The 2019 NFL draft is coming and I’m breaking down past wide receiver classes, looking for patterns in production from 2012-2017. Instead of my usual attempts and broad scale context and examples, instead I want to look more specifically and conversationally. This will give us a six-year sample of what wide receiver production looked like, without having to justify every sentence with a graph.
We’re making a model but with words.
So let’s check in on the second season that was – compared to the three or four years before it – part of a wide receiver recession.
The first thing I should say about 2016 is that I got it all wrong. Very wrong. If Tyler Boyd hadn’t come true in 2019 I might never admit 2016 happened. Michael Thomas (and later in the fifth round Tyreek Hill) are the stars of this class (so far). These players look almost nothing like the hits we identified already.
So, that established, what went “wrong” with 2016 and what can we learn from it?
UDFA's matter | British ex-pat | Writer of things
Latest posts by Peter Howard (see all)
- Production Patterns: The Threshold Model and the 2019 Draft Class - March 18, 2019
- Production Patterns: Past Draft Classes – 2017 - March 17, 2019
- Production Patterns: Past Draft Classes – 2016 - March 16, 2019