Nearly three months have now passed since the NFL Draft and the uncontrollable feeling of rookie fever has all but passed as training camps slowly open. While the long-hyped rookie class of 2017 is still filled with many desirable players, dynasty owners are also beginning to focus on the lure of immediate production offered by many more experienced players. This had led to a roller coaster of an ADP chart for many rookies. Let’s take a look at how the dynasty value of some of the top rookies has changed over the off-season, with a comparison between the players’ pre-draft startup dynasty ADP as compared to their respective current rank.
Kareem Hunt, KC RB
April ADP: 142
July ADP: 87
Prior to the NFL Draft, Hunt was stuck in the middle of a crowded and deep second tier as the nineteenth rookie off the board in our startup ADP data. While he had many supporters, there were just as many who were concerned he excelled neither as an every-down runner nor as a pass-catcher out of the backfield. This is an example of landing spot changing the trajectory of a player’s value as Hunt was selected by the Chiefs in the third round. Last year, the Chiefs backfield trio disappointed as Jamaal Charles missed the majority of the season with injuries and both Spencer Ware and Charcandrick West failed to live up to their play of the previous season. With Charles now gone, Ware is the presumed starter, but there is a growing feeling Hunt could overtake him and given Andy Reid’s history of producing huge running back seasons, the Hunt hype has continued to grow. In our latest data, Hunt is up nine spots to the tenth rookie drafted and he has also become an easy pick to make in the back half of the first round of rookie drafts. Hunt is currently the RB27 in July ADP, being drafted over a full round ahead of Ware.
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