2015 Rookie Mock Draft November ADP: A Look at Next Year’s Class

Scott Fish Posted On December 6, 2014

funchess

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Hello again fellow rookie draft fans! As I continue doing at least two 2015 rookie mock drafts per month, things keep happening on Saturdays that are really effecting ADP, most notably this month is Todd Gurley’s injury. That torn ACL dropped Gurley from his spot atop our October ADP. He was drafted 1st overall in every mock in October and the first two mocks in November before the injury.

Here is the ADP chart for the five mock drafts we did in November and below it I will go into a few things I have found interesting over the course of these mocks and it’s resulting average draft positions.

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Rank	Player	ADP	Mock 1 11/3	Mock 2 11/3	Mock 3 11/23	Mock 4 11/30	Mock 5 11/30
1	Melvin Gordon, RB – Wisconsin	1.4	2	2	1	1	1
2	Todd Gurley, RB – Georgia	1.8	1	1	3	2	2
3	Amari Cooper, WR – Alabama	2.8	3	3	2	3	3
4	Devante Parker, WR – Louisville	4.2	4	4	4	4	5
5	Devin Funchess, WR – Michigan	5.6	6	5	6	7	4
6	Dorial Green-Beckham, WR – Missouri	7.4	5	7	10	5	10
7	Kevin White, WR – West Virginia	7.4	7	6	7	8	9
8	Jaelen Strong, WR – ASU	8.4	10	8	8	10	6
9	D’haquille Williams, WR – Auburn	8.6	8	10	11	6	8
10	Tevin Coleman, RB – Indiana	10.0	13	9	5	9	14
11	TJ Yeldon, RB – Alabama	11.0	9	14	9	11	12
12	Duke Johnson, RB – Miami	13.4	14	15	13	12	13
13	Mike Davis, RB – South Carolina	14.4	11	11	18	13	19
14	Jay Ajayi, RB – Boise State	14.6	12	12	14	15	20
15	Sammie Coates, WR – Auburn	14.6	19	21	12	14	7
16	Ameer Abdullah, RB – Nebraska	16.2	17	16	15	16	17
17	Marcus Mariota, QB – Oregon	16.6	16	17	20	19	11
18	Javorius Allen, RB – Southern California	18.6	15	22	17	17	22
19	Jameis Winston, QB – Florida State	20.4	20	24	16	18	24
20	Stefon Diggs, WR – Maryland	21.8	18	20	19	21	31
21	Ty Montgomery, WR – Stanford	22.6	21	13	23	24	32
22	Rashad Greene, WR – Florida State	23.8	26	18	22	38	15
23	Jeremy Langford, RB – Michigan State	26.0	37	30	24	23	16
24	Quinshad Davis, WR – North Carolina	26.8	23	28	30	30	23
25	Nelson Algholor, WR – Southern California	27.2	24	25	21	41	25
26	Leonte Carroo, WR – Rutgers	27.4	38	19	32	22	26
27	Deontay Greenberry, WR – Houston	28.4	28	39	26	20	29
28	Maxx Williams, TE – Minnesota	30.6	31	35	37	32	18
29	Karlos Williams, RB – Florida State	31.2	43	23	33	29	28
30	David Cobb, RB – Minnesota	32.6	42	33	35	26	27
31	David Johnson, RB – Northern Iowa	35.2	36	34	31	35	40
32	Justin Hardy, WR – ECU	35.8	47	40	25	31	36
33	Keith Marshall, RB – Georgia	36.0	22	29	34	49	46
34	Tony Lippett, WR – Michigan State	36.4	25	45	27	47	38
35	Shock Linwood, RB – Baylor	36.6	30	37	38	33	45
36	Devon Cajuste, WR – Stanford	37.4	33	27	42	36	49
37	Kasen Williams, WR – Washington	38.0	29	49	36	27	49
38	Vince Mayle, WR – Washington State	38.2	44	49	28	28	42
39	Devontae Booker, RB – Utah	38.2	48	31	39	34	39
40	Jonathan Williams, RB – Arkansas	38.2	32	49	40	49	21
41	Austin Hill, WR – Arizona	39.2	27	42	44	49	34
42	Mario Alford, WR – West Virginia	39.6	49	26	49	25	49
43	Josh Robinson, RB – Mississippi State	42.4	45	49	29	40	49
44	Bryce Petty, QB – Baylor	43.0	49	38	48	37	43
45	Nick O’Leary, TE – Florida State	43.6	49	44	49	39	37
46	Byron Marshall, RB – Oregon	43.8	41	36	49	44	49
47	Jesse James, TE – Penn State	44.0	34	43	45	49	49
48	DJ Foster, RB – Arizona	44.0	40	41	49	49	41
49	Brett Hundley, QB – UCLA	44.2	49	49	41	49	33
50	Breshad Perriman, WR – Central Florida	44.6	49	49	49	46	30
51	Shaq Roland, WR – South Carolina	45.0	39	49	46	42	49
52	Antwan Goodley, WR – Baylor	45.0	49	49	47	45	35
53	Barry Sanders Jr., RB – Stanford	45.6	49	32	49	49	49
54	Travis Greene, RB – Bowling Greene	46.2	35	49	49	49	49
55	Darren Waller, WR – Georgia Tech	46.8	49	49	43	49	44
56	Malcolm Mitchell, WR – Georgia	47.8	49	49	49	43	49
57	Tyreek Hill, RB – Oklahoma State	48.0	46	47	49	49	49
58	Thomas Rawls, RB – Central Michigan	48.4	49	46	49	49	49
59	Michael Dyer, RB – Louisville	48.4	49	49	49	48	47
60	Marcus Coker, RB – Stonybrook	48.8	49	48	49	49	49
61	Davante Davis, WR – UNLV	48.8	49	49	49	49	48

I’ll make a few notes on some of the players drafted in the November mocks.

Todd Gurley, RB Georgia
Clearly Gurley has lost a little luster and many of us wish he had stayed on the bench for the rest of the season. Although he has a torn ACL, he isn’t dropping past the third pick in any mocks. Some in these mocks have stated he is still their top player.

DaVante Parker, WR Louisville
Although his ADP has gone basically unchanged, a great landing spot could land him at the top spot before it’s all said and done. Since his return from injury he has looked like one of the best receivers in college football. His ADP has stayed steady, but a great NFL landing spot could change things.

Dorial Green-Beckham, WR Oklahoma
He continues to be the wild card that at least one person is going to take a shot on in the first round. These mocks are done assuming he declares for the NFL. At this point, I think it’s still a 50/50 situation to monitor.

Ty Montgomery, WR Stanford
Montgomery is starting to lose some value with drafters as more and more rumors come out that he may measure much smaller than listed. In fairness, this is paired with the emergence and rise of some players and other players continuing to solidify their place in next year’s rookie drafts.

Devon Cajuste, WR Stanford
The other Stanford prospect is a personal favorite of Chad Parsons of UTHDynasty.com. He really doesn’t have much production, but his measurables make him intriguing. He went undrafted in the final mock and went as high as 27 in one mock. He’s the kind of player who the combine will be important for and likely a spot he should gain some value.

Maxx Williams, TE Minnesota
Williams has solidified himself over the last few weeks as the top tight end prospect in this class. Unlike last year, this year’s class is fairly weak at that position. He should probably be drafted in the third round of your rookie draft if you have a need or if he finds a nice landing spot. He found his ADP going from late third round to being drafted in the second round of the final mock. If you have a huge need, I can understand that pick, otherwise there is probably better value to be had there.

Jay Ajayi, RB Boise State; Javorius Allen, RB Southern California and David Johnson, RB Northern Iowa
I have grouped these three together to mention that every time one is picked there is a small outcry in email or twitter about how great of a pick it was and that others wanted that player to fall. None of their average draft positions have moved much, but they are highly looked upon and coveted players. All three are bigger running backs who have great hands in the passing game – players who are capable of taking a three down role in the NFL.

Vince Mayle, WR Washington State
At 6’3″ 220, he will start turning the heads of dynasty owners come draft season. He’s had some very big games this year and has over 100 catches for nearly 1,500 yards. Mayle is a player who isn’t getting a lot of hype yet and actually went undrafted in one of the November mocks.

David Cobb, RB Minnesota
Yeah, I’m a Gopher fan so you will get me talking about two Gophers. I don’t see the speed or explosion necessary at the NFL level. That said, I can not argue his production. He is the type of back that will continue to pound away for yards and keep his legs churning. There is potential for him finding the right landing spot in the NFL that can utilize what he can do. Someone is likely to draft him in the third round, which I feel is a good place to take that shot.

Devin Funchess, WR Michigan
Just last month, Funchess was considered nearly a lock as a top four pick. This month, people are watching more and more on him and the flaws he does have and other players are stepping up. His size and potential will keep him ranked highly by most. There will likely be at least one person in your rookie draft who loves Funchess, so don’t expect to steal him at the end of the first round. It’s just worthy of noting that his October ADP was 3.5 with the lowest he was drafted being fourth. In November mocks, his ADP slid to 5.6 and was drafted as late as 7th in one mock.

If you would like to participate in any upcoming 2015 Rookie Mocks, please let me know and I will put you on the list and get you in one when I can. If you have interest in a specific type of mock, like two quarterback or Superflex, let me know as I will also try to make one of those happen.

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Scott Fish

Honorary Contributor at Dynasty League Football

Scott started playing dynasty in 1992 and loves to regale people with how in his 1995 rookie draft he called J.J. Stokes the next Jerry Rice. In 1999, with a friend, he created what was then called College Farm System Dynasty Leagues. They are now widely called Developmental Dynasty leagues. Scott has been in the fantasy football industry since 2003 and in 2008 created his own successful site, FFOasis.com. In April of 2014 after 6 amazing years, Scott closed FFOasis and joined DLF. Scott is a member of FSWA. Unfortunately for the rest of the world, he is married to the most amazing woman that has ever existed in the history of everything. They have been together since 2001 and in 2013 welcomed a son into their family.