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Daily League Bargains: Week Ten

Forsett

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Last week we did well with our bargains. Ronnie Hillman and Martavis Bryant scored twice, Mark Ingram and Mike Evans did likewise while also giving their owners 100-plus yards and Shane Vereen, Travis Kelce, Larry Donnell and Chase Ford were all featured and found the end zone. This week, let’s do it again!

Keep in mind these suggestions are made for GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments with more than 50 participants where players are looking for bargains to fill out their lineups after already inserting their “studs” for the week. Many of them are risky plays and shouldn’t necessarily be considered in head to head or 50/50 games.

Quarterback

Colin Kaepernick, QB SF

If you’re looking to fade Ben Roethlisberger ($8,300) who will very likely be highly owned because he faces a Jets defense that has given up 24 touchdown passes on the season, Kaepernick ($7,400) will save you some money at the position and give you the potential to put up big numbers. He faces New Orleans this week and the Saints are giving 280 yards per game through the air. Additionally, they’ve allowed rushing touchdowns by quarterbacks in each of the last two weeks to Aaron Rodgers and Cam Newton.

Kaepernick definitely has risk associated with him, but the upside is absolutely there as long as the 49ers’ coaching staff allows him to use his legs to beat the Saints.

Mark Sanchez, QB PHI

Sanchez ($6,600) is known more for the infamous “Butt Fumble” than he is for throwing touchdown passes. While it’s true he’s brought much of the scrutiny on himself, he’s also never been given the weapons necessary to thrive. That chance has arrived this weekend against the Panthers defense that has allowed the third most fantasy points to quarterbacks on the season.

Personally, I’ve always thought Chip Kelly was the reason for Nick Foles’ success. He’s a master at always putting his quarterback in a great position and should continue to do that with Sanchez. With weapons like LeSean McCoy, Jeremy Maclin and Zach Ertz, he’s certainly got a chance to put up some nice numbers at a bargain basement price.

Other Options: Cam Newton ($7,700) and Josh McCown ($5,700)

Running Back

Ronnie Hillman, RB DEN

Although Hillman ($7,400) was bottled up for the most part last week against the Patriots (he ran for just 16 yards on ten carries), he still came through for fantasy owners by catching seven passes for 47 yards and finding pay dirt twice. He gets to face the Raiders’ Swiss cheese run defense in week ten coming off a game where they allowed 208 yards from scrimmage and a pair of touchdowns to Seattle tailbacks.

Hillman should be in line for 20-plus touches in The Black Hole and is a good bet to find the end zone at least once. Even at a price over $7,000 on FanDuel, he’s a steal.

Bobby Rainey, RB TB

After Rainey ($6,700) touched the ball 20 times for 121 yards a week ago for the Buccaneers, rumors are swirling that Charles Sims ($4,800) may be taking over in the Tampa Bay backfield sooner rather than later. I’m not buying it, though. Rainey is averaging 4.6 yards per carry and has 23 receptions on the season. He’s the only tailback on the roster making any kind of dent on the ground or as a receiver and Lovie Smith isn’t going to completely pull the plug on him for an unproven rookie.

Rainey and the Buccs get the luxury of facing the worst run defense in the league this week at home against the Falcons. I’d be willing to bet he once again gets the lion’s share of the touches for Tampa Bay and flirts with the 117 rushing yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game Atlanta is allowing so far on the season to opposing running backs.

Justin Forsett, RB BAL

Forsett ($6,500) is still the lead dog in Baltimore and this week he gets to face the Titans, who are giving up 121 yards per game on the ground to running backs and allowed 10 total touchdowns to the position in eight games. Although Lorenzo Taliaferro ($6,300) has taken over the role of the Ravens’ goal line back, Forsett should continue to challenge for 15-plus carries and is the preferred choice in the passing game.

Forsett hasn’t scored since week five. Many probably think that means he’s unlikely to find the end zone again this week, but I think it just means he’s due.

Terrence West, RB CLE

Although Ben Tate ($6,500) started in the Cleveland backfield in week nine against the Buccaneers, it was West ($6,300) that led the Browns’ tailbacks in snaps and touches after Tate mustered just three yards on ten carries in the game. After the matchup Browns’ head coach Mike Pettine said West, “earned those touches.” That looks to me like a changing of the guard in Cleveland.

This week the Browns face the Bengals, who are giving up the fifth most fantasy points to running backs and allowed 542 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns to tailbacks over their last three games.

It’s a risk to trust Pettine to give West a majority of the carries again on Thursday night. But if he does, West could be in for a nice fantasy night.

Other options: Jeremy Hill ($6,900), Darren Sproles ($6,300) and Chris Ivory ($6,300)

Wide Receiver

Brandon Marshall, WR CHI

Due to his lackluster play of late, Marshall ($7,300) is now the 15th highest priced receiver on the docket this weekend – that’s a discount I just can’t ignore no matter how the Bears’ star has been playing. In his last five games against the Packers, he’s hauled in 23 passes for 280 yards and four touchdowns. He’s got a habit of finding the end zone against Green Bay. I wouldn’t bet against him to do it again this week and at his price, he’s an excellent bargain.

Roddy White, WR ATL

White ($6,600) has been a bit of a disappointment so far this year. He’s had just one 100-yard game and only found the end zone three times. This week, the Falcons play the Buccaneers, who are giving up more fantasy points to wide receivers than any other team in the league. If you can’t afford Julio Jones ($8,000) – who is my favorite play among the high priced receivers – White could prove to be a nice contrarian play.

Martavis Bryant, WR PIT

Bryant ($6,100) was listed here last week and came through with flying colors, as he hauled in two touchdowns for the second straight week. On Sunday he gets to face the Jets who just happened to have the worst secondary in the league. The Jets have allowed a league high 24 touchdown passes on the season and Bryant has quickly become a mainstay in the red zone for the Steelers offense. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him score again, for the fourth straight week.

Davante Adams, WR GB

Vegas is expecting the Bears and Packers game to be the highest scoring contest this week with an over/under currently at 53.5. Although Randall Cobb ($8,600) and Jordy Nelson ($8,500) are excellent choices this week if you’re looking to get a piece of the Packers’ passing attack against the Bears, they may not fit into everybody’s budget – that’s where Adams ($5,200) comes in.

In Green Bay’s last game, Adams was on the field for 68 of the Packers’ 71 offensive plays and he’s quickly become a big part of what Mike McCarthy wants to do on offense. If the Bears focus on stopping Green Bay’s biggest options in the passing game, Adams could be in for a field day against Chicago. He’s the best low-end option on the board at receiver for those looking to get multiple high dollar options into their lineup.

Other Options: Kelvin Benjamin ($6,700), Allen Robinson ($6,400), Jordan Matthews ($5,700), James Jones ($5,400) and Justin Hunter ($5,400)

Tight End

Heath Miller, TE PIT

Over the last seven weeks, the Jets defense has allowed 11 touchdowns to tight ends. Miller ($5,300) had a dud on Sunday night against the Ravens where he caught just one pass for 14 yards, but he’s still a very big part of the Steelers offense. He’s a risky play but no doubt has upside considering the prime matchup.

Other options: Larry Donnell ($5,300), Zach Ertz ($5,100) and Scott Chandler ($5,000)

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Dan Meylor
2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. Krcil

    November 6, 2014 at 7:45 am

    I have already learned my lesson on Colin Kaepernick. PASS! (something he can’t seem to do)

    • George Kritikos

      November 6, 2014 at 12:52 pm

      He’s always up and down so it’s tough to bet on him. I like the Sanchez pick myself as that Carolina defense is absolutely awful against the pass.

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