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Twitter Observations: Week Five

Michael Moore Posted On October 8, 2019
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We’re through Week Five which means we’re about one third of the way through the fantasy season and about halfway to the trade deadline in most dynasty leagues. Now is as good a time as any to start making moves for your team, whether it’s to get ahead of the pack and start your rebuild or to beat your rivals to those veterans that will help you to the playoffs.

Let’s log on to Twitter and glean some information that will help you decide (hint: also check out your point totals to get a good idea which side you’re on).

A reminder: This space will be dedicated to an assortment of things we find on Twitter and what it means for our dynasty teams. Most fantasy tweets undoubtedly have a redraft slant to it but we’re here to talk about the dynasty implications.

So Long, Farewell

Heading into the 2019 season, Jay Gruden was a leading candidate to be the first head coach fired. He never won more than nine games in his four seasons as head coach in Washington and had exactly one playoff appearance (which he lost in the first round). And between the disaster at quarterback that exasperated a 0-5 start this year, his fate was sealed and was let go (EARLY) Monday morning.

Dynasty Impact: On the one hand, it’ll be good to have a fresh start in Washington when it comes to coaching. It’s been a long time since they’ve produced consistent fantasy-relevant players and a new style that produces points on offense would be welcome by real-life and fantasy fans alike. On the other hand, it’s still the same owner and same General Manager (for now) that will be deciding the next step.

Somehow, the Redskins employed successful head coaches like Sean McVay, Kyle Shanahan and Matt LaFleur (all floursing at the moment) as assistants at one point but didn’t manage to keep any of them around. Hopefully they can find that magic again for their own top position. Of course, that means bringing in new players which means anyone currently fantasy relevant in Washington (looking at you Terry McLaurin) may not be around.

Hop in the Bucket

First and foremost, that tweet is funny. I genuinely LOL’d when I saw it. But it also highlights dynasty players frustrations with DeAndre Hopkins this year. The Texans have a top-10 offense (points and yards) yet Hopkins is barely a top-15 fantasy receiver. His 69 yards-per-game may be nice but would also be the second-lowest average since his rookie season. Furthermore, his 11.2 yards-per-reception is nearly three yards lower than his career-average and would be a career-low for any single season if it holds.

Dynasty Impact: Little-to-none. I certainly wouldn’t overreact by selling if I’m a Hopkins dynasty owner. He’s still a top fantasy receiver, even if the week-to-week production fluctuates. He’s still (relatively) young at 27, sits eighth in targets this season with 44 and tied to Deshaun Watson for the foreseeable future. If anything, I might start reaching out to Hopkins owners to see where their frustration level is at and see if you can buy low. Even better if they’re dynasty team is off to a slow start. Bill the 2020 NFL Draft as one of the strongest in recent history and your first-round pick a perfect way to replace him.

He could…go…all…the….way

If you’re a regular to this series, you’ve seen Scott’s work a few times now. I implore you to follow him if you aren’t already. If you already do, you’ve noticed Scott is one of the many fans Christian McCaffrey has gained in his brief career. And for good reason after McCaffrey totaled 1,000 total yards his rookie season then upped that to 1,900 yards last season. He’s now on pace to up it close to 1,000 more yards as evidenced by the tweet above.

Dynasty Impact: When I first saw this tweet, I was expecting it to be an example of how not to work your running backs into the ground. After all, it takes a lot of touches for anyone to total these numbers. But I was pleasantly surprised to see all of those players continue to be productive after their historic seasons. Even Barry Sanders and Tiki Barber, who retired one year removed from their respective seasons, had excellent years to close out their careers and (luckily) didn’t retire due to poor play.

All of this to say to not be worried about McCaffrey’s usage. Some dynasty players might be scared off by how much the Panthers are using McCaffrey (and looking to cash out on his current dynasty ranking) but half of the players on this list needed 400-touches, something CMC is well on his way to doing to get there. Yet they still produced in subsequent seasons and there’s no reason McCaffrey won’t either.

Danger, Danger Russ Wilson

Those numbers are downright Mahomes-ian. Despite the drop in passing yards the last few seasons, Russell Wilson keeps getting more efficient and throwing more touchdowns. After throwing for 30-plus touchdowns once in his first five seasons, he’s done it twice the last two seasons and is pace to do it again. This despite losing weapons over the years like Marshawn Lynch, Doug Baldwin, and Jimmy Graham.

Dynasty Impact: Wilson may not have the glitz of a Lamar Jackson or Deshaun Watson but he continues to be Mr. Reliable. He’s the second-highest scoring fantasy quarterback this season behind only Pat Mahomes and doesn’t show any signs of slowing down. He’s ranked fourth in our dynasty quarterback rankings and even that might still be too low. He’s one of two quarterbacks 30 years old or older in the top ten which might make him a value and someone you should target whether you’re re-building or a contender.

michael moore
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