The DLF IDP crew recently got together for a pre-draft integrated mock to show how offensive and defensive players could end up being slammed together in your league. IDP leagues are vastly different so the details will change a lot in your league but what we hear at this time of year is that something indicative is better than nothing at all.
Please bear in mind we’ve assumed this league starts at least 11 IDPs, carries a DT premium and OLBs are roughly as valuable as DEs.
The first round started roughly as you’d expect for most drafts. The top four receivers all came off the board before someone was willing to gamble on a running back landing in a good spot.
Marquise Brown went slightly higher than he often does and then two other backs came off the board. Then we saw the first defensive player in Nick Bosa at ninth overall. This is a little higher than he’s typically going in live drafts at the moment, but it puts him in the same range as Myles Garrett when he was selected first overall a couple of years ago. Bosa is a similar level prospect so this makes complete sense.
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The second round was much more varied. Three running backs, four receivers, a tight end, a quarterback, two linebackers and another defensive ended up being selected. The backs and receivers were very much upside players. If any of them land in an ideal spot, their value could end up increasing dramatically but they all have worries as well. TJ Hockenson might be the most solid TE in this class but he’s still a TE and Kyler Murray is likely the only QB to go this high in one-QB leagues.
Devin White is going at this range in most drafts, although expectations of his value seem a little inflated by last year’s spectacular LB crop. White is not as good a prospect as Roquan Smith or Tremaine Edmunds and he’s unlikely to fall into instant production on the level of Leighton Vander Esch or Darius Leonard.
Josh Allen is likely to be a top five selection in the NFL draft and with good league settings, he can have an instant impact. Late second round seems about fair for him and Brian Burns too. Both have double-digit sack upside – although they’re unlikely to get close as rookies.
This is when the draft became a lot more defense-focused. Rashan Gary, Clelin Ferrell and Montez Sweat all came off the board early so it seems elite pass rushing prospects will probably be gone by this stage of most drafts.
Devin Bush slipped into this round too which might be an anomaly. You’ll likely have to take him in the second round of most drafts.
We also see DTs start to get picked too here. Quinnen Williams and Ed Oliver are huge names with a ton of hype, so this is when you’ll need to go for them. It might be worth it if you think they’re going to be top five tackles.
The fourth round is when we start to see marginal prospects mingling with top-tier players safeties. Johnathan Abram seems to be the hottest IDP safety at the moment and Nasir Adderley is a very good prospect who should be taken early. The likes of James Williams or Jace Sternberger seem great value at receiving back and tight end respectively though.
It’s incredible to see Benny Snell this far down. He was going in the first round of offense-only mocks until relatively recently. Devin Singletary, Riley Ridley, Greg Dortch and Chase Winovich are all big-name players for this level too.
Realistically with all these players, you’re hoping for an excellent landing spot. So there will be quite a lot of movement after the actual draft. If Will Grier is taken in round one, for example, he’ll shoot up boards and some of the LBs could end up being taken very late.
Down in the sixth round it always gets a little tougher and this seems no exception. Seeing four DTs come off the board reflects the DT-premium nature of this draft. Jerry Tillery, Christian Wilkins, Gerald Willis and Dre’Mont Jones all have the potential to be strong pass rushers at the position.
Bryce Love might be the bargain of the draft here. If he’d come out a year ago he would have been a top 15 dynasty pick. Regardless of his poor final college season getting him at 70 is a great gamble.
In the final round, we finally saw some more safeties come off the board. This will likely happen earlier in real drafts but at the moment there’s so little consensus on them that people are just unwilling to go after them. Both Juan Thornhill and Darnell Savage at this stage are bargains.
I love the smell of drafts in the morning. The real draft and league settings will change this drastically but for those of you wondering how the community sees players and what the mix of offense and defense will look like in a week or so, this should help give you an idea.
Good luck in our drafts!