DLF’s 2019 Predictions: Best Dynasty Sell

Ryan Finley

It’s now been over 200 days since the Patriots defeated the Rams in Super Bowl LIII. That’s over 200 days of content including research, articles, podcasts and more getting ready for the next fantasy season.

Well, the wait is almost over, as the 2019 NFL Football season is right around the corner. That also means that it’s time for DLF’s 2019 Fantasy Predictions. As we do every year, we have several different prediction articles for you in the following categories:

  • Fantasy Comeback Player of the Year
  • Best Dynasty Sell
  • Best Dynasty Buy
  • Fantasy Sleeper
  • Bust of the Year
  • Sleeper Rookie of the Year (outside our top 24)
  • Fantasy Rookie of the Year
  • Fantasy MVP
  • Next up in the series we have our picks for the Best Dynasty Sell:

Davante Adams, WR GB

Adams is an excellent talent and will have a terrific 2019 season. He is currently the WR3 with an ADP of 7.00. However, he is going on 27 years old and has a history of injury problems, including concussions. You will never be able to sell him at a higher price than now even if he produces well for the next season. – Noah Ballweg

Dalvin Cook, RB MIN

Leonard Fournette‘s and Derrius Guice‘s dynasty stocks took a pretty big hit with their inability to stay healthy the past two years, so why hasn’t Dalvin Cook’s? If Cook cannot stay healthy this year his stock is likely to take a similar hit. If he can, he still needs to be very productive to return value on his current price (RB9 in August ADP). – Kyle Holden

Sony Michel, RB NE

I would say Damien Williams, but I already wrote about him. I’ll go with Michel. His knees look and sound like they are deteriorating. He tore his ACL as a sophomore in High School in 2011. He injured his left knee again in 2017 during the SEC title game. He sprained his ankle and missed four games with a shoulder injury in 2014, then re-injured the same shoulder in 2015, played with a fracture in his hand that season, then broke his forearm in 2016, and sprained his ankle again in 2017. Had his knee drained in August of 2018, and had a knee scope this past offseason. The Pats drafted Harris in the 3rd round and already have James White. Gotta be worried about bone-on-bone at this point, and where there’s smoke, there’s fire. – Levi Chappell

Kerryon Johnson, RB DET

I’m probably the most unpopular person in dynasty right now with this taek, but Johnson’s just never been more than “fine” in my opinion and “fine” RB’s with all the volume struggle to be top-12 players. He’s RB13 right now in DLF ADP, and he’s being drafted in the second round of startups. If he’s anything less than Kareem Hunt (RB12 in 2018,) he’ll lose value and DET ain’t 2018 KC. – Peter Howard

Tyreek Hill, WR KC

It honestly feels like it’s just a matter of time until the bottom falls out, and I don’t want to be holding him when I can get value for him right now. – Dwight Peebles

Patrick Mahomes, QB KC

Mahomes reminds me a little bit of Dan Marino in the sense that his sophomore season in the NFL is likely to be his best. Unless Mahomes ends up being greatest quarterback in NFL history, he’ll never justify his current price and hype. I’ll be selling while the selling is good, especially in single quarterback leagues. Like any stock, buy low and sell high – and Mahomes will never be priced higher than he is today. – John Di Bari

Chris Godwin, WR TB

This isn’t to say I don’t feel Godwin can be a successful fantasy asset this season. I’m moving on from him because of his value. Godwin is being valued now at his ceiling and I prefer to take the equity built up in him rather than holding and hoping he hits that ceiling. – James Koutoulas

Tyreek Hill, WR KC

I don’t want any part of him on my team. I’d say get out while you can still get good value and watch as he does something else stupid to get suspended. –Doug Green

Damien Williams, RB KC

He’s in the downturn portion of his career, yet he’s being valued as a third round pick in startups. I don’t get it. How many elite seasons do you really think he has in him? The most yards he’s ever had in a season is 256. Hard sell. – Mike Havens

Baker Mayfield, QB CLE

It is not that I dislike Mayfield. Quite the opposite; I think he is going to be a high-end quarterback for a long time. It just seems the helium around him has taken him into the elite-tier of quarterbacks and I think this is an optimal time to put him on the market and see what you can get. You may be able to make a lateral move at QB with a sweetener added. Given how deep QB has become, I am comfortable parting with Mayfield if the price is right. – Rob Willette

Damien Williams, RB KC

If you have Damien Williams on your dynasty team there is no way you should enter week one without trying like hell to trade him. I get that he finished strong in 2018 after Kareem Hunt was released. I get that he plays on the Chiefs’ high powered offense. The problem I have is that he’s 27 years old, never carried the ball more than 50 times in a regular season and his own coach talks about using a committee attack at the running back position. This is a situation screaming sell. – Eric Olinger

Top-Five Running Backs

Like mid-level running backs, top-tier running backs have only a limited amount of time to be fantasy relevant. Between real-life economics, age concerns, etc., it’s just not smart to invest a lot in the position, especially when it comes to your dynasty team. I’d be looking to get maximum value for them while I still can. – Michael Moore

Kalen Ballage, RB MIA

I know that #MetricsTwitter loves him because he’s big and fast. But he lacks agility and ability to break tackles, despite his size. Even if Kenyan Drake misses a game or two, he’s the superior player, and at best I think Ballage tops out as the “1b” on a bad team. If you can even get a second round pick now, I think you sell. – Eric Hardter

Nick Chubb, RB CLE

Chubb is undoubtedly a gifted runner (#1 Run Grade per PFF), but as the #11 overall asset in DLF’s latest top 200 rankings, I would be looking elsewhere. There are a plethora of weapons in Cleveland’s dynamic new-look offense, and I worry about Chubb producing top-ten overall stats with so many red zone threats on one team. He is someone I would be looking to sell extremely high after the first five or six weeks of the year before his production dips heading into the playoffs and possibly beyond, should they choose to keep Hunt and his All-Pro caliber receiving abilities. – Ryan Miller

Zach Ertz, TE PHI

Remember this day as the exact moment when Ertz’s DLF startup ADP (3.07) reached its peak. Despite nursing a calf injury, Dallas Goedert looks poised to be ready for week one and cap the two-time Pro Bowler’s upside. Goedert played 60% of offensive snaps in the last four weeks of the regular season in 2018 catching 12 of 13 targets for 113 yards and a score. Look for the North Dakota St. product to take a big second-year leap dragging down Ertz’s value with each passing week. – Josh Brickner

David Johnson, RB ARI

Kliff Kingsbury’s arrival in Arizona hurts Johnson as much as just about anyone on the team. The Cards have invested heavily in the passing game with an Air Raid disciple crafting the offense, first overall pick Kyler Murray, and a bevy of young, early-round selections at receiver. In addition to this natural inclination to the passing game, we’re probably going to be seeing Arizona play from behind a lot, meaning even more passing. Johnson is a strong receiving back, but there are simply so many options for Murray to throw to (including Chase Edmonds), it’s hard to see him making up the loss in rushing volume with an increase in receiving volume. To make matters worse, with his current contract, we’re unlikely to see him playing anywhere but Arizona until 2021. – Stephen Gill

Chris Carson, RB SEA

I know the reports out of Seattle are glowing, and things don’t look good for his counterpart Penny, but the truth is that Carson is a 7th rounder who struggles with injuries. He may be good, but it won’t take much for him to be out of the league in 2 years. – Austin DeWitt

Top-Three Tight Ends

All the top tier tight ends (Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, George Kittle) are wildly overpriced. Cash out and target their cheaper, younger counterparts (OJ Howard, Evan Engram, Hunter Henry). – Jacob Wolf

Tyreek Hill, WR KC

I just have to get out. I get the feeling Hill is perched upon a house of cards right now, and the slightest disruption will send him tumbling. I just don’t like to roster guys who carry the kind of red flags that can cause them to vanish in a puff of smoke. – Ryan Finley

There you have it. Who are you looking to sell this year? Comment below!