All through the off-season we work to give DLF readers an edge in their dynasty leagues. That’s useless unless we can prove we’re OK at actually making decent predictions. This series looks back through our final pre-season projections and sees how good or bad they were.
Dallas Cowboys
Maliek Collins’ inefficiency was helpful here. He created far more pressure than projected but because he converted few of them into his sacks his numbers ended up fairly accurate. Unfortunately, Antwaun Woods created almost no pressure which made him much less accurate.
At DE the Cowboys sprang a surprise by rotating players far more than expected. Giving Demarcus Lawrence such a low snap count after paying him so much money was an interesting strategy. As a result, his sacks were way short even though his tackle numbers were good. The rest of the hierarchy was off too. Robert Quinn played a lot, which meant he smashed his predictions. Note the discrepancy between him and Lawrence in pressures/sacks. Quinn was not as good as people think he was.
Jaylon Smith managed to stay healthier than expected so he came in a bit above prediction, but Leighton Vander Esch was much more injured and didn’t get close to his.
At corner Byron Jones was a bit under with Chidobe Awuzie a bit over.
And finally, at safety Jeff Heath missed his targets as he missed more time than expected. Xavier Woods was a good projection and finished close in most stats but was a poor IDP option.
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