The DLF Mailbag

Matt Price

Hi guys! I’m happy to be taking over the DLF mailbag column and can’t wait to start helping with your dynasty questions. Send your questions to me using the DLF Mailbag Form and I’ll answer them in future articles. Some details:

1) Dynasty questions only please, no start/sit questions

2) Help us help you by providing sufficient information about your league (e.g. line-up requirements, league scoring, settings, your roster etc.), and include your first name and where you’re from.

Let’s answer some questions.

Question one

In my upcoming rookie draft, I have picks 1.01, 1.05, 1.11, 3.05 and 3.10. I have Patrick Mahomes and Case Keenum but still, have needs at running back and wide receiver. Would it be wise to select a quarterback at 1.05? I’m pretty set at TE but that’s about it. You guys are great.

Sebastian in Broomfield Colorado

10 team PPR Superflex, start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 Superflex, 1 Flex

Thanks for the kudos Sebastian! It’s tough to say for sure without knowing what your roster looks like but I don’t think it’s crazy to draft a quarterback at 1.05. I actually think your favorite QB is in play at 1.02 as things sit right now. This could certainly change based on what team drafts them.

My personal predraft rookie QB dynasty rankings are Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, Josh Rosen, and then a big gap to Josh Allen. I think any of those would be a fine pick at 1.05. I’m not sure if I could pull the trigger on Allen there unless he lands in a prime spot.

If you are looking for upside from your QB I’d go with Jackson or Darnold. Rosen has the highest floor but perhaps the lowest ceiling. Mayfield is a nice mix of floor and upside. Allen has upside but I think his floor is the lowest of the group. Good luck!

Question two

How do you see Jarvis Landry’s value with the Browns compared to last year and do you think he sees the same volume of targets?

Lukas Teasdale in Nth Qld, Australia

Lukas, I really don’t think it changes much. Assuming rational coaching, the Browns traded for Landry because they have a plan for him. I think Jarvis Landry is a fantasy WR2 for his entire career. His skillset is one that can fit into any offense in the league. He is great at gaining separation around the line of scrimmage and that will always be valuable to NFL teams. In 2017, his fantasy production spiked largely due to a career-high nine touchdowns. In the past three seasons, he only caught four, four, and five back in his 2014 rookie season.

I like the Tyrod Taylor signing for the Browns as well. Landry has had success with mediocre at best quarterback play and Taylor is an upgrade for him. With Josh Gordon and Corey Coleman to stretch defenses, Landry should be able to feast in the short areas of the field. I do think his touchdowns come back down to the four-six range, but similar target numbers and 90+ catches should be attainable. I can see Landry finishing in the WR10-15 range in Cleveland.

Question three

Taking into consideration that we don’t know what rookies are going to be drafted, how would you rank the veteran “bridge” QBs (Bradford, Bridgewater, Keenum, Tyrod, McCarron, Alex Smith?) from the perspective of who could have the longest value to your team?

Travis Billman in Atlanta, GA

12 team Superflex PPR

The most attractive from a longevity standpoint has to be Alex Smith. After his success last season and the contract Washington gave him, I’d guess he has at least three more seasons of fantasy relevance in the superflex format.

Tyrod Taylor would be next on the list for me. I really like his chances to be productive in 2018 but all bets are off beyond once the Browns take a rookie at 1.01 or 1.04 in the upcoming NFL draft. Even if Taylor and the Browns part ways after 2018, what’s stopping him from moving onto another team and filling a similar role? There will always be a shortage of starting caliber quarterbacks and to me, Tyrod Taylor has proven he is a starter in this league. Case Keenum belongs in the same tier as Taylor and is likely in the same situation. The Broncos could and probably should draft a quarterback at 1.05.

I really want to like Sam Bradford in Arizona but his knee scares me. Coach Mike Zimmer spoke openly last season about the degenerative nature of Bradford’s knee. Can it hold up a full season? Sure. Will it? I have no idea and I wouldn’t want to count on him as more than a QB3 in dynasty. Arizona will almost certainly draft a quarterback but it’s unlikely their top option will be available at 15 so they could wait and take a deeper prospect on day two or three. This situation will hinge on Bradford’s health.

Teddy Bridgewater comes in fifth for me on this list. The Jets resigned Josh McCown and he seems like the favorite to be the starter again this season despite Bridgewater’s contract being larger. If Bridgewater can prove he is healthy, beat out McCown, and have a decent season, then he could get a multi-year deal next offseason. If not then he could end up jobless in 2019.

AJ McCarron is easily last on this list. If he enters the season as the starter I could easily see him getting benched for Nathan Peterman or a rookie that the Bills draft next month.

That’s all for now! I look forward to answering more of your questions soon.

matt price