Every year we give our premium content members a team-by-team, player-by-player look at the NFL season that was. The coverage will be in-depth, but because the Dynasty Capsule series begins immediately after the season, we won’t use it to discuss free agency or the draft. Come see us in early May once Mr. Irrelevant is off the board for another 32-article series giving you the same detailed discussion you’ll see below.
Buckle up dynasty fans, because you’re about to be reminded why our motto is, “There is no off-season.”
Philip Rivers (Jan ADP: QB22)
Rivers is about as consistent as it gets at the quarterback position in fantasy football on a year-to-year basis. In every season except one (2012) since 2008, the second QB drafted in the historic 2004 class has had between 250-290 fantasy points, a difference of about two points per game!
Much like some of the other great quarterbacks in the league right now (Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger, etc) it’s fair to question how much time Rivers has left playing in the NFL. Of his two counterparts in the 2004 draft class, Eli Manning and Big Ben, I think Rivers has the most value moving forward. Eli seems to have reached the age cliff and is falling fast, and Big Ben seems to seriously contemplate retirement every off-season. I don’t have these concerns with Rivers, and his supporting cast is just as good as the others’.
Rivers is under contract until 2020 currently, which gives him at least two more years of consistency with the LA Chargers. The Chargers’ “Big Four” of Rivers, Gordon, Allen, and Henry will all be together until at least 2020 (unless LA doesn’t pick up Gordon’s fifth-year option for some reason), so it’s fair to expect the same kind of production from this group for the upcoming years.
River’s ADP I believe is a little low, but I can see the rationale to why dynasty owners value him at that spot. Depending on my team makeup, I would consider Rivers over Mitchell Trubisky and Blake Bortles, and I would prefer him to Big Ben who is ranked one spot ahead. I would feel very confident moving forward with Philip as my QB2 on my dynasty roster, and I would feel safe for the next few years having him as my QB1. He’s certainly a value at the QB position, especially in one-quarterback leagues where it’s easier replace him in a few years.