All through the off-season we work to give DLF readers an edge in their dynasty leagues. That’s useless unless we can prove we’re OK at actually making decent predictions. This series looks back through our final pre-season projections to see how good or bad they were.
Some were uncannily accurate, some were poor, but we don’t hide behind injuries and other excuses. We were either acceptably accurate or we were not. And where we were not, we take it on the chin and vow to improve.
The Broncos were a disappointing team in 2019 and the defense especially so. The arrival of Vic Fangio as head coach led plenty to believe their defense would be immediately turned around to become an elite unit, but that was not the case.
They did finish 10th in points allowed and 12th in yards, but they were just 24th in total pressure and the whole unit had a work-in-progress feel.
The top two tackles did better than expected, with Mike Purcell in particular piling up way more tackles. Shelby Harris also managed an impressive eight PDs.
The ends were more disappointing. Derek Wolfe is an OK player who still enjoys an inflated reputation because of the Broncos’ great title winning defense. He finished on a down note, even with seven sacks. Adam Gotsis also finished low in all categories. This team needs an interior lineman to grab a role here.
At linebacker the story of the year was Josey Jewell totally failing to take his chance and Alexander James "AJ" Johnson winning the job next to Todd Davis. Johnson ended up close to the third LB numbers predicted here, but his value is higher given the excitement about him. Davis also ended up over-performing given he held a starting job and remained mainly healthy.
On the edge Von Miller was fairly accurate. He was two sacks short, but only a few tackles and snaps away from prediction. Bradley Chubb got hurt early and finished way short. Malik Reed actually won the job over Justin Hollins, which explains the inaccuracy. If they had been pegged in the right order, they’d have been much closer.
The corners were all relatively close but disappointing, which describes the unit fairly accurately.
At safety Justin Simmons had a career year. He beat predictions comfortably in solo tackles, PDs and interceptions. He had an excellent year and his value has adjusted accordingly.