Before we get started, I want to think Matt Price for filling in last week while I was under the weather. You, sir, are a gentleman and a scholar. Let’s recap his picks from last week.
Aaron Rodgers and Randall Cobb had a juicy matchup against Detroit, but they were only able to combine for 29.62 points. Cobb was only able to convert his 10 targets into 7.5 points, while Davante Adams woefully turned 21 targets into 12.9 points for one of the least productive, high volume games in the history of anything.
Kirk Cousins absolutely went off, leading all quarterbacks in points with 28.96. Unfortunately, DeSean Jackson did nothing good in his second game back from injury. Jordan Reed fared much better, scoring 16.4 points as the third highest scoring tight end of the week.
Stacking Eli Manning with Odell Beckham, Jr. didn’t make value, but it wasn’t as bad as typical Fool’s Gold stacks. Manning and Beckham were both the sixth highest scorers at their positions, but their cost kept them from maximizing their value.
Matt’s bonus stack of DeAngelo Williams and the Steelers defense left a lot to be desired. Williams turned his 18 touches into 7.4 points. The defense was better, tying for second in points among defenses.
Now, let’s get to this week’s plays.
Remember, these are recommendations for guaranteed prize pools (GPPs) with over 50 entries and aren’t necessarily recommended for cash games.
Tom Brady, QB NE
Danny Amendola, WR NE
Brady ($9,200) has been incredibly consistent this year, never scoring lower than a QB1. That’s incredible. Amendola ($6,100) is stepping into Julian Edelman’s role in the slot, where Brady targets often. He also has the benefit of lining up across from Nickell Robey, who routinely gets torched in coverage. Amendola is an underrated pass catcher, but he isn’t quite the skill level of Edelman. That shouldn’t matter much against Robey.
[inlinead]?In fantasy, you can’t mention the Patriots without mentioning Rob Gronkowski ($8,400). The Bills have performed well against tight ends so far this year, but Gronk is pretty much matchup proof. Gronk catches passes. Gronk scores touchdowns. Gronk crushes beer cans. If you want to add him to this stack, I wouldn’t have any issues with it.
Carson Palmer, QB ARI
John Brown, WR ARI
If Brady has been the king of consistency, then Palmer ($8,200) is the prince, not scoring less than 16.98 points in any game this year. He’s one of the most reliable quarterbacks in the league. This week they are at home against a good Bengals team. This should be one of the highest scoring games of the week, and that’s going to mean a lot of passing.
With Michael Floyd ($6,400) ailing, Brown ($5,700) will be in store for a higher target share. He should have a great opportunity to beat up on Dre Kirkpatrick, but he will also see some of the more talented Adam Jones. Larry Fitzgerald ($7,400) is also a good option, as he rarely has bad weeks. Fitz’s price tag is also pretty low based on the probability of him scoring highly.
Stack of the Weak
Matt Stafford, QB DET
Golden Tate, WR DET
Karl Safchick hates Stafford ($7,000). If this isn’t a good reason to periodically put him in your lineup, then I don’t know what is. Detroit’s and Oakland’s defenses have been poor this year, and this should lead to a game where the ball flies often. Stafford has had his best games when he throws a ridiculous amount of passes. That should happen this week. Against slot corner DJ Hayden, Tate ($6,200) should have his best game of the year.
After a breakout 2014, Tate has regressed statistically quite a bit. This is the type of game where players can turn their season around. And if it makes Karl mad while happening, it’s all the better. Tate should find the end zone this week and find his way into being a Top 15 receiver. A dozen targets are within the realm of possibility.
Marshawn Lynch, RB SEA
I’m going to follow Matt’s lead and list a bonus stack instead of a Fool’s Gold stack this week. There are a lot of terrible matchups, so I’m not comfortable with much of any outside of the ones I’ve listed.
Seattle is a 12.5 point home favorite against San Francisco. In a season where the Seahawks defense ($5,400) has had plenty of ups and downs, this is a game where they could be the top scoring defense of the week. Quarterback Blaine Gabbert isn’t going to have an easy time in the loud CenturyLink Field. The Seahawks defense is worth investing in heavily.
Due to the game flow, Lynch ($8,100) could be in store for a ton of carries. Coupled with San Francisco’s less than stellar run defense, this could be Lynch’s best game of the year. The only issue I can foresee is Lynch being a little nicked up. There is a chance, however slim, he doesn’t play this week. In walks Thomas Rawls ($5,600).
Rawls was very good as Lynch’s stand in earlier this year, finishing as the fourth highest scoring running back in week five against the Bengals, who have been good against running backs outside of said game. If Lynch does sit out, Rawls makes this stack even more desirable, based solely on the cost.[ad5]?