March Superflex Rookie ADP Report

Ryan McDowell

At DLF, we pride ourselves in ensuring we prepare you for the happenings of the off-season. For many dynasty players, the highlight of the spring and summer months is the annual rookie draft. Along with our recently released 1QB rookie ADP, we also wanted to take care of the growing superflex dynasty community. We recently hosted eight superflex rookie mocks and collected the data to bring you rookie superflex ADP.

ROUND ONE

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round one

Top Riser: Miles Sanders, RB

Former Penn State running back Miles Sanders has been steadily moving up rookie rankings and draft boards all off-season, since dynasty players and analysts (myself included) realized he was more than just an understudy to Saquon Barkley. Sanders ran in an impressive 4.49 at the NFL Combine and showed well in other drills as well. At the very least, Sanders has made the top tier of running backs a threesome, while he’s climbed to the top of the ranks for many. Over the past month, he has moved from a late second-round pick (20.6) to a late first-rounder with his new ADP placing him tenth overall.

Fastest Faller: Kelvin Harmon, WR

North Carolina State wideout Kelvin Harmon had a very solid college career but that did not translate well to the recent Combine, where he underperformed in virtually every aspect – this caused Harmon’s superflex rookie ADP to fall from 4.5 in February to ninth overall in March. It was also discovered that Harmon is actually a year older than most thought. Having recently turned 22 (not 21), Harmon’s breakout age is now not nearly as impressive.

ROUND TWO

round two

Top Riser: Andy Isabella, WR

While he entered the post-season, pre-draft process as a relatively unknown hailing from UMass, receiver Andy Isabella has become the darling of many dynasty players and is now seemingly a lock to be a second-round rookie pick, if not higher. Isabella blazed the Combine, running a 4.31, which was tied for the fastest time at his position. There’s actually very little about Isabella that isn’t impressive – all of that helped him move from an ADP of 31.6 to 19.7, leaving plenty of room from growth next month.

Fastest Faller: Darrell Henderson, RB

This one is a bit surprising to me as former Memphis back Darrell Henderson posted a 4.49 40 time at the Combine and his stock has reportedly been growing. Some teams are even said to be considering using a late first rounder on Henderson. While that would be a surprise, none of that matches the slight fall Henderson endured, dropping from an ADP of 10.6 to 14.5 in March.

ROUND THREE

round three

Top Riser: Alex Barnes, RB

Despite some big-time production for Kansas State, running back Alex Barnes was totally off the radar until his stellar all-around Combine performance – that changed everything for Barnes, who is now drawing consideration as a third rounder in superflex rookie drafts. He wasn’t even selected in February mock drafts. Barnes could also be a day-two pick in the NFL Draft, which would further vault his dynasty value. Honorable mention goes to wide receiver Miles Boykin, who also lit up the Combine to put himself on the scene.

Fastest Faller: Benny Snell, RB

One of my personal favorite rookies in this class, Kentucky running back Benny Snell, has seen his draft stock and dynasty value plummet since a subpar Combine performance. Snell was considered a second round rookie pick for much of the off-season but that has now changed as his ADP fell from 21.3 to 34.7. As you can see, barring a nice landing spot and surprisingly high draft capital, Snell could even slip into the fourth round of superflex rookie drafts.

ROUND FOUR+

round four and five

Top Riser: Devine Ozigbo, RB

It was a surprise to many that Nebraska running back Devine Ozigbo did not receive an invitation to the NFL Combine, but that hasn’t slowed his steady climb from relative obscurity to becoming one of the top “sleepers” in this rookie class. Over the past month, his ADP has risen from 45.8 to 36.7.

Fastest Faller: Elijah Holyfield, RB

Perhaps no player was hurt more by the NFL Combine than former Georgia running back Elijah Holyfield. The son of the Champ, Holyfield followed up his poor Combine with an equally disappointing Pro Day. There is a very real chance Holyfield goes undrafted in the NFL and in dynasty rookie drafts. He dropped from an ADP of 20.9 in February to an ADP of 37 in March.

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ryan mcdowell