Devy Stock Market
The fantasy football stock market is constantly fluctuating and it is always important for us to know which players have a price that has become exploitable whether it be to buy or sell. Pieces like this one have been commonplace in the industry for a while in both redraft and dynasty, but I will be focusing on college players for devy dynasty leagues and how their week-to-week performances are affecting their price in those leagues.
Buy, buy, buy, Burrow — Joe Burrow, QB LSU
The quarterback position in 2019 is the deepest it has been in many years, with the likes of Trevor Lawrence, Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Herbert, Jordan Love, Jake Fromm and Justin Fields — all projected to be 1st round picks in the next two years.
Burrow joins this group of quarterbacks with his excellent play in 2019. He sits third in college football with a 13.4 adjusted yards per attempt. He is second in passing yards with 1,864, one of only two in the top nine that play at a power five school. He has also been staying away from the turnover with only three interceptions on the season.
Likely unowned in most devy leagues, unless people drafted him while he was still at Ohio State, Burrow will be one of the highest drafted in rookie drafts. I think he could still be a good buy high in the rare leagues that he is owned, because even with his breakout 2019, most aren’t putting him in the same tier as Tagovailoa and Herbert. At this stage, I think he’s closer to those two than Love and Fromm.
Jonesing for Jordan — Brevin Jordan, TE Miami
The current tight end landscape in college football lacks the surefire 1st round tight end that we’ve seen in recent years with players like OJ Howard and TJ Hockenson. Many thought that Albert Okwuegbunam could enter that tier this year, but he has only 12 catches in five games this season. Right now, I think the leader for being a possible 1st round draft pick in college football should be Jordan.
The sophomore tight end has 23 catches in five games with 369 receiving yards. The tight end position often lacks a floor in college football, but Jordan has been consistent in 2019 with 70 or more receiving yards in four of five games with five or more catches in three of five games. He will be the surefire top devy asset at the position next offseason with Okwuegbunam likely to enter the NFL. His production in his first two seasons will make him the rare exception to the “fade tight ends in devy” advice.
Bonkers for Borghi — Max Borghi, RB Washington State
Borghi has been the best dual threat running back in college football this season. After 53 catches in 2018, Borghi is on pace to repeat that performance in 2019 with 22 catches in four games. His yards per catch has increased from 7.1 to 10.4, and his rushing production has also improved greatly. He has already surpassed his 2018 running stats with 376 rushing yards and a 7.7 yards per carry in 2019. I
n leagues where Borghi is owned, there is a small chance that whomever owns him sees Borghi more as a Mike Leach offense product than an NFL prospect, and if that is the case, he’s a great buy. For that same reason, Borghi will be a good value in devy leagues next offseason.
Anytime a power five running back is getting rushing and receiving volume, it is something to take notice of as a legitimate rushing and receiving threat in the NFL.
Taysir is Turning Up — Taysir Mack, WR Pittsburgh
Looking back at Mack’s 2018 season, he should’ve been a player I was interested in last season. In his first season at Pittsburgh, Mack averaged 22.3 yards per catch with 557 receiving yards, good for a 28% market share of the passing offense.
In 2019, Mack had a slow start, failing to eclipse 60 receiving yards in the first two games. In the following four games he has averaged 106 receiving yards, with at least 85 receiving yards in each outing. He has increased his market share of the offense to 30.8%, sitting at 13th in the nation in receiving yards.
Mack doesn’t fit the prototype of a player to leave college early, so he will likely be a nice senior sleeper pick in deep devy leagues next offseason.
Kenny G Plays The Music — Kenny Gainwell, RB Memphis
A common variable I look for with devy sleepers is whether predecessors were drafted early in the NFL draft. There are a number of reasons for this, including the fact that the school/coach has shown a recent history of prioritizing using the position and scouting the position well.
Gainwell steps in for Darrell Henderson and has done an excellent job in the RB1 role. He has 620 rushing yards with 8.2 yards per carry and six touchdowns in five games.
Last week, Gainwell had his third consecutive 100+ rushing yards game, and achieved the best statistical game of his college career with 209 rushing yards and two touchdowns. He will be one of my favorite non-power five options in devy leagues next offseason, making him one of the best values overall as non-power-five players are often undervalued in devy.
- Dynasty Commish Calendar: August - August 5, 2023
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