All through the off-season we work to give DLF readers an edge in their dynasty leagues. That’s useless unless we can prove we’re OK at actually making decent predictions. This series looks back through our final pre-season projections and sees how good or bad they were.
The linemen were all fairly good here – aside from the two most important ones. D.J. Reader was unexpectedly excellent and delivered far above his tackles and pressure totals (although not sacks). J.J. Watt missed a large portion of the season with a torn pec and failed to hit his numbers.
Johnathan Joseph was a good projection at corner, but Bradley Roby and Aaron Colvin both finished well under as the Texans obtained project players Gareon Conley and Vernon Hargreaves. This is a rough group of players.
The top two edge rushers were very good predictions. Justin Houston was two solos, one assist and two sacks out; Jabaal Sheard one solo, three assists and one sack off. Sadly, Kemoko Turay missed most of the season and did not get close to his targets.
Darius Leonard also was hurt but still played 27 snaps more than projected (injury rates are built into the model). He was 16 solos down and 12 assists up which seems acceptably accurate. Anthony Walker was again a very productive part-time player and beat all his targets.