In the lead up to the 2019 NFL draft, I’m breaking down past wide receiver draft classes looking for patterns in their production, starting with the 2012 class and finishing in 2017. Essentially we’re trying to follow the steps of a mathematical model one player at a time.
Welcome back time travelers. This time we find ourselves in 2013. I started out by breaking down the college production of wide receivers drafted in rounds one-three of the 2012 NFL draft.
Let’s take a look at what the next year’s class brought, and then compare it to what we saw from 2012.
Enter the 2013 Class
In 2013, the 2012 draft class boomed. First, Josh Gordon broke out for over 1,600 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. We now know that while his overall production number looked good, he was actually underproductive compared to successful NFL players.
Also in 2013. Alshon Jeffery produced his first of two seasons over 1,000 yards, and T.Y. Hilton had his first of five 1,000+ yard seasons. In fact, so far, having a rookie season over 800 receiving yards in itself has become a positive indicator. By the end of the 2013 season, dynasty teams were sitting pretty if they had invested in the position the year before.
True, there were a lot of busts who continued to bust, but hope sprung eternal.
How did the 2013 rookies compare?
UDFA's matter | British ex-pat | Writer of things
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