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Dynasty Stock Market: Buy and Sell Candidates

The weekly Dynasty Stock Market features not only price checks, but provides player features, draft projections, trade values or a variety of other relevant topics each week to make sure we’re covering everything our premium content followers are demanding.

This week, we’re featuring some buy and sell candidates.

Making the right trade at the right time can instantly turn your fantasy season around and pay dividends for fantasy seasons to come. As part of the weekly Dynasty Stock Market, I’ll take a look at some players you could see traded soon in your dynasty league. Some of these players are coming off a career best game, while others are being cursed as they, once again, cost dynasty owners an important week of play.

Buy

Andrew Luck, QB IND

Colts rookie quarterback Andrew Luck is off to a great start for his career, currently ranked as QB9 in fantasy leagues. Although Luck is being outscored by fellow rookie Robert Griffin III, Luck is still the preference of many dynasty owners, possibly due to the injury risk Griffin poses. Nonetheless, both are fantastic dynasty quarterbacks and will be very costly in a trade. Prepare to make a huge offer and it will most likely be worth it. In his first seven starts, Luck has three 300 yard passing games and missed a fourth by just three yards. While he gets little credit for his ability to run the ball, he does have three rushing touchdowns in addition to his eight touchdown passes. Luck is already considered a top three dynasty quarterback by many, so it would be well worth it to offer a veteran like Tom Brady, Drew Brees or Peyton Manning in a deal to acquire the rookie from Stanford.

Jonathan Stewart, RB CAR

In the past couple of weeks, Carolina running back Jonathan Stewart’s dynasty value has fluctuated more than any other player in football. It began when Panthers head coach Ron Rivera mentioned to the media that the team would turn to Stewart as their featured back. Even though he has struggled this year thanks to injuries and his role in the Panthers committee of runners, dynasty owners were eager to acquire the talented young back.

Stewart has only 184 rushing yards on the season and his only touchdown came as a receiver. He ranks as the RB35, so this would not seem to be the type of player that dynasty owners would be willing to overpay for, yet that is exactly the situation many were in a week ago, with the anticipation that Stewart could save their season. Instead, facing the top rush defense in week eight, Stewart was only mediocre, rushing seventeen times for 42 yards. He was able to haul in four passes for an additional 38 yards, aiding his performance in PPR leagues.

Now, in hopes that his owners remain frustrated with Stewart’s performance and the fact that he has yet to live up to the hype we have heard so long, is your chance to buy. He will still be expensive as many rank him as a top twelve dynasty running back, but like Luck, I believe the move will pay off.

Calvin Johnson, WR DET

Wait…you’re telling me some guys are actually willing to consider trading Lions wide receiver Calvin Johnson? What are you waiting for? Go now and make the offer. Yes, Johnson has been disappointing, but only because expectations were astronomical. Johnson still ranks as the WR16 in PPR leagues, but the important thing to consider is that it is completely due to his lack of touchdowns. Credit this stat to Rotoworld’s Chris Wesseling: through seven games in 2011, Johnson had 41 catches for 679 yards. Through seven games in 2012, he has 41 grabs for 638. That’s a difference of about four fantasy points spread over seven weeks. The difference in his fantasy scoring over the first seven games is nearly sixty points, due exclusively to the lack of touchdown receptions this season. The touchdowns will come, especially as quarterback Matthew Stafford heats up.

Vernon Davis, TE SF

49ers tight end Vernon Davis has been struggling lately as quarterback Alex Smith has strived to get the wide receivers more involved in their offense. Through the first five weeks of the season, Davis ranked as the TE3, behind only veterans Tony Gonzalez and Heath Miller, averaging nearly fifteen points per game in PPR leagues. In the three weeks since, Davis is only the TE42, including a week seven game where he was held without a catch or any fantasy points. His owners may be frustrated and now is the time to pounce. None of the San Francisco wide receivers are reliable week-to-week options, and Davis’ stats will come back to where we are accustomed to seeing them.

Sell

Josh Freeman, QB TB

Few quarterbacks have been more impressive the past three weeks than Tampa Bay signal caller Josh Freeman, who has averaged over 330 yards and three touchdowns against porous defenses of the Chiefs and the Saints and the typically solid Vikings defense. Even with those performances, I am still not sold on the long term prospects of Freeman. He has been aided by the addition of wide receiver Vincent Jackson, but I don’t see him ever breaking in as a weekly starter in fantasy leagues. If you share that opinion, now is a great time to sell. There are many owners likely struggling with quarterbacks like Tony Romo or Philip Rivers who are likely looking for an upgrade at the position. Freeman does have a very quarterback friendly schedule the next few weeks, so holding him until your league’s trade deadline may be the best move. Packaging Freeman in a deal for dynasty cornerstone players like Cam Newton or Andrew Luck would be a great move for any team.

Frank Gore, RB SF

49ers running back Frank Gore has looked great this year, better than most expected as he plays his ninth year for San Francisco. After missing half of the 2011 season due to injury, many expected a repeat from the 29 year old. Instead, he ranks as the RB14 and has been a solid weekly starter. Gore already has nearly 800 total yards and four touchdowns on the season. Now is the time to take advantage of the contender in your league who is lacking running back depth. Gore’s value is likely to never be this high again. Young backup Kendall Hunter has seen an increase in his carries over the past few weeks and will see his dynasty stock rise with increasing opportunities as the 49ers attempt to keep Gore fresh for the playoffs.

James Jones, WR GB

With Packers wide receiver Greg Jennings missing extensive time this season, other Green Bay wide receivers have stepped up to take his place, namely six year veteran James Jones, who ranks as the WR14 on the season. There is a great discrepancy in Jones’ receiving statistics. He is tied for first among all wide receivers with seven touchdowns on the season, yet he only ranks 42nd in receiving yards. From this, we can project that while Jones will continue to see around fifty yards per game, he is not likely to keep up his touchdown scoring pace. Now is the time to sell on Jones!

Owen Daniels, TE HOU

Houston tight end Owen Daniels has been very impressive this season, ranking as the TE5 on the season and scoring more than ten fantasy points in every week, with the exception of week six. As defenses have focused on wide receiver Andre Johnson and no other wide receiver has separated themselves as options for quarterback Matt Schaub, Daniels has taken advantage and earned the targets. He has over 400 receiving yards and four scores on the season, but he is 29 years old and the Texans have some young receivers who could see increased playing time and targets as the season continues. Also, other tight ends who have been slowed with injuries, like Jimmy Graham and Aaron Hernandez, will likely surpass Daniels among the tight end ranks.

Check back next week as we cover more issues in our weekly Dynasty Stock Market. Follow Ryan on Twitter @RyanMc23.

Ryan McDowell
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Drew Elsberry
9 years ago

I’m a contender in a 12-team ppr league that starts 2 RB’s + 1 flex. Would you trade a 2013 (late) 1st to make Gore your RB3? I have crap after Forte and AD (bye coming) and also have Hunter.

NaptownMVP
Reply to  Drew Elsberry
9 years ago

I would. Win now.

Cyrus Miller
Reply to  Drew Elsberry
9 years ago

I would NOT do that trade.

I have owned Gore for the past several years. He is inconsistent and rarely makes it to the fantasy playoffs.

A late first is way too much to give up. If you are going to give up a late first, announce it to the league and see if any other RB’s are available.

I think Gore is a very short term investment and won’t drastically help your chances of winning now.

Matt Peach
9 years ago

Wow four of my team is on this list. What to do what to do

Ron Lane
9 years ago

I just traded for Freeman. Anyone who puts up 30 some points for four weeks in a row is worth starting especially if you have Rivers and nothing else. (I do have Locker and Foles, waiting for one of them to get their shot) I have a contending team that only lacks a solid QB.

Traded Cobb for Freeman AND the guys first round pick next year.

Jeff Huntley
9 years ago

Is Golden Tate someone to be looking out to buy now? With Braylon Edwards getting older and injury prone, he is getting a second consecutive full time start at split end.

scott jostes
9 years ago

Would you unload (I own RG3 and Luck) Luck, Morris and a first for Foster? I’m hanging around a 4 seed and believe that I can win it. My current lineup is as follows

Rg3/Luck
TRich/Spiller/Morris
AJG/Calvin/Julio
Rudolph

stolenmeat
9 years ago

is it too early to give up on Cam Newton? Or trade him for Luck?

stolenmeat
Reply to  Ryan McDowell
9 years ago

Thank you Ryan.

dave hoover
9 years ago

I am curious as to why You are so down on Freeman. This is his 3rd year in the league, He has 2 solid options at wide receiver and a seemingly solid running back in tow. He is also in a division where he will be forced to put up points to win ballgames and his defense is average at best. Everyone assumed his coach was going to be conservative and run all day, but that does not seem to be the case. I was on the fence on freeman’s value pre season, but after seeing the numbers he has been putting up, maybe, just maybe they are sustainable, everything seems to be in place…but, I’ve been wrong before.

Ray Voeller
9 years ago

thrown this around in forum. Judging by your article trading Gore/Hunter for Stewart would be a good move? I am hesitant to do it. Offer is available for me.

Allen Sarvinas
Reply to  Ray Voeller
9 years ago

It’s everywhere about Stewart; top 5 talent and top 10 floor. I would really like to see the GL carries with Tolbert having 3rd down role and Cam basically GL back last year. I can’t see that tarde if your in 1st or 2nd trying to win the league, but if your in 3rd or 4th trying to catch the guy above it’s probbaly a lock with SoS. I’m just not sold on the 3 headed RBBC and thats eliminating Williams (who they should really dump for a damn 4th or 5th if need be! Marshall went for a 3rd, so with Willaims salary they need to just dump).

Ray Voeller
Reply to  Allen Sarvinas
9 years ago

team is 5-3 with most points against by a extremely high amount. My three losses all three teams had HP for season vs me. Tied for 3rd. 2 teams are 6-2 ( I’m 1-1 vs them ) and myself another at 5-3. Currently my rbs are T. Rich, Mathews, Gore/Hunter, Ballard, A Green. Other notables Ryan, Julio, Jordy. Have legit shot to win.

It really comes down to how much do I believe in J Stew vs Hunter. Will Hunter be the next Ricky Watters to Roger Craig or the next Kevin Barlow to Garrison Hearst… If I believe latter trade is no brainer. Why the Panthers drafted J Stew 1st round when they had just drafted D. Williams couple years before never made sense to me. Makes even less sense for them to hang on to D. Willy now.

Mike Guzzardo
9 years ago

Would you trade Josh Gordon for Jonathan Stewart? I have Josh Gordon

Ray Voeller
Reply to  Mike Guzzardo
9 years ago

depend on rb starting requirements and my depth at positions ( wr & rb ). Possible in right situation. You never know. Just traded Gore straight up for Stewart didn’t think other owner would go for it but he did…. ya never know.

Chad Benner
9 years ago

Should I trade away Randall Cobb to get Calvin Johnson? Ours is a dynasty auction league (We can keep as many players as we want with a 5% salary hike per year) and I own Cobb at $20 whereas Johnson’s salary is $670. I need help at WR and can win this year as I sit tied for first in my division. I don’t even know if the other owner would agree to it though.

ziggy19
9 years ago

someone dropped Jordan Cameron TE Browns. Would he be considered a good stash candidate? My TE`s are Rudolph and Finley.

Tom Smith
9 years ago

I have Freeman and I was going to try and take your advice and offer him to the Newton owner. What kind of player should I package with Freeman?

david powell
9 years ago

Just traded gore for roddy white straight up but am now trying to get a rb 1 I have hunter Jamal Charles and Doug Martin. But want to trade away some of my wr I have roddy j Gordon Bowe s smith Crabtree any suggestions on who I should go after and who to give up. And am a recent subscriber and what a great website for dynasty info

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