DLF’s 2018 Predictions: Best Dynasty Sell

Ken Kelly Posted On September 2, 2018

Most rookie drafts are in the rearview mirror and the NFL Preseason is now over. We’re all busy combing the news sites trying to keep abreast of all the important developments as we prepare for the best time of the year, the NFL season. That can only mean one thing – it’s time for us to put a bow on those reams of off-season content with DLF’s 2018 Fantasy Predictions. As we do every year, we have several different prediction articles for you in the following categories:

Fantasy MVP
Fantasy Rookie of the Year
Sleeper Rookie of the Year (outside our top 24)
Bust of the Year
Fantasy Sleeper
Best Dynasty Buy
Best Dynasty Sell
Fantasy Comeback Player of the Year

We begin the series with our choices for Best Sell.*

* = Three submissions for Jerick McKinnon were taken out after yesterday’s events, though some huge props go out to a few of our writers who had chosen McKinnon for this category prior to his torn ACL.

Adrian Peterson, RB WAS

One of my favorite things to do in dynasty leagues is to unearth players from the waiver wire or as throw-ins with bigger trades and turn them into substantial value later. Look, Peterson has been one of the best fantasy football players of all-time. However, this whole thing in Washington could fall apart quickly. If I’m a non-contender and Peterson puts up a few big games, I’m selling for rookie draft picks or young prospects in a heartbeat. – Ken Kelly

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Golden Tate, WR DET

If I’m drafting a 30-year-old wide receiver in the fifth round of a startup, he’d better be a good bet for top-10 production this season. Tate hasn’t been a WR1 since … [checks calendar] … ever. Still, he’s going ahead of every rookie wide receiver in startups. You may not be able to get that kind of value in a trade, but if you can net someone like Courtland Sutton, Christian Kirk, or Sony Michel — or even a younger veteran like Jamison Crowder — go for it. – Brian Malone

Randall Cobb, WR GB

Being Aaron Rodgers’ WR2 has proved to be valuable in fantasy over the course of Rodgers’ career and Cobb figures to have that role locked up this year. As a result, many have suggested Cobb is due for a great season. He was productive when both he and Rodgers were on the field together last season, but Cobb has just not been able to stay healthy the last couple of years. He has already been dealing with nagging ankle issues on the same ankle he had surgery on earlier this summer. In addition, Cobb is a free agent after this season with no guarantee Green Bay re-signs him next year. His value could take a big dip if he suffers another injury or if the Packers let him walk after the season. Cobb might be productive this season but there are too many risks with his future outlook. For this reason, I would be looking to sell while he still holds decent value. – Kyle Holden

LeSean McCoy, RB BUF

Everything about this situation stinks. McCoy is past 30 and has taken a huge amount of punishment and hits over a long, intensive career. He’s saddled with a rookie quarterback we expect to be inaccurate (if not bad), very few other offensive weapons and a poor line in front of him. He also has serious legal issues to consider. It is possible that as the only good piece of this offense he gets leaned on but it seems the chances of him simply falling apart are much higher. Even if that doesn’t happen, it’s better to sell a year too early than too late and the writing is on the wall for McCoy – that is built into his sale price as well but it’s still worth it for me. – Tom Kislingbury

Ezekiel Elliott, RB DAL

News flash: Dallas is not the same team of the past couple of years and may be in a transitional period. They let Dez Bryant walk (and he still hasn’t caught on anywhere) and I know a lot of people like to say that leaves nobody but Zeke to get a huge volume of touches. However, I don’t buy that. I could see a lot more negative game scripts this year for Dallas and that could lead to a lot of games where they’re trying to catch up through the air. The line is also having significant injury issues and that could lead to all that volume being far less valuable. I still think he will perform admirably – I just think he might seriously disappoint. I don’t think you can get a better price on Zeke after this season and I’d look to move off of him while you still can get huge value. – Ryan Finley

Adam Thielen, WR MIN

Thielen was undoubtedly on a lot of fantasy championship teams last year as he far outperformed his ADP. He was a huge value when you consider last July he had a dynasty ADP of 126 and finished the year as the WR8 in PPR leagues. Fast forward twelve months and his ADP has climbed all the way to 38.33 as the WR17. While I believe he can provide a fair ROI at WR17, I think we saw his best case scenario last year. Stefon Diggs looks primed to take another step forward. Kirk Cousins is now under center, so the chemistry he had with Case Keenum is gone and Pat Shurmur is now the Head Coach in New York. Combine that with the return of Dalvin Cook and I have a hard time getting excited about his dynasty future at 28 years old. – Eric Olinger

AJ Green, WR CIN

This may be the easiest of all our prediction questions to answer. He’s still priced as the WR9 in dynasty and this is still partially linked to his production while Jay Gruden was still his OC. This part can’t be understated – Gruden has been gone since 2014. With Gruden, AJ posted his only two seasons topping 1,300 yards and topping ten scores. He has failed to do that in each season without Gruden, has missed a large chunk of two of the past four seasons and has recently turned 30 years old. Cash out while you can. – TJ Calkins

Derrick Henry, RB TEN

This was supposed to be the year Henry took over as a 250-carry, ten touchdown running back for Tennessee following the departure of DeMarco Murray. Instead, The Titans threw a decent pile of money at the extremely talented (albeit injury prone) Dion Lewis. Henry is an athlete and a giant at the position but I think he just lacks the talent necessary to make the most of it. His ADP is nearly identical to last year (48th in August ‘18) and that is way too high for a player who isn’t a good receiver and is in a timeshare after his team refused to commit to him. – Zach Wilkens

Sammy Watkins, WR KC

Sammy is an easy sell for me because everything could go right for him, but he has only produced a single WR2 season in his four-season career. You can keep making excuses for him all you want, but with a crowded receiver group, I’m not sure he’s going to break out with the Chiefs. Add in the fact he’s looked terrible in preseason and I think you need to cash out now while you can. – Bobby Koch

Le’Veon Bell, RB PIT

While Bell’s value is still high, a solid return can be had. Now is the time to cash in on Bell’s value and convert it into a second tier up and coming receiver. I would move Bell for a Keenan Allen-type rather than sell for a handful of picks or players. Expectations are that Bell will not re-sign in Pittsburgh and he very well could be entering his final years of productivity. – Kevin O’Brien

Dalvin Cook, RB MIN

Between the injury history and the bad offensive line in Minnesota, I’m ready to get out on Dalvin Cook. Four games of nice production does not make me confident enough to ignore all the risks and draft him at his current August ADP of 13th overall. If I can make a lateral move to Christian McCaffrey, Keenan Allen or Davante Adams, I’m doing that all day. – Matt Price

Antonio Brown, WR PIT

Brown has enjoyed an elite fantasy career and it likely is not going to be over this year. He’s still a dominant fantasy option but he’s now 30 years old. Brown is still seen as one of the top dynasty assets and it would be wise to sell now for a massive return. Pittsburgh recently added JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Washington, who have both been impressive. At some point, Brown’s age has to catch up with him and I’d rather sell a bit too early than too late. – Justin Bales

Kenyan Drake, RB MIA

For some reason I feel hopeful about the Miami offence this year. Despite this unfounded optimism, I’d sell Drake as soon as I could. A lot of very good fantasy players are leaning into his small stretch of good games at the end of the 2017. I get that. However, it’s one small series of games in a career stretching back to college featuring mediocre play and low volume roles. Right now he is being drafted as the RB25 in DLF ADP and as the 57th player overall. I think Kalen Ballage is good enough to push for touches and goal line work. Plus, Frank Gore is immortal and hasn’t met a backfield he coupled turn into a three-headed monster with solid veteran play. – Peter Howard

Sammy Watkins, WR KC

How does a player who has failed to produce double-digit PPR points in 11 of his last 23 games, is the third best pass-catching option on his own team and has a detailed injury history still going in the fourth/early fifth (48.67) of startup drafts?! The preseason stats for both Tyreek Hill (14/182/1) and Watkins (1/15) makes it pretty clear who is the WR1 of the Kansas City Chiefs, regardless of salary. Sell Watkins and his weekly inconsistency to one of the Sammy truthers in your league immediately. – Josh Brickner

Adrian Peterson, RB WAS

Our predictions for this category start and end with Peterson. If I’m a non-contender, I will be dealing Peterson the moment he hits for a two-game stretch. Move him in a deal for youth or rookie picks. – Pete Lawrence

Who’s your best dynasty sell? Let us know in the comments below!

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Ken Kelly

Co-Founder at DynastyLeagueFootball

Ken is a corporate trainer by day an a tireless editor of dynasty content by night. His passion for the World Champion Seattle Seahawks is second only to his love of fantasy football and the dynasty format.

Ken is on Twitter at DLF_KenK