We are heading into week ten and if you’re depressed that your dynasty team is already out of playoff contention, then now is the time to jump on DraftKings and construct some lineups. While looking for bargains we need to look for two things. Can the player outperform their salary? Is the player priced low enough to allow us to be able to pay up at other positions? We are just trying to maximize the value of our team and by being frugal with our bankroll we can create strategies that will allow us to submit the best lineup possible.
Andrew Luck, IND ($5,500)
Luck is rolling into week ten with a less-than-optimal matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars who have one of the toughest defenses in the league. However, they have lost four straight games and they surrendered a total of 114 points in all those contests. The caveat to that statement is that only two quarterbacks (Patrick Mahomes and Carson Wentz) have passed for over 250 yards against them this season.
Even though this is a very tough matchup for Luck, he still has the potential to put up decent numbers. He has passed for three or more touchdowns in each of his last five games and it appears that he’s only getting better as the season goes on.
The price tag is the focal point here. It’s not every week that you can get Luck at less than $6,000 and when you get an opportunity to buy one of the top quarterbacks in fantasy at QB12 value, you have to take it. His price allows you more flexibility to pay more at other positions. A lot of people are going to pivot away from him due to his tough matchup, making him a solid contrarian play this week. His upside matched with his cheap price point makes him a trendy GPP option.
Vegas has the over/under set at 47 points and they have the Colts favored by three points. This game should be close, and it should be relatively high scoring. Luck will need to throw the ball in order to keep the chains moving. All we need is 250 passing yards and a couple of touchdowns for him to deliver a return on our investment.
Todd Gurley, LAR ($9,400)
Gurley has been a bargain every week this season. Yes, he’s usually the most expensive running back available but he’s consistently averaging 30.33 fantasy points per game. Not only is he the best running back in football right now but he’s rivaling some of Ladanian Tomlinson’s historic fantasy seasons.
He will be playing against a Seahawks’ defense currently allowing 4.8 yards per carry. In his last meeting against the Seahawks, he had 113 total yards and three touchdowns. Now he will get the chance to duplicate those efforts while having the home-field advantage.
It’s hard to recommend a player with the price tag of Gurley’s because his salary takes up a large market share of your bankroll. However, the running back position as a whole is very volatile and it’s safer to pay up at the position while rolling with cheaper options at other positions. One of the reasons why we look for bargains is so we can cram a player of Gurley’s status into our lineups.
Bovada has the over/under set at 50.5 points and they have the Rams favored by ten points. According to the spread, this game should provide a positive game script for Gurley. He should be an easy bet to score 25 fantasy points or more.
Anthony Miller, CHI ($3,800)
After catching five passes for 49 yards in week nine, Miller is starting to see more action in the offense. Allen Robinson hasn’t been able to play due to an injury which created more opportunities for other receivers. Miller is a very talented rookie who should establish himself as a key piece to the Bears’ offense once he starts developing.
Miller will be facing the Detroit Lions this week. The matchup isn’t glorious but there’s still potential that this game could be a high scoring affair. If anything, the less than optimal matchup should place his ownership rate in the bottom five percent, making him a top end GPP option this week. His price point will allow you to buy some of those higher priced options at other positions. I do recommend limiting your exposure to him because he poses some risk. Like most wide receivers in his price range, he is a boom-bust proposition.
The over/under for this game is set at 45 points and the Bears are favored to win by seven. Vegas is telling us that the game script might not benefit Chicago’s passing game which could limit Miller’s fantasy output. This isn’t a huge concern if you limit your exposure and use his discounted salary to get players you usually can’t afford to cram into your lineup.
C.J. Uzomah, CIN ($3,700)
With A.J. Green missing from the lineup the next few weeks, there’s going to be a massive void that the rest of the offense will need to fill. Uzomah could see an increase in targets during Green’s departure. Not to mention he has a juicy matchup against the New Orleans Saints this week and Andy Dalton will need to consistently pass the ball in order for the Bengals to keep up with the Saints’ high-powered passing attack.
You have nothing to lose with Uzomah. He’s dirt cheap at $3,700 and even if he nets you single-digit fantasy points, he could still serve to be a viable option because his salary will allow you to invest heavily at other positions. Tight end has been very volatile this year and the smart move might be to pay down at the position to limit the risk. Cheaper players with good matchups could serve as gold in DFS if they exceed expectations and produce a big game.
As you would have guessed the over/under for this game is one of the highest totals this week at 54 points. The Saints are one of the toughest teams in the league and they are favored by just five points. First off, I recommend betting on the Saints because they should be able to be the Bengals by more than five points. Second, the Bengals should be trailing most of this game which means they will be relying on the pass. Uzomah has the potential to produce TE1 numbers this week at a bargain basement price tag.