Devy Stock Market
The fantasy football stock market is constantly fluctuating and it is always important for us to know which players have a price that has become exploitable whether it be to buy or sell. Pieces like this one have been commonplace in the industry for a while in both redraft and dynasty, but I will be focusing on college players for devy dynasty leagues and how their week-to-week performances are affecting their price in those leagues.
Just Keeps Falling Short — Justin Shorter, WR Penn State
Shorter came into Penn State as a 6’4” 220 pound, five-star wide receiver in 2018. He was compared to AJ Green due to his frame and skills at such a young age.
He battled injuries in his freshman season, but even when he was healthy, he saw limited action with three catches for 20 receiving yards in three games. Under the four-game threshold, he did get a redshirt for his first season. As a redshirt freshman in 2019, he has been on the field, but hasn’t put much production together with seven catches for 88 receiving yards.
He did leave the last game with a head injury, but even before the injury he wasn’t being used as a featured part of the offense with only one catch for 14 receiving yards.
Shorter has not lived up to expectations thus far. It is unclear how much injuries are to blame versus an inability to become part of the offense, but I am trying to trade him wherever I have him. The injury ambiguity gives you an opportunity to sell him for a future devy pick or another college player, maybe one who wasn’t as highly touted as a recruit, but has had some college production.
Another Alabama All-Star — Devonta Smith, WR Alabama
Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs, Jaylen Waddle and Devonta Smith. It’s not often that you can dig four deep at a position with legitimate NFL prospects producing at the same time. That is indeed the case at Alabama.
Smith has increased his production each year of his college career with 160-693-537 (through five games) receiving yards and 3-6-8 touchdowns. He has been a deep threat each season for Alabama with a yards-per-catch average over 16 all three years.
The 6’1” 175 pound wideout has five catches or more in four out of five games this season. He had his breakout performance last week with 11 catches for 274 receiving yards and five touchdowns against Ole Miss. Due to the amount of talent at wide receiver at Alabama, Smith will never be a high market share producer, but he’s going to put up numbers and show things on tape that can get him drafted as a day two NFL draft pick.
With Jeudy and Ruggs likely headed to the NFL, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Smith stay to become one of the top two wide receivers on the team for his senior season. If he does stay, he will become one of the perennially undervalued seniors in devy drafts in leagues where he isn’t owned.
Duck, Duck, Grey Duck — Tanner Morgan, QB Minnesota
Minnesota quarterback isn’t usually a school and position that you would target in a devy league, but that is looking like the case with redshirt sophomore Tanner Morgan.
Some will attribute his numbers to a pair of NFL prospects at wide receiver in Tyler Johnson and Rashod Bateman, but I think it’s more than that with Morgan. He is 10th in the nation in completion percentage at 73% and he had his best game of the season last week completing 21 of 22 passes with 396 receiving yards and four touchdowns at Purdue.
At 6’2” 215 pounds, he was a three-star recruit. That rating and the fact that he plays for Minnesota makes it unlikely that he gets much devy hype. He could be a steal in the later rounds of superflex devy drafts in 2020.
Going Wacky For Williams — Seth Williams, WR Auburn
Seth Williams was one of my favorite wide receivers in devy this offseason, he checked all thee major boxes that I have for drafting wide receivers in devy. He plays at a power five program, he is 6’3” 224 pounds and he had early career production with 534 receiving yards and 20.5 yards per catch with five touchdowns as a true freshman.
In 2019, Williams had a bit of a slow start, not eclipsing 50 receiving yards in any of the first three games. Williams had his breakout game of the season last week against Mississippi State with eight catches for 161 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Even with the big performance, I’d still check the price of Williams if he is owned in your devy league. Maybe the team that has him will be worried he isn’t the true top option in the Auburn offense due to his middling production in the first three weeks. He has the size and skill to be a 1st-round pick in the 2021 NFL draft. He just needs more performances like last week, which I think we will see.
- Dynasty Commish Calendar: August - August 5, 2023
- Dynasty Commish Calendar: June - June 9, 2023
- Dynasty Commish Calendar: May - May 3, 2023
