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Fits the Bills: LeSean McCoy traded to Buffalo

McCoy

 

HOLY CRAP! Is this really happening? Is this a joke? OMG! OMG! What is Chip Kelly doing? What is Rex Ryan doing? Where am I? Why are my pants wet?

On the eve of the 11-year anniversary of one of the biggest trades in NFL history where the Redskins traded Champ Bailey to the Broncos for Clinton Portis, the Eagles and Bills have reportedly pulled off an equally eye-popping blockbuster. The Eagles are sending LeSean McCoy (the face of their franchise) to the Buffalo Bills for linebacker Kiko Alonso who played for Chip Kelly at Oregon.

Obviously the biggest fantasy impact will be to LeSean McCoy. He has been a PPR monster since taking over for Brian Westbrook in Philadelphia. Up until last season, he was as safe and consistent as any running back in the league. Even in games when his rushing totals weren’t all that great, his receptions and touchdowns always kept him from producing a stinker. For some reason, Chip Kelly didn’t utilize McCoy in the passing game like he had been used in the past. Instead, Kelly opted to use Darren Sproles as the passing down specialist. For the first time since his rookie season, McCoy failed to score a receiving touchdown or catch 40 passes. His 155 receiving yards were barely half of his previous career low. In a year where there were only a handful of elite fantasy running backs, McCoy was considered a disappointment. He finished as the RB12 in PPR leagues thanks in large part to his 1,319 rushing yards.  When you compare that season to his previous few, that was a disappointment.

mccoystats

Now he finds himself in Buffalo with Rex Ryan who prides himself on a strong run game and a hard-nosed defense. He immediately becomes the starter and takes over lead back duties from the ageless Fred Jackson. The knee jerk reaction will be to assume McCoy takes a step back. I don’t think he will. The Jets weren’t a good football team last season, but Ryan still led them to the third ranked rushing attack. With a shaky starting quarterback in E.J. Manuel, the Bills are going to run, run, run. I’m not lowering McCoy in my rankings at all. I had him as my RB2 before the trade and I’m comfortable leaving him there. It does, however, throw a wrench into the value of Bryce Brown.

[inlinead]Who ends up benefitting the most in the Eagles backfield remains to be seen. Odds are the week one starter isn’t currently on the roster. Darren Sproles and Chris Polk currently sit atop the depth chart as part of a probable committee attack, but this draft class is deep at running back and the Eagles have options both in the draft and in free agency. Players like C.J. Spiller (who is almost certainly not coming back to Buffalo now), DeMarco Murray and possibly Darren McFadden would make sense if they choose to go free agency over the draft, but all three of them have a well documented injury history.

I believe this trade comes down to coaching philosophy and confidence in their systems. Chip Kelly believes his system manufactures a running game more than a specific runner. Rex Ryan believes his 3-4 defense can do better with big bodied thumpers as opposed to quick and athletic run-and-chase types, especially ones coming off of ACL tears. When free agency opens, I expect David Harris to quickly re-join Ryan in Buffalo.

For Kiko Alonso and his IDP value, I couldn’t be more excited. Assuming he makes a full recovery from his torn ACL, he’ll form one of the best inside linebacker tandems in the NFL with Mychal Kendricks. Alonso was an absolute beast during his 2013 rookie campaign. Not only did he rack up a total of 155 tackles, he registered two sacks and intercepted four passes. His addition will also free up Kendricks to continue attacking from all angles. He’s a huge upgrade over DeMeco Ryans, who will probably be released while he recovers from a torn Achilles tendon.

After all the dust settles, this trade will benefit both franchises and I can’t wait to see what they do to complement these players. If the LeSean McCoy owner is flipping out over this trade, attack him in his moment of weakness. Even in a “down” year he was a RB1 in 12 team leagues and he’ll only be 27 when the season starts. There’s plenty of good football left in those legs.

Follow me on Twitter @OlingerIDP.

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Eric Olinger
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Guillaume
6 years ago

Good evening,

I am wondering how does this trade impact Sammy Watkins?

Thanks.

DJB
Reply to  Guillaume
6 years ago

Well a better run game should open up the passing game, but to me Watkins is still tied to whoever is throwing the ball in Buffalo. I don’t have any confidence in Manuel. If the Bills get a half decent QB, Watkins should progress and improve on his numbers going forward. Still a strong dynasty asset.

Raymond
6 years ago

Call me crazy but I think this will benifit Ej manuel can COULD make him a better qb.

Eric Olinger
6 years ago

I think this helps everyone involved. Watkins should take another step forward & I believe Manuel, if he’s indeed the week 1 starter, will be managed and protected. Greg Roman will design this offense to feature McCoy & Watkins a lot like he did with Gore & Crabtree when he had Alex Smith in SF.

JBFootball
6 years ago

Do you think there is any possibility that the Eagles could take Melvin Gordon if he is still available? I am hoping for that but not sure if they would take an RB with their first round pick. Maybe Spiller is more likely. I own both and I would love to have the Eagles RB on my squad this season.

Zach Bahner
Reply to  JBFootball
6 years ago

I think odds are higher that they add a player through free agency and/or in the middle rounds of the draft, but Gordon isn’t completely out of the realm of possibility.

Jim
6 years ago

If you look at how this affect’s each team’s cap numbers there is a pretty clear winner. Brilliant move by Kelly IMO. I also find it amusing that all the “stars” in Philly have been released, traded or allowed to test the open market and yet the most hated player, Nick Foles, still sits on the roster.

fffool
6 years ago

I’d think the “younger” versatile-types like Ingram, Vereen, Helu, & Mathews (& of course Spiller), would be perfect fits that “King Chip” might try to bring into his realm, perhaps allowing Chip to make his play for Mariota and wait on a rookie RB.

I also like Bush, Gore & Bradshaw (& Forsett?) as options in that system — although I wonder what these “grizzled” vets think of Kelly’s Saturday schedule?

I LOVE this time of the year in FFB!!!

michael bellace
6 years ago

As an Eagles fan it was a complete shocker yesterday, but after putting my dynasty minded thinking to work I think it makes sense in what he’s trying to do. Don’t get me wrong I love Shady but his decline has begun as with all RB’s approaching 30. He will have at least 2 more really good years but probably won’t meet or eclipse what he’s done in the past. I wish him well and hope it works out for him and at least he didn’t go to a division rival? Kiko Alonso is a guy to get excited about because he is ascending assuming he’s healthy. This guy can do it all and will for at least 10 years.
I think pairing him with Kendricks is nothing short of brilliant and Barwin on the outside makes for a dangerous group of LB’s. As for Shady’s replacement I don’t think Kelly wants guys who bounce runs outside and that’s why I believe they go after Mark Ingram. Kelly likes one-cut north-south RB’s so Ingram fits that bill perfectly. As an outside chance former Duck L. Blount could be an option but I’m not sure if NE has him under contract? Just my thoughts!

fffool
Reply to  michael bellace
6 years ago

That gets my vote! I’ve always been a BIG Ingram fan.

Tenders come out Tuesday. Any chance Polk gets a 2nd?
I remember the knock on him was his shoulder — was he seen as a good pass-catching back in his draft class?

BAMNation
Reply to  michael bellace
6 years ago

Blount has a contract w NE I think it was for two years so til end of 2015 season

Robb
Reply to  michael bellace
6 years ago

Mccoy is 26
Ingram is 25

Mccoy is “declining”??
Kelly cut out his receptions and didnt let him run as much in redzone.
He still had 2nd highest rush total of career.

The Doctor
6 years ago

It’s rare for a running back to have success when switching teams after 7 years in the league. Don’t fool yourself…McCoy’s value should be dropping in Dynasty.

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