How likely is it that Keenan Allen keeps his 27% target share from 2017? Is DeAndre Hopkins more or less likely to see a drop in volume after going over 30% in targets in 2017? Will Jarvis Landry see the kind of volume he had in Miami in Cleveland?
The answer to those questions are: I don’t know. But I can tell you about how players with enormous target shares have fared in the past. Hopefully this can provide some context for high volume players going into 2018.
In that context, the answers are: he probably will be close, he probably won’t by much, and maybe now.
Based on all wide receiver seasons from 2000 to 2016, players with high target volumes tend to keep those high target volumes. I’ll also show you something about the ones who didn’t.
I’m using data from ffstatistics.com for all of these tables and tools.
UDFA's matter | British ex-pat | Writer of things