Welcome to 20/20. As part of our continued Dynasty Scouts coverage and in preparation for the NFL Combine later this month, we’ll be profiling 20 of the top incoming rookies of the class of 2016 by giving you 20 facts you must know.
1.) Player Name – Paxton Lynch
2.) College – Memphis
3.) Height/Weight – 6-foot-7, 245 pounds
4.) Birth date – 2/12/1994 (22)
5.) Class – Junior
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6.) Basic college stats – Paxton Lynch passed for 3,776 (296/443) yards with 28 touchdowns and four interceptions in his junior season. He finished his career at Memphis by throwing for 8863 yards which included 59 touchdowns and 23 interceptions.
7.) NFL Draft round projection – He should be selected somewhere in the first round.
8.) Current NFL comp – He is very similar to Ben Roethlisberger. Large frame, can move around a bit, and has a cannon for an arm. They also went to small schools.
9.) Best possible destination – Philadelphia Eagles. Sam Bradford is not the answer for the long-term in Philadelphia, but he can be for at least one or two seasons, giving the time needed for Lynch to develop the tweaks needed in his skill set.
10.) Worst possible destination – Houston Texans. Since Lynch needs a season to prepare, he would need to go to a team that can buy him some time. The Texans, therefore, would need Brian Hoyer to be their answer, and obviously, he isn’t. The last thing Lynch needs is for the fans demanding to see the rookie and have him thrown into the fire.
11.) Best current skill – His arm. He can make all the throws necessary and is accurate enough to fit the ball into tight spaces. He also can make throws on the run. Lynch has a gunslinger attitude who isn’t afraid to get the job done. Even though he has a slight windup, he can get rid of the ball quickly.
12.) Skill that needs to be improved – His accuracy needs an upgrade. He has shown signs of it but falters to many times to get the ball into tight spaces especially on the move. Paxton Lynch lacks the anticipation on a receiver route and has trouble placing the ball around the perimeter as the ball will dip and wobble.
13.) Past/current rookie ADP – He is currently the second quarterback off the board with an ADP of 31.50 overall.
14.) Projected dynasty value – His dynasty value is extremely high for a quarterback. He has all the attributes to being a top signal caller in the NFL.
15.) Behind the curtain – After missing half of senior year in high school due to a knee injury, he went forgotten in the recruiting process, and why head coach Justin Fuente was able to bring him to Memphis while the in-state schools in Florida missed out.
16.) Football I.Q. – Head coach Justin Fuente who also recruited Andy Dalton stated that Dalton was far ahead of Lynch, and he also needs to mature off the field to handle the pressures of being a leader for an NFL team.
17.) Award Central – He received second-team All-AAC honors his sophomore season, Manning Award finalist nod, first team All-ACC honors, and team MVP his junior year.
18.) Bi-Polar – Lynch is a gigantic of a man who has a cannon for an arm, and he can also take off. As a sophomore, he ran for 321 yards with 13 touchdowns, and 239 yards with two touchdowns his junior season. Lynch ran 4.85 in the 40-yard dash.
19.) String ‘em up – He led the Tigers to eight straight victories to start the season, and had nine straight games where he threw over 300 yards including two 400-yard performances. In that time, he had 18 touchdowns and just two interceptions while completing 218 passes out of 315 attempts for a 69 percent completion rate.
20.) Bowling Pin – Lynch had his first chance to prove himself when he faced off against Auburn in the Birmingham Bowl. Lynch didn’t showcase very well. According to Bucky Brooks of NFL.com he “was so erratic with his judgment, ball placement and playmaking ability that I wonder about his ability to grow into a franchise quarterback.” Brooks went on to say that Lynch appeared “frustrated throughout the game. He never was able to string together enough positive plays to create momentum for his teammates.”
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Lack of accuracy and a young QB, is never a recipe for success. But, teams like the Rams can’t wait for seasoning.
“Lynch had his first chance to prove himself when he faced off against Alabama in the Birmingham Bowl.” That was Auburn
Paxton Lynch’s best fit is not Philadelphia. Philly will be switching back to a timing based West Coast offense. His big arm skill set fits much more with an air it down the field attack, not 6 yard slants and anticipation throws.
I went back and forth between Phili and Kansas City. We shall see.
