The early off-season is the ideal time to look back over the past few months in an effort to analyze the ever-changing player value. After a long season, it is sometimes easy to lose perspective of how we felt about many individual players just six months ago.
In an effort to regain that necessary point of view that is so important as dynasty players turn their attention to projecting the 2019 season, I analyzed the monthly dynasty ADP data found here at DLF, comparing pre-season (September) ADP to the end of season (January) information.
These are the top five “risers” found when comparing September and January DLF dynasty ADP.
Phillip Lindsay, RB DEN
September Dynasty ADP: 212.5
January Dynasty ADP: 45.67
It should be no surprise that Broncos rookie back Phillip Lindsay is the top riser through the 2018 season. Even after a successful college career, Lindsay was essentially off the radar for dynasty players and even the NFL. He wasn’t even invited to the February NFL Combine and then went undrafted in April. Just having left the University of Colorado, Lindsay signed as an undrafted free agent with the local team even though Denver had just used a draft pick on their presumed future starting running back Royce Freeman.
Although Lindsay performed well enough in training camp and pre-season action to earn a roster spot, fantasy players didn’t have a real sense of how the backfield would shake out until Lindsay drew 17 touches in the season opener. Despite his size (5’8”, 190 pounds) Lindsay became the lead back for the Broncos, rushing for over 1,000 yards and finishing as the RB13 for the season. A serious wrist injury in week 16 required surgery and ended Lindsay’s season but not before he became a top-50 value in dynasty leagues.