2018 IDP Projections: Houston Texans

As per last year, I’ll be sharing projections for every team in the NFL. I use past production in specific roles for each team’s scheme to work out realistic production profiles. You can see how accurate I was in 2017 in my IDP Projection Marking series.

It seems a lifetime ago but in 2016 the Texans were the best defense in football. Even without J.J. Watt, Jadeveon Clowney and Whitney Mercilus were causing havoc whilst Kevin Johnson and Benardrick McKinney looked like prototype players for a modern NFL.

Oh, how times change.

In 2017, they were a pale shadow of that glorious season and struggled to get off the field. There was a nominal change in defensive coordinator as Romeo Crennel made way for Mike Vrabel to be the top dog, but in reality, they were both still there and not much changed. It’s just a reminder that team defense is often not consistent across seasons and can lurch dramatically.

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Tom Kislingbury

Writer at Dynasty League Football

Being from England Tom only discovered American Football in the late 90s. From there he's gone from casual defender to devoted obsessive and likes to delve into deep data primarily about defensive players. He spends his days trying to pretend the spreadsheets and graphs he makes about football are actually work for his day job. No-one is fooled. You can find him and his unwieldy graphs on Twitter at @TomDegenerate

Latest posts by Tom Kislingbury (see all)

• Tackling Efficiency: A Tool for Predictions - February 11, 2019
• IDP Projection Marking: AFC West - February 4, 2019
• 2019 IDP Regression Candidates - February 2, 2019