Dynasty Stock Market: 2QB ADP

One of the great things about fantasy football is the wide variety of leagues offered. There are so many characteristics of a dynasty league that can be manipulated to create a different affect, which often changes the value of a specific position. Leagues can use a draft or an auction to disperse players. Starting lineups or scoring formats can be adjusted from the norm. Developmental players can be included – those are just a few ways leagues can be altered to fit the wants and needs of the group of participating owners and it’s what makes our game of fantasy football so unique. In fact, it seems like each of these niche markets are growing, just as dynasty leagues continue to grow in popularity. I’m not even sure what “normal” is anymore when it comes to dynasty leagues.

One of the fastest growing segments of dynasty leagues (and fantasy football in general, including redraft and daily fantasy games) involves including two starting quarterbacks in each team’s lineup. This could be done by requiring two starting quarterbacks or through what’s called a superflex option, which typically allows owners to choose any offensive player in a starting flex spot. If you’ve ever played in a league that requires only one starting quarterback, and I’m sure most of you have, you understand the value, or lack thereof, attributed to the quarterback position. Outside of the very top tier of quarterbacks, it’s difficult to even acquire a first round rookie pick in exchange for one. Many owners instill the late round quarterback theory and are satisfied trotting out a “boring” option, yet one who still has the potential to score twenty or more fantasy points per week. After all, quarterbacks are traditionally the highest scoring fantasy players, but the gap between the QB5 and QB25 is often insignificant. Just as leagues sought to add value to the tight end position by rewarding them with 1.25 or 1.5 points per reception, some dynasty leagues have moved to the two quarterback starting format.

Because of this trend, I have chosen to add some two quarterback, or 2QB, dynasty mock drafts to the current six dynasty mock drafts done on a monthly basis. With only two 2QB mocks done, the data is not quite a solid, but does offer some insight for what owners can expect a league such as this to look like. As I present this 2QB data, I also wanted to focus on the difference in average draft position between the 2QB leagues and the “traditional” leagues in which only one starting quarterback is allowed. As you might have guessed, I’ll start with a look at the quarterback position.

Here are some things I noticed from this group of quarterbacks:

*Obviously, the ADP of each quarterback is higher in the 2QB format than the one quarterback. While this is no surprise, it is interesting to see how some of the players see huge jumps in value while others are minimal in comparison.

*Though every quarterback on the list saw their ADP jump by at least a full round, it was the group at the top that had the biggest percentage jump. Top quarterbacks like Andrew Luck and Cam Newton went from third rounders to being the top two overall players.

*In the one quarterback format, the Packers Aaron Rodgers was the top quarterback off the board, but he fell to third in the 2QB format behind Luck and Newton. While this could just be a case of owner preference, it also shows that a young quarterback viewed as elite is the most valuable of all assets.

*There are many players who have little to no value in most formats that see a great increase in value in 2QB leagues. Players like Jay Cutler, Andy Dalton, EJ Manuel, Joe Flacco and Alex Smith are being drafted in the top five rounds due to the scarcity of quarterbacks.

*Following up that point, many veterans who have almost no value in most leagues suddenly are assets in these leagues. In a one quarterback league, owners might be interested in gambling on backup quarterbacks like Brock Osweiler, Kirk Cousins or Ryan Mallett as a stash player on the end of their roster. While these players certainly have increased value in 2QB leagues, current starting quarterbacks like Carson Palmer, Jake Locker and Brian Hoyer has bypassed them.

With so many quarterbacks climbing the ADP charts in the two quarterback format, you can guess what is happening with players at other positions. There is some great value to be had for the owners who choose not to chase mediocre quarterbacks in the early and middle rounds. Here’s a look at the ADP differences among some of the top running backs, wide receivers and tight ends.

*I chose to only highlight the players who were selected before the first quarterback, Rodgers, in the start one quarterback format. That means that these twenty-one players can all be considered to be more valuable than any quarterback in most formats. Of course, we know that’s not the case in a 2QB league.

*One thing that jumps out to me is the relatively small change in the value of the top running backs in 2QB leagues. We know supply and demand greatly affects the value of quarterbacks, but it seems like owners are viewing running backs in the same way. In fact, a pair of backs, Eddie Lacy and Doug Martin, actually saw their ADP improve in the 2QB leagues.

*Wide receivers were the real victims here. While the top overall player in start one leagues, AJ Green, maintained his status fairly well, other highly regarded wideouts, like Calvin Johnson and Josh Gordon fell at least half a round, with Gordon even falling out of the first round altogether. This is likely due to the perceived depth of the wide receiver position and should show us all that in these types of leagues, it might be best to wait for wide receivers.

If you’re interested in the full list of players and their ADP in the two quarterback leagues, I’ve listed that below.

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Ryan McDowell

Contributor at Dynasty League Football

In addition to his senior leadership role here at DLF, Ryan is also a husband, father of three and PE teacher. Ryan is the commissioner of multiple dynasty leagues, most notably the Kitchen Sink Dynasty Leagues. Here at DLF, Ryan’s focus is on identifying, monitoring and analyzing player value.

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