All through the off-season, we work to give DLF readers an edge in their dynasty leagues. That’s useless unless we can prove we’re OK at actually making decent predictions. This series looks back through our final preseason projections and sees how good or bad they were.
The Bills were tough to watch for large parts of 2018 but the defense was pretty good. You can see some impressive performers here.
At tackle, Adolphus Washington was cut after one game (instead of being the top performer as predicted here). Not a great start. Star Lotulelei was underwhelming. It was surprising given his game and the high rushing volume we see in Buffalo but he just didn’t play enough. Kyle Williams had an excellent final season as a player. He came in four solos, two assists and three sacks up on prediction. Rookie Harrison Phillips predictably failed to record many stats. He came in slightly up but he was unstartable as an IDP.
At end, Jerry Hughes was the star of this team. He ‘only’ managed seven sacks (one up on prediction) but he could have had several more. He did, however, fail to meet his assists target. Trent Murphy was short of solos but accurate elsewhere. Shaq Lawson came in very close – to his terrible predictions.
At linebacker, rookie sensation Tremaine Edmunds was just one solo away from his predicted total. He did miss his assists by eight and manage seven more PDs than expected (due to him being targeted a huge amount) but he came in bang on for sacks. Next to him, Matt Milano played exactly the number of snaps predicted and was close for all stats. Lorenzo Alexander overachieved with seven sacks and good numbers across the board. The Bills used a lot of base personnel which helped him stay on the field.
Corner Tre’Davious White predictably had a much worse IDP season than his 2017 rookie year. He was targeted 81 times last year but just 52 this season. As a result, his total tackles dropped from 70 to 54. This is typical for second-year corners. Fortunately, you read the Bills preseason article and knew exactly what he would post. Didn’t you?
Aside from White, it was a rotating cast of players at the position. Philip Gaines and Leonard Johnson underdelivered while Taron Johnson played much more than expected and was pretty competent. Vontae Davis is a story all of his own.
At safety, Jordan Poyer managed 19 more tackles than predicted whilst Micah Hyde managed 19 fewer. Hyde was always a regression candidate and so it proved. He disappointed many owners and although he came in short here it was pretty close.