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Weekly Twitter Observations

Kevin OBrien Posted On May 17, 2016
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Editor’s note: Our regular Weekly Twitter Observations author, Luke Wetta, is taking a temporary break from the series. Kevin O’Brien brings a fresh mind and a slightly altered format, which we are sure you will enjoy.

In this series of Twitter Observations, we will focus on some of the interesting tweets you may have missed. Twitter can be overwhelming with the amount of information that streams live, but it also proves to be one of the fastest and easiest ways to communicate. In 140 characters or less you can learn something about a player you may have never thought of from trends, stats or analysis. Let’s review some of the best tweets I’ve captured this week.

Mary Kay Cabot, Cleveland Browns beat writer, cleveland.com/browns

Head coach Hue Jackson commented that some of his rookies came into camp out of shape. Most notable was wide receiver Corey Coleman. By no means is this a red flag in May, it in itself is nothing to react to. However, as an avid dynasty player year round, I like to monitor how conditioned players are keeping themselves, not when “on the job” but rather when they are away from the team. This can be an issue in between seasons and in cases where the new days of the CBA limit the contact and activities a team can push upon a player. Combine this with the style of offense that Baylor ran with intentionally preserving their wide receivers to take plays off that were away from them. So while one moment in time merely represents a tree, not a forest, I will be noting through the off-season as the Browns go in and out of team activities this off-season. If Coleman cannot show he is committed while away from the team, the tree turns into a forest and the yellow flag turns red. If he goes away from team and comes back consistently in shape, showing dedication away from supervision, the yellow flag turns green and shows a positive commitment being made.

Chicago Bears team Twitter account, @ChicagoBears

Head Coach John Fox was asked about how he would handle the running backs, and he emphasized that he likes to go through the process and identify two backs that can work in tandem because it’s really difficult to make it through the season relying on only one back. Fox also was asked how he decides to use the backs, and Fox made a point to mention that it relies on game situation, and who has the “hot hand”. Many Jeremy Langford and Jordan Howard owners will be watching this situation closely, however, I truly believe Fox will let this play out and will focus on a running game, not a running back getting more of the touches.

Mike Clay, ESPN Writer, search.espn.go.com/mike-clay/

As Mike Clay points out, Frank Gore has been the benchmark of consistency with ten consecutive seasons with top 20 finishes. It’s evident in his shot for reaching the top ten on the all-time career rushing yard leaders, as he is within 300 yards of tenth place. Production over this many years is both a testament to a players production and ability year in and year out to maintain his body and commitment longer than his peers. As a follow up, our own Ryan McDowell commented that Matt Forte has been a top 12 running back in PPR for eight straight seasons now. The next closest over those eight seasons is Chris Johnson with six. Amazing production, over a long period of time, these are the pillars of dynasty teams. I wonder how many dynasty owners held onto these players through their amazing runs.

Brian Malone, DLF Writer, dynastynew.wpengine.com/author/jules/

Brian Malone ran a series of interesting polls asking questions surrounding various topics. In his final one, posted this week, he asked people what their threshold was for buying and selling for 2017 first round rookie picks. It looks like the transition is around picks 1.05 and 1.06, which is where I believe most view the tier drop of the 2016 class takes a dip down in the type of prospect. The player list is also interesting to see where the general opinion of the type of players the 2017 1st currently holds. I recently moved my 2017 1st in a 16 team league for Devonta Freeman. The class certainly has been gaining steam this spring. Although, I agree the 2017 class is projected to be better than the 2016, I think there is some value lost from the time element. Depending on your tolerance for your path to success, I’m generally not a fan of putting current core assets and converting them basically into a liquid future asset, with its own set of risks. With all that said, I love these results, because whether you are a buyer or a seller, we can help place a market value on how these picks are being viewed. I have my own strategies, but absolutely love having data for whichever your specific strategy might be.

All of Brian’s polls can be searched on Twitter using the hashtag #PlayerOfTheDay.

Evan Silva, Senior Football Editor, Rotoworld

Admittedly, I often overlook quarterbacks in dynasty, but here Evan highlights a decent drop off for Philip Rivers without Keenan Allen. While I suspect there is a similar drop off for other quarterbacks, like Matt Ryan without Julio Jones, or Aaron Rodgers without Jordy Nelson, this does indicate that Allen is clearly an impact player in the Chargers offense.

Rich Hribar, Writer, Rotoworld/Rotoviz

In fantasy football we love our touchdowns – an immediate, large jump up in our weekly scoring as our player adds six or more points depending on the format. A terrifying part of touchdowns is the seemingly trap floor that we encounter year after year with various players. In 2014, Mike Evans caught 12 touchdowns on 68 receptions for 17.6% recTD/rec. And then in 2015, we saw Evans catch only three touchdowns on 74 receptions, just 4.0%. This variation results in a loss of 54 fantasy points. This volatility is exactly what makes Rich’s tweet so important. We at least need to place a yellow flag that Tyler Eifert’s 2016 production was heavily relied upon his touchdowns. Eifert accounted for an 18% market share in the Bengals offense. Using Rotoviz’s Career Graph App, we can compare this TD market share (reTDRT) with some other tight ends. Jordan Reed is the closest to Eifert with just 10% of his touchdowns accounting for his teams’ touchdowns. This makes me more nervous than I was.

career graphs

#SFBowl480 http://scottfishbowl.com/ (Created by: @ScottFish24)

The invites for The Scott Fish Bowl have begun to go out to invitees. As noted, not all invites have been sent yet, but will be sent out over time. This year the tournament is growing from 360 owners to 480 owners! This tournament will feature some of the most notable writers in fantasy football and provides a unique opportunity for readers and fans to compete against writers and analysts.

With so much information on Twitter, there are so many great minds contributing great discussion, articles, and bits of data, truly a hot bed of fantasy goodness. I will be doing my best to capture the highlights of the week and mining it out in one place for you.

kevin obrien
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