The fantasy football stock market is constantly fluctuating and it is always important for us to know which players have a price that has become exploitable whether it be to buy or sell. Pieces like this one have been fairly commonplace in the industry for a while in both redraft and dynasty, but I will be focusing on college players for devy dynasty leagues and how their week-to-week performances are affecting their price in those leagues.
Deandre Washington, RB Texas Tech
In arguably the most entertaining football game of the weekend, Texas Tech senior running back Deandre Washington had a dynamic performance in his team’s 45-42 loss to TCU. Washington is currently outside the top 25 in devy rankings at DLF for 2016 draft eligible running backs, but his 188 rushing yards and four touchdown performance may cause rankers to take a look at the senior back. Washington is averaging 8.2 yards per carry with 475 yards in four games this season.
Verdict: It is easy to say “it depends on the price,” but that is really the only way to go here. If Washington is being valued closer to his preseason value than a top 25 2016 running back, he’s a buy. If someone in your league now values him as a top 15 back after this performance, he becomes a sell.
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Paxton Lynch, QB Memphis
Memphis junior quarterback Paxton Lynch has had an impressive start to the season thus far, and last weekend was not an exception. Lynch has led Memphis to a 4-0 start with 1,230 passing yards, eight touchdowns and no interceptions. In last Saturday’s matchup against Cincinnati, Lynch threw for a season high 412 passing yards and a pair of touchdowns. Like Washington, Lynch is currently outside the top 25 in our devy rankings at DLF for 2016 draft eligible quarterbacks. If Lynch continues his efficient play, he will definitely be getting attention in the NFL draft as well as superflex rookie drafts this summer.
Verdict: Buy in superflex.
Christian Kirk, WR Texas A&M
The biggest performance of the weekend at wide receiver was Josh Doctson in that TCU-Texas Tech game, but I already told you to sell him last week, so I’ll avoid digging myself a deeper hole here and go with Texas A&M wide receiver Christian Kirk. Kirk is the top ranked freshman wide receiver by three of the four DLF devy rankers, and he is living up to the billing. Kirk had eight catches for 173 yards and two touchdowns, raising his season totals to 24 catches for 442 yards and four touchdowns.
Verdict: Buy. If there is someone willing to give you a time discount by trading a lesser player who will be in the NFL sooner, I’m always in the camp of great talent later rather than a good talent earlier. Kirk looks like he will be worth the wait.
Braxton Miller, WR Ohio State
Miller transitioned from quarterback to wide receiver this off-season and had an impressive debut against Virginia Tech with three catches for 79 yards and two touchdowns. However, in the next three games, he has only totaled four catches for 43 receiving yards. Miller is currently ranked as the 16th 2016 draft eligible wide receiver in the DLF devy rankings, and I expect that to drop as he proves he is more gadget player than actual wide receiver prospect.
Verdict: Wait for another big game and sell. It’s tough to sell a player who has only had one good game at his position, so I’d wait it out, he will likely have another game where he flashes and that could present a nice sell high window.
Jovon Robinson, RB Auburn
Injuries are a big factor in the fantasy football stock market, whether warranted or not. The knee injury that has slowed Robinson to only four carries for 20 yards as well as missing one game doesn’t seem to be serious as he still played last week. While the slow start can easily be blamed on the injury, with other players playing well and moving up the rankings, it results in Robinson’s stock going down.
Verdict: Buy. Buying talented players whose stock is down due to minor injuries is definitely a beneficial proposition. Robinson is currently ranked as the 11th 2016 draft eligible running back in the DLF Devy rankings, and with the slow start, you may be able to get him cheaper than that.
KD Cannon, WR Baylor
Cannon is another player whose early season struggles can be attributed to a minor injury (hip). After an impressive freshman season where he caught 58 passes for 1,038 yards and eight touchdowns, Cannon is off to a relatively slow start, catching six passes for 147 yards and two touchdowns in three games. Cannon is currently ranked as the 22nd overall devy wide receiver in the DLF rankings and his slow start is not as exciting as his explosive freshman year, which may cause some undisciplined devy owners to wonder if he was a one year wonder.
Verdict: Buy. His line of three catches for 43 yards and a touchdown in his last two last games has been uninspiring, but this week, Cannon is likely closer to full health and facing a Texas Tech defense that allowed 267 receiving yards and three touchdowns to Doctson last week is a great way to get healthy.