2QB Rookie ADP Report

I recently hosted six rookie mock drafts with the key feature being the ever-growing 2QB format. The depth of the quarterback position and the relatively small difference in weekly scoring from the top signal-callers to the middle of the road have pushed the “late round quarterback” strategy even further to the mainstream of fantasy leagues. Because of this, super-flex and 2QB dynasty leagues are becoming more popular by the day.

If you are new to the format, you’ll notice some stark differences. In fact, I included the current rookie ADP for both 1QB and 2QB leagues to make the comparison simple.

Round One

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There is no surprise at the top. Penn State’s Saquon Barkley continues to hold down the top spot regardless of the format. Not only is this due to his amazing talent, but also the quarterback depth that somewhat cancels out the top signal-callers.

While LSU running back Derrius Guice didn’t quite hold down his perfect 2.00 ADP, he did retain his second overall spot against the deep crop of quarterbacks.

UCLA’s Josh Rosen is clearly the top quarterback option in this set of mock drafts, although Baker Mayfield was selected ahead of him in the 1QB mock series. This could be due to owners in the single quarterback format feeling the freedom to “swing for the fences” while Rosen serves as a safe option in the 2QB format.

Running backs Sony Michel and Ronald Jones continue to be valued highly, setting themselves apart from the other tier two backs and receivers. They are mixed in with the crowded quarterback class in the mid-first round.

There are as many as five quarterbacks expected to be selected in the first round of the NFL Draft and two others also are being valued as top-twelve dynasty assets. Sam Darnold and Lamar Jackson hover around the middle portion of the round. While both quarterbacks have their questions, Jackson represents the upside pick. Darnold is once again viewed as a safe pick, despite his turnover issues at Southern Cal.

A trio of wideouts finish up the first round, with Calvin Ridley, Courtland Sutton and James Washington being selected. After a couple of years of disappointing receiver classes facing off against top running backs, dynasty players are clearly backing off the receiver-heavy approach, especially in rookie drafts.

Round Two

After the first round was dominated by the quarterback position, there are only two “leftovers” here in the second round. Wyoming’s Josh Allen is reportedly being considered as the top overall pick by the Cleveland Browns, but dynasty owners aren’t buying into his big, inaccurate arm. While the hate has been evident, I was still surprised to see him fall from the first round. Also, Mason Rudolph, who is being overlooked due to the depth of the class, comes off the board late in the round.

One nice advantage of playing in a 2QB league is the value that falls later than expected. We see that on display here as potential first-round dynasty rookie picks like Rashaad Penny, DJ Moore, Christian Kirk and Kerryon Johnson all fall out of round one. Each of these players currently carry a top 12 ADP in the single quarterback format.

It is important to note that these six mock drafts took place soon after the conclusion of the 1QB mocks hosted by DLF. I point that out because while most backs and receivers saw their ADP affected by the rise of the quarterbacks, one running back, John Kelly, actually saw his ADP climb in this format. This has nothing to do with the option to start two quarterbacks and more with the hype burst overtaking Kelly recently.

Round Three and More

Again, we see major value falling down the draft, even into the third round. At the top of the draft, the pair of top tight ends are selected. That’s Oklahoma’s Mark Andrews and small school athletic freak Dallas Goedert, another player trending up after a hype burst. Like John Kelly, Goedert’s 2QB ADP is even higher than his earlier 1QB ADP. Don’t be surprised if he starts cracking the top 12 overall in the single signal-caller formats.

There’s not much left at the quarterback position after a total of six were drafted in the top 24 players. With that said, Kyle Lauletta, Mike White, Luke Falk, JT Barrett and Kurt Benkert are all shots in the dark in round three and beyond. We know most of these will not pan out, but if they do, those types are players are league-winners in the 2QB format due to the value. Think about the impact Dak Prescott had in these leagues two years ago.

Finally, the wide receiver class has been criticized by many, and rightfully so. But the depth is on display here. Michael Gallup, Anthony Miller, DJ Chark and several other wideouts could make an immediate impact in the league and grabbing them in the third round presents very nice value.

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Ryan McDowell

Contributor at Dynasty League Football

In addition to his senior leadership role here at DLF, Ryan is also a husband, father of three and PE teacher. Ryan is the commissioner of multiple dynasty leagues, most notably the Kitchen Sink Dynasty Leagues. Here at DLF, Ryan’s focus is on identifying, monitoring and analyzing player value.

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