Dynasty Stock Market: Writer Rookie Mock Draft

Ryan McDowell Posted On December 3, 2016

Heading into what, for many dynasty leagues, is the final week of the fantasy football regular season, a large number of dynasty league participants are simply playing out the season. Lacking the required number of wins and/or points to advance to their respective league playoffs, their attention has already drifted towards the promise land known as the rookie class of 2017.

Over the next several months, we at DLF will have endless amounts of coverage of the incoming rookie class. In fact, it’s already begun. In case you missed any of our recent content, go back and check out my Flash Forward: 2017 Rookie Draft, the Top 100 Rookies for 2017 from Travis May and the two part series from Mike Valverde How Deep is the 2017 Draft? You can find all of that and more on our Dynasty Scouts home page.

During the next few months, I will likely participate in several rookie mock drafts. I enjoy doing these as it gives me a better understanding of how others are valuing players. Earlier this week, I got a few folks together from the dynasty fantasy football community for a dynasty rookie mock draft. We planned to hold a quick two round mock, but by the end of the second round, there was so much talent left on the board, it felt only right to go one more round to see who would come off the board next.

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The participants and their draft slot were as follows:

Jeff Tefertiller, Footballguys
Joey Cartolano, Pro Football Focus
Shawn Siegele, Rotoviz
Scott Fish, Dynasty League Football
Nick Whalen, Dynasty League Football
Curtis Patrick, Rotoviz
George Kritikos, Dynasty League Football
Matt Caraccio, Saturday2Sunday
Travis May, FF Authority
Ryan McDowell, Dynasty League Football
Rich Hribar, Rotoworld
Scott Barrett, Pro Football Focus

Round One

1.01. Leonard Fournette, RB LSU

The LSU star Fournette is still considered the favorite to be the top back off the board in both the NFL Draft and dynasty rookie drafts despite an injury-riddled season.

Jeff noted that Fournette would be a great fit for teams seeking a power running game.

1.02. Dalvin Cook, RB Florida State

While Fournette may be the favorite, most view Cook as the player with a higher upside. Wildly athletic and agile, Cook should be a game-changer for some NFL team and many dynasty teams. I expect him to be the top choice in many leagues.

Joey called Cook the most well-rounded back in the strong class, comparing him to Jamaal Charles.

1.03. Corey Davis, WR Western Michigan

After breaking our hearts and returning to school following his junior season, Davis may have performed even better in his final college season. It is a complete toss up right now which of the top tier of three wideouts will actually claim the top spot. In the end, landing spot could play a major role in that determination.

Shawn cited the insane career, final season and the age-adjusted market share numbers as a reason to target Davis.

1.04. Nick Chubb, RB Georgia

The comeback season for Chubb, who suffered a serious knee injury a year ago, has been a major letdown. His name value and what we saw from him during his freshman and sophomore seasons should keep him near the top of rookie drafts, but he could be viewed as a risky pick in this range.

Scott drew upon his affinity for drafting running backs, projecting Chubb to be an NFL workhorse back.

1.05. Courtland Sutton, WR Southern Methodist

Our own Nick Whalen makes sure to grab one of his favorite players, SMU wideout Sutton. I have loved everything I’ve seen from the redshirt sophomore, but fear he could be teasing us as Davis did a season ago, when it comes to declaring early. With his head coach Chad Morris now locked in with a new contract extension, Sutton may stay another season.

1.06. Mike Williams, WR Clemson

I had my concerns about Williams after his serious neck injury in the 2015 season opener, but he returned as good as new this season. While many love Davis and Sutton, I view Williams as the favorite to be the top receiver taken in most rookie drafts.

Curtis mentioned Williams’ size and athleticism, fit for a true WR1, and explained that we shouldn’t punish Williams for his numbers when sharing with many other talented pass catchers at Clemson.

1.07. Juju Smith-Schuster, Southern California

I once considered Smith-Schuster my favorite prospect in this class, but a poor start to the season proved he was far from quarterback proof. I still love his overall game, but consider Juju a value pick in the middle of the round, where he was selected here, not necessarily a strong contender for the 1.01 spot.

George admitted that Smith-Schuster might have limited big play ability, but he is a red zone monster and is still very young.

1.08. Christian McCaffrey, RB Stanford

Depending on who declares for the draft, I think this represents the beginning of the second tier, with the previous seven players all in the top tier. Stanford’s McCaffrey may have been better suited to leave following his Heisman worthy sophomore season, considering his numbers dropped way off this year. There have also been some reports he is interested in finishing school before his NFL career.

Matt shared he likes McCaffrey’s size, burst, change of direction and vision. He also noted the Stanford back is an above average receiver and very versatile.

1.09. Royce Freeman, RB Oregon

I mentioned the second tier, and it is a deep one. We will gain clarity through player decisions to leave or stay in school, the performances at the NFL Combine and more, but past the top seven, there is little separation through the entire second round and maybe even deeper. Freeman had a lot of early success, but has disappointed this year, as have many Ducks. He’s not a lock to declare.

1.10. James Washington, WR Oklahoma State

While running backs will be plentiful, finding talented receivers will be necessary for dynasty owners. I think Washington could be an ideal target late in the first round, or early in the second. With the previously mentioned parity, he could even fall to the late second round.

1.11. Allen Lazard, WR Iowa State

Coming off his first 1,000 yard season, Lazard now has the production to match his measurable that has had devy owners chasing him the past couple of years. For better or worse, recent reports suggest Lazard plans to return to Iowa State for his final season. [Editor’s note: Lazard confirmed on Friday he’s decided to stay in school for another year.]

1.12. John Ross, WR Washington

One of the breakout stars of the season, Ross has been the key member to college playoff hopeful Washington. Drawing comparisons to DeSean Jackson, Ross could be an instant playmaker for an NFL team.

Here are the final two round of our 2017 dynasty rookie mock draft:

Round Two

2.01. Dede Westbrook, WR Oklahoma

2.02. Evan Engram, TE Mississippi

2.03. D’Onta Foreman, RB Texas

2.04. Malachi Dupre, WR LSU

2.05. Joe Mixon, RB Oklahoma

2.06. Curtis Samuel, RB/WR Ohio State

2.07. KD Cannon, WR Baylor

2.08. OJ Howard, TE Alabama

2.09. Isaiah Ford, WR Virginia Tech

2.10. Wayne Gallman, RB Clemson

2.11. Samaje Perine, RB Oklahoma

2.12. Taywan Taylor, WR Western Kentucky

Round Three

3.01. Artavis Scott, WR Clemson

3.02. Jordan Villamin, WR Oregon State

3.03. Zay Jones, WR Eastern Carolina

3.04. Elijah Hood, RB North Carolina

3.05. Kareem Hunt, RB Toledo

3.06. Alvin Kamara, RB Tennessee

3.07. Cooper Kupp, WR Eastern Washington

3.08. Jehu Chesson, WR Michigan

3.09. Corey Clement, RB Wisconsin

3.10. James Conner, RB Pittsburgh

3.11. Jeremy McNichols, RB Boise State

3.12. Amba Etta-Tawo, WR Syracuse

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Ryan McDowell

Contributor at Dynasty League Football

In addition to his senior leadership role here at DLF, Ryan is also a husband, father of three and PE teacher. Ryan is the commissioner of multiple dynasty leagues, most notably the Kitchen Sink Dynasty Leagues. Here at DLF, Ryan’s focus is on identifying, monitoring and analyzing player value.