Weekly Twitter Observations

Kevin OBrien

In this series of Twitter Observations, we will focus on some of the interesting tweets you may have missed. Twitter can be overwhelming with the amount of information that streams live, but it also proves to be one of the fastest and easiest ways to communicate. In 140 characters or less you can learn something about a player you may have never thought of from trends, stats or analysis. Let’s review some of the best tweets I’ve captured this week.

News

Ian Rapoport

This week, retired running back Marshawn Lynch reportedly told the Oakland Raiders he plans to un-retire and play again. I am sure most of the fantasy football community rolled their eyes and thought, “oh come on.” Lynch hinted at retirement years before actually retiring, mostly because he couldn’t play at the level he was used to while dealing with his back issues. Often he would pull himself for series at a time. His body was not holding up well.

I suppose how well Lynch can perform will be dependent on what kind of condition he is in and how well he has healed. Below is a list of running backs in their 31 year old season, Lynch turns 31 on April 22nd this year. He is worth a speculative addition off waivers, but I won’t be giving up much to acquire him.

Stats

Josh

Josh has created an incredible MFL10 app looking at ADP and distributions of the draft positions of players taken. One aspect of his tool which I really enjoy is the Draft Pick Probability tool. I am always emphasizing to use ADP data with a range of outcomes and likelihood of your player being available where you pick. For dynasty, I always like to keep my ear to the ground on which players are expected to have a big year and then cross reference their dynasty ADP/cost and look for plug and play starters to complement my younger prospects.

Pro Football Reference

Pro Football Reference is an excellent resource for fantasy footballers. Their Play Index tool is one of many ways to research specific statistics. In dynasty, we are always looking for that edge and looking for which players over time have shown solid production. Here, Carson Wentz throwing four 300 yard games last year really stands out. This shows he can support more than one receiver in fantasy. Alshon Jeffrey and Jordan Matthews both could be looking at very good seasons in 2017.

Jacob Rickrode

In this tweet, Jacob Rickrode highlights the quarterbacks who have supported multiple top 24 wide receivers in a given year. The average is about four teams, with a high of six in 2006. I look over this list and honestly think it’s a “quarterback thing” and a “quality of a wide receiver number two thing.”

I would like to believe Matt Ryan could support more than one top 24 wide receiver, but Taylor Gabriel isn’t going to cut it. On the other hand, you don’t exactly picture Trevor Siemian as a quarterback that can support multiple top 24 wide receivers, yet Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas did it.

Looking forward to 2017 it will be interesting which duo of wide receivers emerge. However, be mindful of the range of outcomes that it’s rare that more than five quarterbacks to accomplish such a feat.

Matt Harmon

T.Y. Hilton has been rising in value since Donte Moncrief has been falling. After finishing as the WR5 in 2016, Hilton’s ADP of 13 is the highest it’s been in his career. I look forward to Hilton maintaining his value in dynasty as the true number one wide receiver tied to Andrew Luck for the foreseeable future.

chart

Fantasy News

Scott Fish

Scott Fish again will be running his Fantasy Cares leagues with donations going to Toys For Tots! This has been a fantastic charity Scott has put together. Sign up to be on the list or donate today!

With so much information on Twitter, there are so many great minds contributing great discussion, articles, and bits of data, truly a hot bed of fantasy goodness. I will be doing my best to capture the highlights of the week and mining it out in one place for you.

kevin obrien