Every year we give our premium content members a team-by-team, player-by-player look at the NFL season that was. The coverage will be in-depth, but because the Dynasty Capsule series begins immediately after the season, we won’t use it to discuss free agency or the draft. Come see us in early May once Mr. Irrelevant is off the board for another 32-article series giving you the same detailed discussion you’ll see below.
Buckle up dynasty fans, because you’re about to be reminded why our motto is, “There is no off-season.”
Dak Prescott (JAN ADP: 123.67, QB12)
Prescott finished his 2018 season passing for 3,885 yards and 22 touchdowns. He also ran for 305 yards and six touchdowns. The Cowboys had a 6-2 record whenever Prescott recorded a rushing touchdown. Not to mention, in games Dallas lost, he averaged 3.29 rushing attempts per game (compared 5.45 when they won).
A lot of diehard Cowboys fans would say that he’s an inaccurate passer. To their surprise, he finished the season completing 67.7 percent of his pass attempts. That’s just .01 shy from his spectacular rookie season. He threw four more interceptions this year compared to his rookie season, but he also tossed the ball 67 more times. His average depth of target dropped from eight yards from the year prior to 7.5 and he finished his 2018 campaign tossing the rock for 3,889 air yards. According to PFF, he averaged an 87.1 quarterback rating while under pressure, ranking third in the NFL.
We saw another injury-plagued season from the offensive line. Travis Frederick was placed on injured reserve with Guillain-Barre Syndrome, an autoimmune disease that disrupts the nervous system by weakening the muscles. There was also a lot of ambiguity surrounding the left guard position and couple that with the injuries that Tyron Smith suffered during the season, the offensive line really was never at full health last season. Prescott was pressured on 9.5 percent of his drop-backs. To put that in perspective, he received pressure from the defenses on just about one out of every ten pass attempts.
We might be seeing a buying opportunity for Prescott. The Cowboys finally fired offensive coordinator Scott Linehan a few days ago. Linehan lacked creativity in his play calling and was unable to make the necessary adjustments in games to help boost the offensive production. The replacement options aren’t the greatest, but it can’t get much worse compared to Linehan’s performance in 2018.
When it comes to wheeling and dealing in the stock market you want to buy the rumor and sell the facts. This means you want to buy ambiguity when it’s priced on the low and sell when we get all the information and the price is on the high. Honestly, we don’t know what the offense is going to look like a few years from now and his price tag is relatively palatable with a 123.67 ADP which usually makes him the 12th quarterback off the board in startup drafts. He’s only 25 years old and his price in startup drafts isn’t going to break the bank if you want to wait on a quarterback.
He might be even cheaper on the trade market. There’s a negative perception that surrounds the Cowboys’ offense and that perception sticks to Prescott in dynasty. If you need an upgrade at quarterback it might be smart to kick the tires and talk to the Prescott-owners in your league to see if that owner is low on Prescott’s long-term player value.