FanDuel Bargains: Week 14
Editor’s Note: We’re going to be bringing you an unprecedented amount of content this year during the season, mostly dynasty related. However, seeing the explosion of DFS games, we’ll also be ramping up our Daily coverage, similar to last season. Even if you don’t play in DFS games, these articles can help you in making lineup decisions or judge the current value of your dynasty assets.
Over the next 17 weeks (and into the post-season), I’ll be highlighting some of the best bargains on the best daily site in the industry, FanDuel.
Keep in mind that these suggestions are for GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments with more than 50 participants where players are looking for bargains to fill out their lineups after already inserting their “studs” for the week. Many of them are risky plays and shouldn’t necessarily reflect good choices for head-to-head or 50/50 games. Rankings courtesy of ESPN.
Quarterbacks
Bryce Petty, QB NYJ ($6,100)
The New York Jets have wanted to get Bryce Petty involved over the last two games. Unfortunately, he has played poorly. On 57 attempts, he has 298 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. Besides the stats, he appears to be an upgrade over Ryan Fitzpatrick or any other able quarterback the Jets have, just don’t expect miracles. He should target Brandon Marshall, Matt Forte, and shoot for speedy Robby Anderson.
This week brings a strong matchup for the new Jets signal caller. The San Francisco 49ers have had trouble stopping anyone this season. They rank 14th against the pass, allowing 246.9 yards, and have allowed 360 Fanduel points, good for 32nd in the league. They have only capitalized on seven interceptions (21st), 20 sacks (30th), but rank seventh in fumble recoveries.
It appears Petty will have the doors open to be accurate and hit his marks against the 49ers. At his price tag, he won’t have to have a superb game, and his price may be high enough to weed out the pretenders allowing him to have a low ownership quota.
- Bryce Petty is averaging 5.9 FanDuel points per game.
- The implied points for the Jets is 21
- The San Francisco 49ers are favorites (2.5) at home and the over/under is 43.5
Consider:
Robert Griffin III, QB CLE ($6,200)
Oh and here we are again. Robert Griffin is hoping he can make something out his career. He didn’t play very well in week one against the Eagles, but his strength is his legs. Against Philadelphia, he ran for 37 yards, which should be extra butter. He will need to hit 200-yards of total offense and a touchdown to equate his price tag. He should be capable. Look for him to try to get Gary Barnidge, Terrelle Pryor, and Isaiah Crowell involved.
The Cincinnati Bengals passing defense ranks 16th in yards (251.0), and allows 21.4 Fanduel points per game which is 17th in the NFL. They don’t sack the quarterback very well (24th), but are active when it comes to interceptions (second).
- Robert Griffin is averaging 10.3 FanDuel points per game
- The implied points for the Browns is 18
- The Cincinnati Bengals are favorites (5.5) at home and the over/under is 42
Running Backs
Jeremy Hill, RB CIN ($6,900)
I will be going to the hill once again. Jeremy Hill has not had the success I was hoping he would have a better set of games, but here we are. Last week against the Eagles he rushed for a touchdown and gained 33-yards on 23 carries. He did add to the passing game catching two of three passes for 12 yards. Andy Dalton should continue to look his direction.
Going against the Cleveland Browns should be that week he does well. He seems that he has been successful in the past against the Browns averaging 16.4 Fanduel points in the last five games. Giovani Bernard will still be out, so his volume will still be there.
The Browns rank 31st against the run allowing 140.6 yards per game. Cleveland has allowed 334 points this season which is 31st in the NFL. They do not sack the quarterback very well (32nd), and have only collected three fumbles (29th). They give up 21.4 fantasy points per game, and have allowed 13 rushing touchdowns. He should be highly owned.
- Jeremy Hill is averaging 11.0 FanDuel points per game
- The implied points for the Bengals is 24
- The Cincinnati Bengals are favorites (5.5) at home and the over/under is 42
Rob Kelley, RB WAS ($5,900)
The Washington Redskins like Rob Kelley a lot, and they should. Ignore most of his stats in his last two games, as the Redskins had to pick up their passing game being behind both the Arizona Cardinals and the Dallas Cowboys. He had 14 carries in those two games, but prior three games, he had 21+ attempts. The volume is there, and as a starter has averaged 19 per game over his last five.
Washington will play the Philadelphia Eagles, and the game should be close, therefore, expect him to have around 21 carries which should support his price tag. Kelley has collected 524 yards on 112 attempts (4.7) with four touchdowns.
- Rob Kelley is averaging 4.3 FanDuel points per game
- The implied points for the Redskins is 24
- The Washington Redskins are favorites (2.0) at home and the over/under is 46.5
Consider:
Frank Gore, RB IND ($6,000)
Frank Gore may be showing his age even though he still runs like a tank and his volume remains intact. In the last two contests he has carried the ball 35 times, and has seen at least 15 attempts in six of his last seven.
The Houston Texans are a tough defense and rank 19th in the NFL, allowing 107.7 yards per game. The Texans have allowed just 251 points on the season (12th). They do struggle to get after the quarterback with just 21 sacks (27th) and six interceptions. They also have caused just five fumbles. According to ESPN, they allow 17.4 points to running backs. They do stifle runners from scoring, only seven on the season.
Gore has excellent volume for his price tag, and has a strong floor. He is the one that will get the goal line carries, and if he should score, he should outpace his expense this week.
- Frank Gore is averaging 12.7 FanDuel points per game
- The implied points for the Colts is 27
- The Indianapolis Colts are favorites (6.5) at home and the over/under is 46.5
Wide Receivers
Emmanuel Sanders, WR DEN ($5,900)
Something happened when FanDuel gave out the price to the Emmanuel Sanders this week. Paxton Lynch will get the start this week if Trevor Siemian cannot go, but it appears he will be healthy enough. He is out of his walking boot.
When Siemian is out there, Sanders sees about 39 percent of the air traffic, and with Lynch he has totaled 18 targets in the two games he started. He has also seen 29 percent of the team total’s targets, making him ‘the man’ and the Broncos go-to receiver. Sanders hasn’t scored much through the air, but this should change.
The Tennessee Titans are allowing 25.4 points a game to fantasy wide receivers (31st), and have given up 15 touchdowns, which isn’t bad considering the amount of points they give up. Titans have allowed four different wideouts to hit 18 points in the last three weeks and 14 different wideouts to hit 12 points on the season. Sanders should achieve this goal.
Tennessee has also allowed on average 270.3 yards per game in passing defense (26th). What is interesting about their defense is they get after the quarterback. 30 sacks on the season is good for seventh in the NFL, and they have 11 interceptions (ninth).
- Emmanuel Sanders is averaging 11.8 FanDuel points per game
- The implied points for the Saints is 21
- The Tennessee Titans are favorites (1.0) at home and the over/under is 43.5
Jamison Crowder, WR WAS ($6,400)
Crowder may just be Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy football. He constantly gets no respect. However, he has scored at least 11.0 FanDuel points in his last eight games, collected five touchdowns from Kirk Cousins, and has tallied over 100-yards three times.
His 767 yards and seven touchdowns lead the Redskins and should continue to add to that tally against the Philadelphia Eagles this week. Last week, Crowder had three catches for 42-yards and a touchdown against the Arizona Cardinals.
The Eagles are much softer against the pass than the Cardinals. Philadelphia is 13th in the NFL, allowing 244.5 yards in the air per game. The Eagles give up 24.3 points per game to receivers, and have allowed 12 touchdowns, which is tight against most teams and explains why they are tenth in points allowed (239). They are average when it comes to rushing the passer (15th), and interceptions (16th).
Crowder just needs to repeat his performance against a lesser defense. His price tag is very tasty.
- Jamison Crowder is averaging 12.8 FanDuel points per game
- The implied points for the Redskins is 24
- The Washington Redskins are favorites (2.0) on the road and the over/under is 46.5
Golden Tate, WR DET ($6,300)
Golden Tate was partially invisible for the first five weeks of the season, then surged. The Detroit Lions are also red-hot thanks to Matthew Stafford. With Stafford looking to Tate, he should continue to get the targets. He has put up double-digit FanDuel points in five of his last seven contests. In that span, he has averaged seven receptions for 90 yards with three scores. He appears to be back in full form. Last week, he caught eight passes for 145 yards against the Saints.
He will be facing a tougher Chicago Bears defense, but the Lions are a good enough offense to get through them. The Bears are sixth against the pass giving up 220.3 yards per game. In the fantasy realm, they are allowing 22.8 points to wide receivers, and opposing teams have scored 12 touchdowns against them.
Chicago gives up 21.3 points per game, and have allowed 256 overall (16th). They do get after the quarterback with 30 sacks on the season (seventh). The Bears are not active in the interceptions department as they only have five (30th) and have only recovered three fumbles (29th).
- Golden Tate is averaging 10.5 FanDuel points per game
- The implied points for the Lions is 23
- The Detroit Lions are favorites (6.0) at home and the over/under is 52
Consider:
DeSean Jackson, WR WAS ($5,800)
DeSean Jackson still has the wheels to make magic happen, and he will hope to do so against the Philadelphia Eagles. He played with Philly for his first six seasons in the league, before signing a huge deal to come to Washington.
Since week 11, he has gained 229 yards on nine receptions (25.3 ypc) over the past three contests. It helps to boost his average when he catches just one pass for 59-yards as he did against the Cardinals and almost scored for his third consecutive game.
As stated above in the Crowder analysis. The Eagles are much softer against the pass than the Cardinals.
According to NumberFire, DeSean Jackson has accounted for at least 24% of Washington’s air yards in five of their last six games, while his market share was north of 30% in two of those games.
- DeSean Jackson is averaging 9.3 FanDuel points per game
- The implied points for the Redskins is 24
- The Washington Redskins are favorites (2.0) on the road and the over/under is 46.5
Tight End
Vance McDonald, TE SFO ($4,700)
Vance McDonald did not do much out on the football field last week, but the rest of the San Francisco 49ers sucked as well. Bay Area folks don’t do well in Chicago cold snow weather. They especially don’t do well when Chip Kelly is their coach. He finished the game with two receptions for nine yards.
McDonald has been a key ingredient in the supposed San Francisco offense. He has accounted for 19 percent of the targets, which spells great value for you. This week the 49ers will face the New York Jets who looked ugly against the Indianapolis Colts on Monday Night Football last week. New York gave up three touchdowns to Dwayne Allen, and have allowed four other tight ends to score in the FanDuel double-digits.
Their passing defense rank 24th in the NFL giving up 264.4 yards per game. They allow 8.3 points to the tight end and have had six touchdowns scored on them from opposing teams. The Jets are permitting 23.1 points per game and 277 points overall (21st). New York is struggling at getting after the quarterback (30th), and have just six interceptions (26th).
- Vance McDonald is averaging 7.5 FanDuel points per game
- The implied points for the 49ers is 24
- The Washington Redskins are favorites (2.0) on the road and the over/under is 46.5
- FanDuel Bargains: Week Three - October 1, 2017
- FanDuel Bargains: Week Three - September 24, 2017
- FanDuel Bargains: Week Two - September 17, 2017
