Devy Stock Market: 2019-20 Devy Mock Draft, Round One
The fantasy football stock market is constantly fluctuating and it is always important for us to know which players have a price that has become exploitable whether it be to buy or sell. Pieces like this one have been fairly commonplace in the industry for a while in both redraft and dynasty, but I will be focusing on college players for devy dynasty leagues and how their week-to-week performances are affecting their price in those leagues.
In this week’s Devy Stock Market, I cover round one of a two round devy mock draft recently conducted with only 2019 and 2020 eligible players being drafted. The mock participants include some of the biggest devy enthusiasts on Twitter.
1.01 N’Keal Harry WR Arizona State, 2019
N’Keal Harry had an impressive freshman season at Arizona State, with 58 catches for 659 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. His 659 receiving yards were good for a 21% market share of the Arizona State passing yards and a 31% share of the Sun Devils’ passing touchdowns.
Harry has continued to develop and post big numbers in 2017. He has surpassed his 2016 numbers with 60 catches for 794 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns. He’s also increased his yards per catch from 11.4 in 2016 to 13.2 in 2017.
1.02 Ahmonn Richards, WR Miami, 2019
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Along with Harry, many devy players picked out Richards as a favorite during the 2017 off-season. He had a huge freshman season in Miami, with 49 catches for 934 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. His 19.1 yards per catch was extremely impressive at such a young age.
A hamstring injury delayed Richards’ debut this season until September 29th, but he has played well in five games. He may not be putting up the numbers of last season, but he still has 17 catches for 341 receiving yards. He continues to make big plays, with 20.1 yards per catch so far.
1.03 Kelvin Harmon, WR NC State, 2019
Kelvin Harmon is another 2019 wide receiver who showed great promise in his freshman season and continues to develop on that promise in his second college season. He caught 27 passes for 462 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns in his freshman season.
In 2017, Harmon has put up some big performances, with 97 or more receiving yards in six of nine games. He averaged 122 receiving yards and .666 touchdowns per game in those games. Harmon will be a highly coveted devy asset this off-season in leagues where he isn’t owned.
1.04 A.J. Brown, WR Ole Miss, 2019
Brown is the fourth consecutive 2019-eligible wide receiver off the board to start this devy mock. This clearly shows how valuable early first rounders in 2019 will be. Yes, we say this every year, but the 2019 wide receiver class has the upside to be the best since the historic 2014 class.
Brown is an incredible athlete, and that is actually part of his risk as a devy asset. He was selected in the 19th round of the MLB draft by the San Diego Padres in 2016. Even though Brown says he is focused on football, that is a risk that has to stay in the back of your mind.
On the football field, Brown is more of a raw prospect than the three wideouts drafted before him. In 2016, he caught 29 passes for 412 receiving yards and two TDs. In 2017, he’s had a breakout season with 48 catches for 830 receiving yards and 7 scores. Brown has shown his abilities as a big play threat with his 6’1”, 225 pound frame and 17.3 yards per catch.
1.05 Cam Akers, RB Florida State, 2020
Katie breaks the wide receiver and sophomore trend by selecting the freshman running back, Cam Akers. Akers was touted as the top high school running back in the nation and he has shown why that was valid early in his career at Florida State. Akers has quickly become a bell cow for the Seminoles with 15 or more carries in his last five games. He had the best game of his young career in his last game, with 22 carries for 199 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns against Syracuse. He is averaging 5.5 yards per carry, with three games of 6.1 yards per carry or more.
1.06 Damarea Crockett, RB Missouri, 2019
Damarea Crockett was one of the best runners in college football with 1062 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns in his freshman season. He had a hot start to 2017 with 202 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns in the opener against Mississippi State. Since then, Crockett hasn’t eclipsed 100 rushing yards and hasn’t shown the workhorse ability he did in 2016. He’s only had two games with over 13 carries, and has missed the last few weeks with an injury. However, he is expected to return soon.
1.07 Jonathan Taylor, RB Wisconsin, 2020
Jonathan Taylor was the one player in the first round that I thought would go higher than he did. He has gone from #13 running back recruit to exploding onto the college football landscape as an unstoppable force at running back. Taylor has an incredible 1368 rushing yards in his first nine games of college football. He’s eclipsed 180 rushing yards in four of nine games, and has only one game with a yards per carry below 5.0. There’s also only been one game where he didn’t get in the end zone.
1.08 DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss, 2019
Metcalf is the second Ole Miss wideout off the board in this mock. He was poised for a breakout true freshman season in 2016 after scoring 2 touchdowns in the Rebels first game. However, a broken foot ended his season before it truly got going. Metcalf received a medical redshirt, but it is unlikely he ever uses that extra year of eligibility.
In 2017, he has flashed star potential with 16.1 yards per catch on 562 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. The Shea Patterson season-ending injury hasn’t slowed down Metcalf as he has had 9 catches for 190 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns since the QB went down.
1.09 J.K. Dobbins, RB Ohio State, 2020
Dobbins was highly touted coming out of high school, ranked as the number four running back prospect in his class by Rivals. Early in his college career, he has shown why he was deserving of the hype. Dobbins has 914 rushing yards in his first nine college games, with 7.7 yards per carry and 5 touchdowns. He’s also been involved in the passing game with 13 catches for 89 receiving yards. That’s a rare site for a freshman running back.
1.10) Tee Higgins, WR Clemson, 2020
Higgins joins the long list of Clemson wide receivers to be touted as devy prospects in recent memory. He was ranked the second-best wide receiver in his recruiting class by Rivals, and the 15th-best player overall. Higgins has seen limited action thus far with the depth at wide receiver that Clemson has, but he does have 7 catches for 75 receiving yards in four games played.
1.11) Elijah Holyfield, RB Georgia, 2019
If there was one pick in the first round considered a reach, it’s this one. Holyfield has talent, but there is more to the equation. He is stuck in the best backfield in college football with Nick Chubb and Sony Michel, and Georgia has already nabbed two of the best running back recruits in the country for 2018.
Holyfield is averaging 7.1 yards per carry in 2017, but with only 32 carries, that number is discounted. A crowded backfield isn’t going to stop Holyfield from being an NFL player, but the lack of raw production will drop his draft value. This will make it harder for him to find an opportunity at the next level.
1.12) Tyrie Cleveland, WR Florida, 2019
The first round of this mock fittingly closes out with another 2019 wide receiver. Cleveland has stepped into the number one receiver role after Antonio Callaway was suspended for the entire season with off-field issues. He showed his deep threat ability in his freshman season with 21.3 yards per catch, and that has continued in 2017 with 19.8 yards per catch. Cleveland has a 26% market share of receiving yards in a sputtering Gator passing offense and has 2 of their 6 receiving touchdowns.
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