The fantasy football stock market is constantly fluctuating and it is always important for us to know which players have a price that has become exploitable whether it be to buy or sell. Pieces like this one have been fairly commonplace in the industry for a while in both redraft and dynasty, but I will be focusing on college players for devy dynasty leagues and how their week-to-week performances are affecting their price in those leagues.
Fabulous Freshmen – Jayden Daniels, QB Arizona State and Spencer Sanders, QB Oklahoma State
One of the lessons I’ve learned in superflex leagues in recent years is that the path from four/five-star recruit to college starting quarterback isn’t as guaranteed as you may think. These two four-star recruits got the nod for their teams in week one.
Redshirt freshman Sanders was prolific through the air and on the ground with 203 passing yards and three touchdowns along with 109 rushing yards on 13 carries. Sanders has two of the best offensive players in college football on his side with running back Chuba Hubbard and wide receiver Tylan Wallace, both of which should aid him in having a breakout freshman season.
True freshman Jayden Daniels also had an impressive debut in week one. He threw for 284 passing yards with two touchdowns through the air and one on the ground.
From a value perspective, much like with rookie quarterbacks being cheapest in rookie drafts in superflex dynasty leagues, the cheapest many devy quarterbacks will be is before they play a snap of college football. However, there is a distinction between cheapest and best time to buy. The best time to buy devy quarterbacks is after they have become starting quarterbacks.
Daniels and Sanders are both great buys right now if they are owned in your devy leagues. If unowned, they will be two of my top targeted players in superflex devy leagues next off-season.
You Got Moss’d – Zack Moss, RB Utah
Zack Moss is a player we’ve written about before on Devy Stock Market and it was a bit of a surprise when Moss returned to school for his senior season after a pair 1,000-yard and 10-touchdown seasons. This week, Moss showed why he’s well on his way to hitting those thresholds for a third straight season with 181 rushing yards and a touchdown against rival BYU.
Moss is unowned in most traditional devy leagues (12-36 devys added per year) in part due to the Power-5 bias that many devy owners have. This is one of the main reasons that often, the top players drafted in the rookie draft of devy leagues are non-Power-5 players, because those are players who slip through cracks, even with multiple years of excellent production prior to their final college season like Moss.
Hodg-Inside The End Zone – Isaiah Hodgins, WR Oregon State
Isaiah Hodgins turned in one of the best performances of the weekend against a Power-5 school. Hodgins led his team in receptions and yards in 2018 with 59 catches for 875 receiving yards and this week, Hodgins showed why he needs to upgraded from the radar of PAC-12 fans to the radar of devy players and draft enthusiasts. The 6’4”, 209-pound wide receiver put up nine catches for 170 receiving yards and two touchdowns, accounting for a 60% share of the teams receiving yards. While that is an unsustainable pace, it shows Oregon State early on that if they want to be successful in the passing game, it’s going to be through Hodgins.
It is very early on, but it would be surprising to see a player like Hodgins leave school early with how good the 2020 class of wide receivers projects to be. And if that stays true, Hodgins could be one of the best values in devy drafts because seniors are perennially the most undervalued players in devy leagues as most devy players shoot for the perceived upside of similar freshmen and sophomores.
Vaughns Vengeance – Tyler Vaughns, WR USC
Tyler Vaughns took a year off on the devy hype stock market. After 57 catches for 809 receiving yards and five touchdowns as a freshman, Vaughns was one of the most highly-touted devy players in the 2018 off-season. After that type of freshman season, you expect a continued progression in year two, but that wasn’t the case for Vaughns as he caught 58 passes for 674 receiving yards and six touchdowns.
With the lack of progression and USC continuing to add five-star wide receivers, Vaughns fell off the devy map, but he showed in the opening game that he needs to be back on it. Vaughns caught 11 passes for 150 receiving yards in the season opener against Fresno State, accounting for almost a third of the 31 team receptions and 55% of the team’s receiving yards.
Harry Who? – Brandon Aiyuk, WR Arizona State
Brandon Aiyuk stepped into the WR1 shoes of N’Keal Harry. The senior wide receiver had a big opening game against Kent State with four catches for 140 receiving yards and one touchdown. Aiyuk had 49% of the team’s receiving yards and he will likely be a big part of the freshman season of the aforementioned Jayden Daniels.
With not much production prior to his senior season, Aiyuk is a bit of a long shot for the NFL, but if he continues to put up numbers like he did in week one, that will quickly change to where final season production will outweigh his lack of a resume prior to that.