Devy Stock Market

Nathan Powell


The fantasy football stock market is constantly fluctuating and it is always important for us to know which players have a price that has become exploitable whether it be to buy or sell. Pieces like this one have been fairly commonplace in the industry for a while in both redraft and dynasty, but I will be focusing on college players for devy dynasty leagues and how their week-to-week performances are affecting their price in those leagues.

Stock Up

Tajae Sharpe WR, UMass

Sharpe has been a reception machine so far for UMass this season. Through four games, Sharpe has 45 catches for 536 yards and a touchdown. He has eight or more catches in each of the four games, including 15 catches for 159 yards and a touchdown against FIU last week. Sharpe is a senior and many of his devy owners are hoping he adds a few pounds to his 6’3″ 188 pound frame as he prepares for the NFL draft.

Verdict: Buy. I like Sharpe a lot as a prospect and with him being a senior, you aren’t playing the guessing game of whether or not he will come out. I’m still buying even if his price has increased.

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Jared Goff QB, California

The stock of Goff is rising by the week due to his own performance as well as the lack of performance from his fellow draft eligible quarterbacks. Many draftniks are already penciling in Goff to be the first quarterback off the board in 2016 and he is currently the #2 overall devy quarterback right now and #1 in the 2016 class. Goff has led Cal to a 5-0 start and he had season highs of 390 yards and four touchdowns against Washington State last week.

Verdict: Sell. I like Goff just fine, but if I can get a quarterback like Josh Rosen or Brad Kaaya and a piece that makes it worth the wait, that’s the type of move I like to make with prospects like Goff.

Larry Rose III RB, New Mexico State

Rose III may not be a name that everyone knows as he plays for a small school and he is unranked on both the overall devy running back rankings as well as the 2017 class of running backs at DLF. Rose ran for 1,103 yards and nine touchdowns during his freshman season and it looks like he is picking up where he left off in 2014. In his last two games, Rose has 41 carries for 446 yards and four touchdowns, including 260 rushing yards against New Mexico, good for the second most rushing yards in the FBS last week.

Verdict: Buy. He is likely only rostered in deep devy leagues, but in case his owner is chalking up the numbers to poor competition, I think it is a mistake to dismiss his performances the last two weeks.

Stock Down

Duke Williams WR, Auburn

Another week, another player getting into trouble and hurting his devy value. Williams reportedly got into a fight at a nightclub and was dismissed from the Auburn program. Williams was a senior at Auburn, so he will be able to enter the 2016 draft. He was one of the SEC’s best receivers in 2015 and contemplated leaving early for the NFL Draft after recording 45 catches for 710 yards and five touchdowns despite playing in only 10 games. However, this is Williams’ third disciplinary issue since then and he was dismissed from the program. Williams is currently ranked as the sixteenth wide receiver in the 2016 class by DLF devy rankers. It will be interesting to see how far he falls after missing more than half of his final year at Auburn.

Verdict: Sell. As I’ve mentioned before in this article, it is so hard to judge these character issues and how much they will affect their NFL value, but I am erring on the side of caution with these guys and selling where I can find value.

Keevan Lucas WR, Tulsa

After a stellar sophomore season where Lucas put up a line of 101 catches for 1,219 yards and 11 touchdowns, he continued his excellent play this season with 19 catches for 342 yards and five touchdowns in his first three games. So, why is he on the stock down list? Last weekend, he suffered a season ending patella tendon injury. It is unknown as of now whether or not Lucas will declare for the draft or return for his senior season, but either way, the injury is a frustrating one for Lucas’ devy owners.

Verdict: Sell. The list of successful returns from torn patella tendon injuries is a short one. A couple examples of players who have had the injury and have yet to/never returned to form are Victor Cruz and Ryan Williams.

Jeff Jones RB/WR, Minnesota

Coming into college in 2014, Jones was a prize recruit for the Minnesota Gophers and he was ranked the #9 running back in his class according to 247 Sports and he was named Mr. Football in the state of Minnesota in his Senior year of high school. After redshirting his first season, Minnesota announced intentions to move Jones to wide receiver. Through four games this season, Jones has yet to contribute on the box score.

Verdict: Buy. With his price much lower than it was when he came into college, this is a nice opportunity to buy Jones. He may be struggling with his transition to wide receiver, but he has the talent and I’m not counting him out after just four games into his redshirt freshman season.


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