspiring two-headed monster of Dwayne Haskins and Case Keenum at quarterback. In fairness, Haskins did gradually improve towards the end of the season.
Dynasty Impact: McLaurin is getting a lot of hype this off-season for a couple of reasons. The tweet referenced above along with entering year two of working with Haskins. Washington also failed to make a significant move when it came to adding any pieces to the offense. Yes, they added a running back and receiver in the third and fourth rounds respectively, but no one will be challenging McLaurin for targets this season. Currently, our DLF rankers have McLaurin on the WR2/3 line which sounds about right. In that case, he would be a strong hold. However, if a league mate views him as a WR1 and is willing to trade for that, you should accept.
Brown Out
Longest active streaks of consecutive 200+ PPR seasons for WRs
Julio Jones – 6
Mike Evans – 6
Jarvis Landry – 5
Davante Adams – 4
Michael Thomas – 4— Curtis Patrick (@CPatrickNFL) June 12, 2020
While the rest of this list includes prototypical WR1s – big, strong, red-zone targets – Jarvis Landry is the exception. Of course, it helps that Landry has been a target hog for his entire career. All Landry has done is garner the seventh-most targets for a receiver over their first six seasons (since targets were tracked).
Landry’s fantasy finishes are even more impressive when you consider the quarterbacks throwing to the other receivers in the tweet. Players like Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers are a tad better than the quarterbacks Landry has worked, with include Ryan Tannehill and Baker Mayfield. So, it’s certainly not a surprise that Landry has racked up 200-point fantasy seasons.
Dynasty Impact: While no one questions the fantasy relevance of every other receiver in that tweet, Landry seems to be receiving the most doubt heading into the 2020 season. That doubt has crept into his dynasty ranking according to dynasty ADP.
He’s now being taken as a WR2/3 yet is a virtual lock for another 200-point fantasy season. And we haven’t even touched on the fact that he did it with former LSU teammate Odell Beckham arriving in Cleveland. Using the DLF Trade Analyzer, Landry could be had for the eighth pick in rookie drafts this year. That represents a pick outside the consensus top-seven (five running backs, two receivers) currently going in rookie drafts. If that’s all it took for Landry, I would be all over it.
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