Dynasty League Football


Over/Under: Arian Foster


Welcome to another installment of “Over/Under” where I highlight a player and determine some projections based on past tendencies and then state whether I think they will go “over or under” those projections. The criteria will be different for each player based on position and situation.

Today we are going to talk about a player who has been a former number one overall pick in dynasty leagues and a lightning rod for debate this off-season, Houston Texans running back Arian Foster. We will put his betting line at 1,500 total yards and 12.5 total touchdowns.

I’ve been playing dynasty fantasy football for 15 years now and barring injury, I have never seen the dynasty community bail on a player faster than they have on Foster. I’ve mentioned it before; I often pick my topic based on Twitter conversations and trends. The Foster debate is never ending. You can pretty much pick a night and find someone arguing about Foster’s outlook and downward trend. They cite age, yards per carry, number of touches and more. If that doesn’t work, a very specific, obscure metric that eliminates 95% of the field will pop up to support whatever they’re trying to convince you of.

The dreaded age of the performance cliff for running backs has historically been at age 30, Foster will celebrate his 27th birthday just before week one of his fifth professional season rolls around. Here are Arian Foster’s career stats since his rookie year in 2009.










F. Pts















































Much has been made of his declining yards per carry in each of the last three seasons. Obviously, when you average almost five yards per carry as a work horse back, there really isn’t anywhere to go but down. After 2010 and his 4.9 YPC, Foster fell to 4.4 YPC in 2011, and a flat 4.0 YPC in 2012. This speaks volumes to the amazing season he had in 2010. He finished nearly 100 points ahead of the RB2. He shouldn’t be held to that unattainable standard. Chris Johnson was dubbed CJ2K after his historic season and is called a failure every year he doesn’t hit it again. You can bet if Adrian Peterson “only” rushes for 1,400 yards and ten touchdowns, people are going to ask, “What’s wrong with AP?” One of the league’s premier runners with an elite three down skill set, Foster hasn’t finished lower than sixth in the league in rushing yards since taking the reins in the Texans backfield. When you factor in his receptions, yardage, and touchdowns from the passing game, you have one of the safest all around RB1s in fantasy PPR leagues, never finishing lower than the RB3, excluding his six game rookie campaign.

Outside of a hamstring injury in 2011 which cost Foster three games, he has remained healthy and dependable while piling up 1,115 touches over the past three seasons, or 24.8 touches per game. For comparison, over that same time frame, Ray Rice has averaged 22.0 touches per game while playing in all 48 games, and Adrian Peterson has averaged 21.7 touches per game, but has missed five games.

The dynasty rankers here at DLF have varying opinions on Foster’s future as well. Jeff and I still view him as the number one running back to select in startup drafts while Chad believes there are eight better options at the position. The rest of the rankers fall somewhere in between. You can see the team’s rankings for Foster below.

Rank Name

Eric D




Jeff H

Ken M




RB4 A. Foster











Clearly, I am still firmly seated on the Arian Foster bandwagon. I’m not going to downgrade a soon-to-be 27 year old running back with proven ability for a younger player who has yet to prove he can handle the load Foster has. According to Ryan McDowell’s ADP tracking, Foster has seen his ADP go from seventh overall in January to eighth in February to sixth in March and to eighth in April and May.

I crunched some numbers from the past three years to get the top 12 running backs in PPR leagues, or since Foster took over the starting job in Houston. There were no exceptions due to injury or length of service. Guys that missed extensive time due to injury, like Jamaal Charles or Maurice Jones-Drew, or young players like Trent Richardson, Doug Martin, Alfred Morris, and Stevan Ridley did not make the chart. These were season ending statistics from the past three seasons. The reason I omitted Charles and Jones-Drew is because a top selection in dynasty startup league needs to be counted on and dependable. The young pups weren’t included because anyone can do it once, just ask Mike Shanahan! Here is the chart:


In my opinion, each of the top running backs have their own unique question marks. Peterson is coming off a historic campaign, just turned 28 years old, and a regression is inevitable. Trent Richardson averaged 3.7 yards per carry, is always dealing with some sort of lingering injury, and his fantasy success was largely dependent on touchdowns, a recipe for disaster. Ask LeSean McCoy owners from the past two years. Speaking of McCoy, he has a new coaching staff and offense to learn, and now has Bryce Brown to steal carries in Chip Kelly’s up tempo scheme. Doug Martin scored 29% of his 2012 fantasy points in weeks eight and nine. Ray Rice now shares the backfield with Bernard Pierce. How will C.J. Spiller handle feature back duties for the first time in his career with new coach Doug Marrone calling the shots? Spiller has always been in a committee attack, going all the way back to his college days at Clemson. Jamaal Charles should be the focal point in Andy Reid’s Kansas City offense, but Reid is no stranger to fantasy owner’s frustrations and if Alex Smith can’t keep defenses from dropping eight in the box, Charles is going to be in trouble.

Having nitpicked and poked holes in the top eight dynasty running backs, I’m not blind or ignoring Foster’s blemishes, but Foster’s age doesn’t concern me and neither does his work load. Foster keeps himself in phenomenal shape. The number of touches Foster has accrued is definitely worth noting, but bright side of it, he’s being fed the rock and given plenty of opportunities to score plenty of fantasy points. One thing to keep in mind for Foster’s outlook this season is the AFC South is scheduled to play the NFC West this year. That’s four games versus some of the league’s most stout defenses.

The Texans know they have to do a better job of monitoring Foster’s work load. Getting a hefty dose of carries is great, but quality carries are better than empty end of game carries that end up being against eight and nine defenders in the box. Quarterback Matt Schaub has to do a better job of keeping defenses honest. For the first time in Andre Johnson’s career he will have a legitimate playmaker lining up across from him in DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins, measuring in at 6’1” and 214 pounds, is already running with the first team in OTAs and will finally open running lanes for Foster and underneath routes for tight end Owen Daniels while drawing double teams off of Andre Johnson.

A healthy Ben Tate entering a contract year will help keep Foster fresh. They need/want to give Foster a couple series off a game. If Tate misses time like he has in each of his pro seasons, the Texans are better equipped to deal with it after addressing their running back depth chart on draft weekend by adding a trio of talented undrafted free agents in Cierre Wood, Ray Graham, and Dennis Johnson. While it’s possible only one of the three will make the final 53 man roster, it’s very clear the Texans do not plan on being short handed in the running game should they need to go to the bullpen.

Bottom line, the hatred and naysayers are now out of hand. Foster is still one of the three most talented running backs in the NFL and I think he still deserves to be drafted as such. I’m taking the over on this line. With the Texans having the best all around talent in franchise history, they should be able to open up the playbook and give Foster the opportunity to make plays both in the running and receiving game. I look for Foster to eclipse 1,400 yards rushing while adding at least 300 yards receiving. Scoring at least 13 touchdowns won’t be difficult for Foster, he’s one of the game’s best at finding the end zone. Like Jim Day (@FantasyTaz) said on Twitter, “I love you guys for driving Foster’s value down. Please continue!” I agree, Jim. If you get Foster later than the fifth pick in a dynasty start up draft, buy your buddies a frosty adult beverage for doing you a solid favor.

What are your thoughts on this? Are you still hanging with me on the “Arian Foster Party Bus” or did you get you a big ol’ glass of Haterade too? Are you taking the “Over / Under” on Foster hitting 1,500 total yards and 12.5 total touchdowns?

Let me know in the comments section below and as always, thanks for reading!

Eric Olinger

Eric Olinger

Senior Writer at Dynasty League Football
A 12 year old trapped in a man's body, Eric has been playing IDP dynasty leagues for almost 20 years. He enjoys Star Wars, Batman, red meat and an ice cold Diet Coke, sometimes all at once. He hopes to one day own his own Batmobile but his wife is a relentless dream crusher so the odds are slim.

Eric is on Twitter @OlingerIDP.
Eric Olinger

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  1. JT

    June 12, 2013 at 6:15 am

    I’ll give him one more year of those stats then the decline begins.

  2. Joe Kool

    June 12, 2013 at 6:16 am

    Nice article and I think for re-draft I’d take him insanely high..but after the volume of carries this guy has had..there’s no way I am targeting him as early for dynasty. Yes, he is “only” 27, but the volume of carries is too high for my liking, combined with his YPC has gone down fairly significantly each season.

    As for the over/under, Ill take the under on the yardage. He eclipsed 1500 only once before, and it wasnt last year (though it was close). The TDs I can easily see since he certainly has a few games where he punches it in 2-3 times.
    Ill go with under yards, over TDs (even though I think 12 is about on par).
    His totals? 1250 yards, 13 tds.
    Then the wheels completely come off.

    • Eric Olinger

      June 12, 2013 at 6:37 am

      It is 1,500 TOTAL yards, not just rushing. I appreciate the comments, thanks for reading.

      • Lotto4Life

        June 12, 2013 at 11:07 am

        You may want to change the poll question.

        Over/Under: Arian Foster RUSHES for 1,500 yards and 12.5 touchdowns.

        • Eric Olinger

          June 12, 2013 at 11:40 am

          Gotcha, thanks. We’ll get that changed, hopefully.

  3. Jake Rickrode

    June 12, 2013 at 6:22 am

    All signs point to decline. I’ll take the under. He’s a late 1st, early second dynasty pick in my opinion and that’s settling. Ben Tate is an absolute must if you draft him. I almost always disagree with Jim Day, his opinion just solidifies my take on Foster. Pass.

  4. smcguiga

    June 12, 2013 at 6:23 am

    I hear you on most of your points but tough to ignore the huge drop in YPC I view that as one of the key metrics for a back like Foster. Age not the issue but the huge amount of work over such a condensed time is, this has hurt almost all backs AP is a freak of nature and really should be omitted when discussing backs as he is once in a generation type back. Foster does keep himself in shape but I would put chances of some time of injury at a much higher than average rate for him this year, the massive workload last year and last 3 have taken toll on him to ignore the decline in YPC is dangerous IMO. If he stay healthy he goes over these totals but I don’t think he will so I say under. I also think this is year Tate finally does emerage….I expect over 1,000 for Tate. Don’t forget Tate has some of best measureables at RB in entire league needs to kick injury bug but if he does he is real deal not some token backup.

    • Jon

      June 12, 2013 at 6:32 am

      I agree that if Tate stays healthy he will have a nice season and could set himself up for a decent payday. Lets not forget that Foster has 105 carries in the playoffs, they count towards the total too. I found this to be an interesting read: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1271412-why-and-when-do-nfl-running-backs-start-to-decline

    • Eric Olinger

      June 12, 2013 at 6:48 am

      I hate the word “metrics”. You can set parameters to manufacture any set of metrics you need to support any argument you want. The eyeball test should carry more weight. Look at the Raiders, they draft based on metrics and take every workout warrior that rolls through Indy. How has that worked out? Shanny sees a back with good vision and a high football IQ but tests “poorly” and they produce.

      Arian Foster has proven the metrics wrong since entering the league as an UNDRAFTED FREE AGENT!!! Where were the metrics when he was passed over 253 times?

      His “huge drop off in YPC” is largely based on the fact he rushed for almost 5 yards a pop. Rarely does that hold up year to year.

      • smcguiga

        June 12, 2013 at 7:03 am

        Eric you may hate the term but it is the basis of much of analysis and articles that this very site proclaims….you want to go with your gut and your eyes be my guest but Foster’s workload should not be ignored to do so is reckless…..you seem to be in minority being so high on him but maybe you are right only way to know is time but the fact that he hurts himself day one of OTA’s can’t be reassuring to you.

        • Eric Olinger

          June 12, 2013 at 7:57 am

          That’s fair. I may be in the minority and I can totally understand the risk and wanting to move him down the ranks a bit but it’s gone TOO far. I can see taking Martin and Richardson over him and possibly Charles or Spiller. But those RBs need to be the first five off the board in some order. You could shuffle that however you want and I would be happy with who I got.

      • ColemanKelly

        June 12, 2013 at 9:18 am

        That “metric” would be his college coaches trashing him to NFL scouts, having a fumbling problem, and being unable to workout fully due to an injured hamstring. The Raiders draft solely off combine information, which is a terrible idea. We all know the zone blocking scheme can turn less talented running backs into fantasy stars, but that doesn’t mean they’re still not less talented.

        Let’s be real, man.

        • Eric Olinger

          June 12, 2013 at 11:41 am

          Are you suggesting that Arian Foster is less talented?

          • ColemanKelly

            June 12, 2013 at 5:15 pm

            I do not, and I don’t remember what I was referring to when I wrote that. Whenever someone brings up metrics, there’s always someone who screams Arian Foster, LeSean McCoy, Frank Gore, etc. These guys are clear exceptions to the metrics rule.

            Foster = hamstring injury
            McCoy = flu
            Gore = knee injury

            Their workout information is a false read. Foster falling in the draft was the perfect storm of ill-time injury and a bad final year.

            If you’re using the eye test, Foster looked sluggish, to say the least. He went down on first contact way too often. He looks to be a volume runner at this point, and a ton of his value comes from the fact that they run a ton near the goal line, which could decrease will the addition of excellent red zone receiver Deandre Hopkins.

  5. notorioustot

    June 12, 2013 at 7:51 am

    I love Arian, and for this year, I’d say the over. But the real question comes into his dynasty value, which I think we all agree on.

    I did trade him before last year after he helped me win my 14 team Dynasty League in 2011. I sent Arian, Mike Goodson, Davone Bess and Chris Givens for Locker/Hasselbeck, J-Stew/DWill, Andre Johnson, and a 2013 1st rounder (1.07 which I traded while on the clock in April for Marshawn Lynch) and a 2014 2nd rounder. We’ve all seen STUD RBs, fall apart over an offseason (S.Alexander, M.Faulk, P.Holmes, L. Johnson, etc.), it was that factor that was the reason I sold him while he still had significant value.

  6. Lou

    June 12, 2013 at 7:53 am

    I’m going with the under/over. You make valid points throughout and I can’t in good faith dismiss one of them, but to set the bar at 1,500 yards combined when you stated that Foster will be spelled for a couple series a game is incredibly optimistic. I don’t think he’ll fall far short of that number, I’m thinking he ends up in the 1,350-1,450 combined yardage range, but I do think he falls short of it.

    That being said, the TDs are an easy over. Kubiak runs when he gets near the goal line, a trend that has been proven throughout his coaching career. Couple that with the fact that Foster excels in that area and it’s a match made in heaven. The only aspect that truly gives me pause is the state of the Oline, but believe we’re a year or two away from it being a true “problem area” for the Texans.

    As for the Foster hate in general, I think it can be summed up as simply as “Taking perceived upside is sexy, taking the known commodity is boring.” Foster is known. Thankfully, for those of us who relish the boring on our way to fantasy goodness.

  7. Eric Olinger

    June 12, 2013 at 7:59 am

    The best news for everyone is I have become the Arian Foster Fan CLub poster boy. If he falls flat on his face everyone will have free reign to tell me “I told you so!”

    • The Coach

      June 12, 2013 at 10:10 pm

      Get in line, pal. I’ve been the Arian Foster poster boy from the end of the 2009 season.

      And this question is an easy OVER.

      I would take Foster first in a redraft league, a dynasty league and any other kind of league. People that are selecting guys like Richardson and McCoy over him deserve to get laughed at. Foster is the best in the business and will continue to be the most consistant number 1 running back since the early days of LT.

  8. Vic

    June 12, 2013 at 8:40 am

    Over/Over. Do you think Greg Jones will improve Foster’s YPC? I do.

    • Eric Olinger

      June 12, 2013 at 8:58 am

      I think it will help too because Foster runs great with a FB and Greg Jones is one of the best in the league. Foster hasn’t played with scrubs though. Vonta Leach was a beast too.

      • Vic

        June 13, 2013 at 12:03 am

        Leach was in Baltimore the last two years. Perhaps coincidently the worst two years of Fosters YPC. Plus Foster ebdured a complete overhaul of the right side of the line in ’12. Unless you are Barry Sanders, RBs need blockers. Phil Loadholt is arguably co-MVP on the Vikings.

  9. Gronk

    June 12, 2013 at 8:56 am

    I’ll take the over. Foster had a ton of carries but so what. When a defense KNOWS Foster is going to run the ball, it’s going to be hard for his average not to decline. Enter Hopkins to help keep the defense honest! Defenses will no longer be able to focus on just Andre and Foster. This, to me, will open up a several big plays for foster. Maybe I’m being a bit optimistic but i see his YPC going back up to around 4.5. I think with Hopkins and a healthy Tate spelling him, he pushes for 1700+ combined yards. He’ll always be a TD machine.

    • Eric Olinger

      June 12, 2013 at 8:59 am

      Couldn’t agree more. That is my exact feeling!

      • Gronk

        June 12, 2013 at 9:11 am

        Nice article btw Eric. Not sure why there is so much hate for a guy who only played for a few years and has been nothing less than a stud. AP has a TON of touches and has played several years longer. Probably a bad comparison as we’ll find out AP is, in fact, a cyborg! lol All joking aside…this may be a good time to get Foster while his value is so low.

    • Westcoat

      June 12, 2013 at 1:48 pm

      Defenses will still stack up to stop Johnson and Foster. Until Hopkins proves himself. I will take over and under,I believe Hopkin takes away a couple td. I also think this is his last year being a top 5 rb.

  10. John

    June 12, 2013 at 10:03 am

    I don’t think Foster is treated any differently than other aging players with problems with nagging lower body injuries. Look at how Miles Austin and Greg Jennings are viewed in the FF community. THOSE are players people truly bailed on. Lower body strains and pulls tend to increase with age. They take longer to heal. Saying Foster is just 27 years old or just a 4th year starter downplays the difference in how RBs age. They age by touches. Look at other RBs like Priest Holmes and Terrell Davis who got similar workloads over the same timeframe. The potential for sudden breakdown is real. Even a guy like Shaun Alexander was pretty much done after 5 years of dominance.

    I would rather sell a year too early than wait a year too late.

    • Eric Olinger

      June 12, 2013 at 11:45 am

      That’s fair John. I just don’t see anyone trashing Ray Rice. Going all the way back to his college days he has had huge work loads. Guys like Marshall Faulk had ridiculous touches and stayed productive. I think Foster has at least 2 years of elite production. If you’re operating in a 3 year window, that is someone I am buying for a title run.

      • Westcoat

        June 12, 2013 at 1:56 pm

        I traded Ray Rice last year for Spiller and TB Mike Williams.

    • The Coach

      June 12, 2013 at 10:13 pm

      terrell davis blew out his knee and priest holmes broke his neck. otherwise those guys would have had much longer success. until foster does something similar he should be the number 1 dog in all of fantasy football.

  11. Pac_Eddy

    June 12, 2013 at 12:13 pm

    I’m going with the OVER. He should beat 1500 total yards easily. The TDs will come as they have in the last few years.

  12. Verb

    June 12, 2013 at 12:46 pm

    I’m over on both for one more year. Hahahaha, and my guess is that at this time next year, I will say over on both for one more year AGAIN. This dude is good. The Texans do a fine job of finding ways to get him the ball in places where he can succeed. Greg Jones is real good and from what I understand, Vonta Leach wants to come back who is actually better. I think you always put the lines fairly close to what I would predict but I’m thinking 1575 and 14 tds.

    Good Stuff Eric

    • Eric Olinger

      June 12, 2013 at 1:10 pm

      Thank you!

  13. The nugjuice

    June 12, 2013 at 1:12 pm

    I remember 2 years ago when everyone left Marshawn Lynch for dead. People pointed to his aggressive running style, almost 1k carries under his belt, and declining ypc in his last 3 years (4.1, 3.8, 3.6). I think he went in the 5th-6th round.

    Look what happened there. He went on to have the 2 highest ypc seasons of his career (4.2, 5.0) and doubled his avg. TD’s per season.

    My point is, past performance doesn’t indicate future results.

    The thing that bothers me most about Foster (and the reason I won’t be drafting him) is because you need to blow a stupid high pick on him to nab Ben Tate. Every time I draft Foster someone thinks they’re cute and reaches for him in the 7th round. Compared to other first-round backs (who have admittedly more opaque backup situations) he goes a full 4-5 earlier.

    • Eric Olinger

      June 12, 2013 at 1:56 pm

      I think handcuffing stars is stupid. Rarely is the backup capable to step in and not miss a beat. I would rather just grab a different RB. The only time I have a more than one RB from the same team is when I don’t know who will win the job, like St. Louis this year, and to a much lesser extent the Jets. If I have Ben Tate on my Foster led team it’s only because I thought Tate was better than the rest available.

  14. BB Wayne

    June 12, 2013 at 1:40 pm

    Damn it Eric, quit being so high on Foster. I’m still trying to get him in a few leagues!

    Seriously, the downfall of Namaste is way over blown. Last year was a down year because of YPC? Well, the entire right side of the o line was new and the zone blocking scheme is not easy to master. As the season wore on, other then the Vikings game, Foster’s YPC went up!

    It’s like all the rage of rookie picks in Dynasty start ups and people forget who has produced. Although this is Dynasty, player windows should be no more then 3 years except maybe for QBs.

  15. Kaleb

    June 12, 2013 at 2:15 pm

    I’m thinking about trying to trade Spiller and Vick for a better QB and lesser RB (6 pts for passing TDs). What do you guys think would be good value? 16 team, non ppr

    • Mike Ditka

      June 12, 2013 at 3:08 pm

      non sequitur

    • Eric Olinger

      June 13, 2013 at 6:29 am

      Spiller has an ADP of 7.17 in May’s dynasty start up drafts. He alone should get you your pick of QBs. With the 6 pts for TDs though I am betting you will have a hard time getting Rodgers or Luck but anyone besides those two should be easily attainable.

      • Kaleb

        June 13, 2013 at 8:49 am

        ADP of 7.17? That seems really low, I’m guessing that was a typo?

        • Eric Olinger

          June 13, 2013 at 9:33 am

          My apologies, he’s being drafted 6th overall. His average draft position is 7.17. That is not in the seventh round. In the six mock drafts in May he went 8, 4, 11, 6, 6, 8. That’s where the 7.17 comes from, 43/6= 7.17.

          Sorry for the confusion.

          • Kaleb

            June 13, 2013 at 9:45 am

            Ahhh, my mistake for not understanding. I’d post in the forum but haven’t been approved by an admin yet, so sorry about this. Trying to get Stafford and D. Wilson for Vick, Spiller and any one/combo of any of the following guys: S. Rice, J. Wright, or S. Johnson. What’s a fair offer/value?

          • Eric Olinger

            June 13, 2013 at 10:52 am

            Is that S. Johnson as in Stevie Johnson, WR BUF? I wouldn’t want to give up Stevie Johnson in the deal. You are giving up the best player in the deal with Spiller. I think Vick, Spiller, and S. Rice should be enough for Stafford and Wilson. I would even consider throwing in a 3rd round pick or later if it meant keeping Stevie.

  16. Kaleb

    June 12, 2013 at 3:16 pm

    Haha, I know, but there’s not really anywhere else to put this. I figured the most recent article was the best place to post? A.K.A. I’m a moron. Thanks Ditka

  17. FFAdvisorcom

    June 12, 2013 at 5:44 pm


    The yards is close to a no brainer for me, the TDs may be very close

  18. TheFFGhost

    June 12, 2013 at 9:43 pm

    I do find it funny that so many in the fantasy community are so ready to write Foster off due to “overuse” yet can’t wait to go out and draft a rookie who has had over 650 carries in the past two years (Ball). For reference Foster has had around 630 rushes in the past two years.

    • Eric Olinger

      June 13, 2013 at 6:30 am


  19. Preston

    June 13, 2013 at 6:00 am

    Agree that some have gone too far with downgrading Foster, but I do have some concerns. Perhaps my biggest concern is his declining returns in the passing game (his yards/reception dropped by more than 50%), and given they just got Hopkins, expect the downward trend to continue there. I’m also not sure why Richardson gets the volatility label with lots of his points coming from TDs when Foster himself got 90 points from TDs last yr. TR has always been good at finding the end zone, in college and now in the NFL.

    I certainly don’t have him down at 8 or 9, but I also don’t have him at one. I also think it is a bit misleading to be knocking Charles as not as consistent as Foster from an injury perspective, given he took a freak injury and that really is the only time he has missed.

    If I can find an owner who has him ranked at RB9/10, I think I would be buying.

    • Preston

      June 13, 2013 at 6:01 am

      To reply to myself, I see a lot of comments about overuse. I truly believe overuse only manifests itself in that when you are used more, your efficiency goes down, it has to. I think that is the biggest driver of the overuse idea, not so much the actual fact that they got some magical number of touches.

    • Eric Olinger

      June 13, 2013 at 6:34 am

      The Richardson label comes from a poor YPC and total rushing yards. Trent Richardson’s fantasy season was deemed a success because he had a high number of TDs and he caught a lot of balls out of the backfield. As a pure runner, he was less than impressive. Combine that with the same “repeat lower leg injuries” people say about Foster and it’s a roll of the dice with TRich. I would take him in the top 5 but no way I would take him over Martin or Foster right now. Spiller and Charles round out my Top5 in a changing daily kind of order.

      • Preston

        June 13, 2013 at 7:15 am

        Fair enough, and a good point. I would offer, however, that his YPC was only slightly worse than Foster this past year, with a worse offensive line, and a worse passing game. Couple in that he has already shown he is going to catch more passes than Foster, and it seems outside of his durability concerns, he might actually be safer than Foster. I guess it is hard for me to say that, and I’m still taking Foster over TR in a redraft for this year, but I think it is fairly close. Foster also had a lot more touches than TR, which likely accounts for why his YPC was only slightly higher than TR, especially since Foster has shown us he can be really efficient, something we have yet to see from Mr Richardson.

        It is an interesting debate that likely won’t end until say December.

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    June 17, 2013 at 8:31 am

    what is his whole like average of touch downs

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